Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 13, 2012

Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AutoZone Inc.)
AZO latest price $358.4600 (1.23%) ($354.1000 - $360.4100) on Mon. Feb. 13, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $358.4600(1.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZO advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(47%)    XLY(47%)    XLP(46%)    IWM(42%)    PEJ(40%)
Factors Impacting AZO price   AZO will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-14%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $353.25(1.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $352.15(1.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $349.71(2.5%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.7%
Market Cap   $8.369b

AutoZone, Inc. engages in the provision of retail and distribution of automotive replacement parts and accessories. The firm offers ALLDATA, which produces, sells, and maintains diagnostic and repair information software used in the automotive repair industry. The company was founded by Joseph R. Hyde, III on July 4, 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, TN.

$. AZO price fluctuates within 0.96% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.27%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.17%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.25%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.31%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120313

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_13_2012	332.61	349.71	352.15	353.25	352.67	355.13	358.46(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	193	40	213	133	0.43	71%	0.11	85.4	1%	0	2.6	69	0
2	Feb_10_2012	332.23	348.98	351.03	351.71	351	352.05	354.1(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	100	10	107	78	0.36	73%	0.12	97.5	1.02%	0	1.8	64	0
3	Feb_9_2012	331.84	348.42	350.38	351.52	350.46	350.22	354.04(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10	12	39	0.31	68%	0.1	111.1	1.04%	0	2	64	0
4	Feb_8_2012	331.52	347.82	349.74	350.55	350.68	349.96	349.15(-0.38%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-34	-10	-48	7	0.22	69%	0.07	127.2	1.08%	0	0.5	58	0
5	Feb_7_2012	331.3	347.4	349.7	351.32	351.01	350.7	350.48(-0.08%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-20	-10	-34	23	0.18	69%	0.06	147.3	1.1%	0	1	62	0

6	Feb_6_2012	331.11	346.87	349.35	350.8	351.18	351.4	350.76(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	10	24	45	0.16	69%	0.06	151	1.1%	0	1.1	66	0
7	Feb_3_2012	330.91	346.25	348.98	350.18	350.57	351.31	353.18(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	20	50	55	0.16	69%	0.09	149.1	1.1%	0	1.8	74	0
8	Feb_2_2012	330.62	345.31	348.32	349.06	349.55	350.96	349.17(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	75	30	79	63	0.16	68%	0.08	133.3	1.09%	0	0.9	72	0
9	Feb_1_2012	330.37	344.27	348.06	348.81	348.62	349.83	352.99(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	96	20	102	78	0.26	68%	0.11	97.6	1.08%	0	1.5	91	0
10	Jan_31_2012	330.02	342.69	347.35	347.92	347.95	348.14	347.88(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	49	0	46	58	0.23	66%	0.1	66.5	1.07%	0	0.7	90	0

11	Jan_30_2012	329.7	341.6	347.08	347.7	347.54	347.42	347.67(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	5	-0	-8	43	0.22	66%	0.11	62.9	1.08%	0	0.8	90	0
12	Jan_27_2012	329.35	340.57	346.77	347.57	347.3	347.75	347.58(-0.09%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0	20	10	7	57	0.3	66%	0.1	55.3	1.09%	0	0.8	92	0
13	Jan_26_2012	329.03	339.62	346.34	347.45	347.2	347.67	347.91(-0.19%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	59	10	49	87	0.32	66%	0.1	54.5	1.1%	0	0.9	95	0
14	Jan_25_2012	328.71	338.73	345.76	347.17	346.85	346.84	348.58(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	-0	12	93	0.26	66%	0.11	56.1	1.1%	0	1.1	99	0
15	Jan_24_2012	328.35	337.8	344.93	346.71	346.69	346.72	346.75(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	0	7	120	0.24	66%	0.06	58.5	1.1%	0	1	99	0

16	Jan_23_2012	328.16	336.9	344.24	346.36	346.29	346.85	347.01(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	56	10	25	148	0.37	66%	0.12	58.9	1.1%	0	1.2	83	0
17	Jan_20_2012	327.78	336.02	343.36	345.84	345.81	346.65	347(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	100	20	72	184	0.8	66%	0.11	62.5	1.1%	0	1.3	79	0
18	Jan_19_2012	327.42	334.92	342.09	345.04	344.83	345.74	346.5(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	100	20	71	188	0.67	66%	0.13	62	1.1%	0	1.4	74	0
19	Jan_18_2012	327.01	333.83	340.23	344.11	343.66	344.98	346.28(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	105	20	80	181	0.52	66%	0.12	59	1.11%	0	1.6	69	0
20	Jan_17_2012	326.61	332.78	337.7	342.89	342.69	343.92	345(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	125	20	110	170	0.51	66%	0.2	54.9	1.11%	0	1.6	68	0

21	Jan_13_2012	325.96	331.85	335.73	341.79	341.44	342.35	344.44(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	93	20	76	145	0.28	66%	0.14	52.8	1.1%	0	1.8	69	0
22	Jan_12_2012	325.49	330.8	333.89	340.51	340.38	341.46	342.98(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	105	20	94	137	0.34	66%	0.12	45.9	1.1%	0	1.9	66	0
23	Jan_11_2012	325.09	329.91	332.35	338.68	338.85	340.52	341.87(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	158	40	159	153	0.5	66%	0.14	33.3	1.1%	0	2	70	0
24	Jan_10_2012	324.65	329.28	331.08	335.7	335.66	339.3	340.14(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	223	80	242	167	0.53	68%	0.14	15	1.11%	0	2.1	69	0
25	Jan_9_2012	324.19	328.7	329.99	331.63	331.05	337.19	339.5(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	298	120	339	175	0.47	68%		-7.8	1.15%	0	2.3	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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