Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 22, 2012

Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AutoZone Inc.)
AZO latest price $365.5000 (0.36%) ($362.5000 - $366.3500) on Wed. Aug. 22, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $365.5000(0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZO declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(47%)    XLY(47%)    XLP(46%)    IWM(42%)    PEJ(40%)
Factors Impacting AZO price   AZO will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $363.29(0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $361.04(1.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $364.47(0.28%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $8.534b

AutoZone, Inc. engages in the provision of retail and distribution of automotive replacement parts and accessories. The firm offers ALLDATA, which produces, sells, and maintains diagnostic and repair information software used in the automotive repair industry. The company was founded by Joseph R. Hyde, III on July 4, 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, TN.

$. AZO price fluctuates within 1.77% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.32%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.35%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.1%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120922

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_22_2012	376.54	364.47	361.04	363.29	363.69	365.14	365.5(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	58	30	70	23	0.2	52%	-0.05	-54.8	1.3%	0	0.2	54	0
2	Aug_21_2012	376.71	365.04	360.78	361.76	361.9	364.56	364.18(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	111	50	135	40	0.3	52%	-0.04	-62.2	1.33%	0	-0.1	52	0
3	Aug_20_2012	376.85	365.59	361	360.32	360.03	362.24	364.56(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	127	40	159	31	0.48	52%	-0.02	-67	1.33%	0	-0.1	37	0
4	Aug_17_2012	376.93	366.19	360.81	358.47	358.35	359.23	363.65(1.42%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	52	20	79	-28	0.42	46%	-0.03	-72.4	1.35%	0	-0.3	35	0
5	Aug_16_2012	377.04	366.87	360.99	357.6	357.3	357.82	358.55(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	10	-6	-69	0.35	47%	-0.05	-72.2	1.53%	0	-1	30	0

6	Aug_15_2012	377.22	368.06	361.39	358.52	358.03	357.47	357.86(0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-20	6	-70	0.43	48%	-0.06	-66.7	1.55%	0	-1.2	32	0
7	Aug_14_2012	377.44	369.35	361.91	359.71	358.65	356.79	357(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-109	-50	-104	-122	0.38	45%	-0.06	-56.4	1.56%	0	-1.4	27	0
8	Aug_13_2012	377.67	370.57	363.67	361.8	360.68	358.59	355.31(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-109	-50	-108	-113	0.5	45%	-0.06	-44.2	1.58%	0	-1.8	28	0
9	Aug_10_2012	377.9	371.86	365.7	363.39	362.86	360.51	359.29(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-105	-50	-104	-106	0.52	45%	-0.05	-35.6	1.58%	0	-1.6	29	0
10	Aug_9_2012	378.1	372.97	367.24	364.79	364.29	362.78	363.12(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-110	-30	-112	-105	0.55	45%	-0.03	-22.7	1.58%	0	-1.3	32	0

11	Aug_8_2012	378.22	373.95	368.26	364.64	366.16	365.21	363.82(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10	-3	-72	0.48	45%	-0.04	-14.2	1.58%	0	-1.4	28	0
12	Aug_7_2012	378.36	374.29	369.68	364.43	365.35	365.81	367.47(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-80	20	-71	-107	0.62	45%	-0.03	-11.4	1.58%	0	-1	29	0
13	Aug_6_2012	378.47	374.33	370.53	365.98	366.63	367.11	363.25(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-4	10	18	-69	0.57	45%	-0.04	-3.8	1.57%	0	-1.6	29	0
14	Aug_3_2012	378.62	374.63	372	368.49	368.94	364.9	366.3(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-85	-70	-81	-98	0.63	44%	-0.03	6.6	1.57%	0	-1.2	33	0
15	Aug_2_2012	378.75	374.64	373.18	370.18	370.82	366.14	362.34(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-272	-80	-302	-181	0.57	44%	-0.05	17.5	1.57%	0	-1.8	25	0

16	Aug_1_2012	378.93	374.97	375.28	372.39	374.82	372.99	362.77(-3.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-107	-10	-112	-93	0.37	44%	-0.05	33.7	1.57%	0	-1.9	24	0
17	Jul_31_2012	379.11	375.09	377.49	375.52	375.95	375.51	375.23(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-46	-0	-48	-38	0.34	48%	-0.01	37.6	1.53%	0	0	61	0
18	Jul_30_2012	379.16	374.59	378.06	375.74	376.45	376.66	375.79(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	10	1	-4	0.26	48%	-0.02	29.9	1.53%	0	0.2	65	0
19	Jul_27_2012	379.23	374.19	378.51	376.11	376.77	376.4	374.79(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-0	11	15	0.32	49%	-0.02	21.3	1.53%	0	0.1	63	0
20	Jul_26_2012	379.29	373.45	379.15	376.74	376.36	376.24	373.38(-1.32%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-43	-10	-59	6	0.51	52%	-0.03	8.1	1.53%	0	-0	65	0

21	Jul_25_2012	379.39	372.8	380.1	378.65	377.54	377.14	378.39(0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	-20	-9	52	0.22	53%	-0.02	-1.3	1.57%	0	0.7	67	0
22	Jul_24_2012	379.46	372.65	379.29	379.82	378.89	376.49	376.34(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-47	-50	-76	39	0.18	53%	-0.02	-3.6	1.57%	0	0.4	70	0
23	Jul_23_2012	379.55	372.55	378.46	380.73	380.28	377.94	377.63(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-99	-50	-140	23	0.23	53%	-0	-7.2	1.57%	0	0.6	68	0
24	Jul_20_2012	379.56	372.72	377.54	381.26	381.92	381.3	377.98(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-23	-10	-52	63	0.25	53%	-0	-6.6	1.57%	0	0.6	63	0
25	Jul_19_2012	379.57	372.82	376.31	381.85	382.32	382.63	382.9(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	10	7	99	0.34	53%		-6.9	1.56%	0	1.2	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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