Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 9, 2010

Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AutoZone Inc.)
AZO latest price $263.9000 (0.51%) ($260.7200 - $264.6100) on Thu. Dec. 9, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $263.9000(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZO advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(48%)    SPY(46%)    XLP(46%)    IWM(42%)    PEJ(41%)
Factors Impacting AZO price   AZO will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $262.75(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $261.51(0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $257.24(2.59%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   21.8%
Market Cap   $6.162b

AutoZone, Inc. engages in the provision of retail and distribution of automotive replacement parts and accessories. The firm offers ALLDATA, which produces, sells, and maintains diagnostic and repair information software used in the automotive repair industry. The company was founded by Joseph R. Hyde, III on July 4, 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, TN.

$. AZO price fluctuates within 2.02% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.51%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.69%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.34%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -4.26%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 6.03%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.21%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_9_2010	229.02	257.24	261.51	262.75	263.2	262.2	263.9(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-17	-20	-54	96	0.3	77%	0.26	96	0.8%	0	1.3	74	0
2	Dec_8_2010	228.43	256.49	261.03	262.61	263.48	262.92	262.57(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-31	-0	-77	109	0.52	77%	0.24	105.4	0.83%	0	1.2	76	0
3	Dec_7_2010	227.88	255.54	260.3	262.2	263.59	264.2	260.15(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	74	30	42	169	1.55	76%	0.25	99.1	0.83%	0	0.8	74	0
4	Dec_6_2010	227.31	254.72	259.89	262.06	262.75	264.03	261.91(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	147	40	124	216	0.75	76%	0.26	97.1	0.82%	0	1.2	70	0
5	Dec_3_2010	226.71	253.65	258.88	261.23	261.33	262.98	265.2(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	179	50	163	228	0.36	79%	0.27	89.1	0.8%	0	1.7	79	0

6	Dec_2_2010	226.1	252.35	257.47	260.09	259.8	261.47	263.2(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	164	40	150	206	0.27	80%	0.26	85.9	0.8%	0	1.6	72	0
7	Dec_1_2010	225.51	251.1	256.08	259.28	258.98	259.68	260.56(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	155	20	142	192	0.36	81%	0.25	83.3	0.81%	0	1.4	74	0
8	Nov_30_2010	224.95	249.98	254.94	258.15	258.03	258.13	259.41(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	65	0	38	146	0.43	77%	0.25	79.1	0.84%	0	1.3	79	0
9	Nov_29_2010	224.38	248.81	254.11	257.4	256.9	258.28	257.8(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	97	30	73	168	0.35	77%	0.26	74.4	0.87%	0	1.2	78	0
10	Nov_26_2010	223.8	247.8	253.39	256.08	255.74	257.92	259.48(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	220	60	215	233	0.16	78%	0.39	71.9	0.88%	0	1.6	85	0

11	Nov_24_2010	222.92	246.65	252.58	254.41	253.86	255.52	259.14(1.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	190	40	177	230	0.28	73%	0.29	69.8	0.87%	0	1.7	85	0
12	Nov_23_2010	222.27	245.47	251.52	252.43	252.52	253.56	254.91(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	146	30	126	207	0.25	72%	0.15	68.9	0.89%	0	1.4	84	0
13	Nov_22_2010	221.94	244.53	250.37	251.25	251.39	252.19	255.65(1.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	100	20	72	184	0.43	72%	0.28	71	0.89%	0	1.6	86	0
14	Nov_19_2010	221.33	243.49	249.09	250.4	250.65	251.48	251.2(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	80	30	45	186	0.38	70%	0.26	72.8	0.87%	0	1.2	85	0
15	Nov_18_2010	220.76	242.66	248.02	250.29	250.83	250.6	251.17(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	87	0	51	196	0.37	70%	0.27	72.8	0.88%	0	1.3	77	0

16	Nov_17_2010	220.17	241.68	246.87	250.48	250.59	249.81	249.23(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-22	-20	-81	157	0.33	72%	0.25	73.8	0.88%	0	1.2	77	0
17	Nov_16_2010	219.63	240.81	245.81	250.42	250.89	251.07	249(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	73	10	29	206	0.34	72%	0.24	72.3	0.9%	0	1.2	78	0
18	Nov_15_2010	219.1	239.85	244.74	249.22	249.85	251.37	251.39(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	155	50	127	238	0.39	74%	0.26	67	0.89%	0	1.8	82	0
19	Nov_12_2010	218.54	238.88	243.16	247.51	247.63	250.72	250.68(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	244	90	238	260	0.34	74%	0.26	65	0.89%	0	1.9	82	0
20	Nov_11_2010	217.98	237.95	241.82	245.35	245.15	248.33	252.09(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	318	90	332	277	0.62	74%	0.26	61.3	0.88%	0	2.6	87	0

21	Nov_10_2010	217.42	236.94	240.21	242.78	242.43	244.54	248.95(2.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	222	60	226	209	0.73	73%	0.26	59.3	0.89%	0	2.7	88	0
22	Nov_9_2010	216.85	236.07	238.83	240.59	240.64	241.96	243(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	155	40	153	162	0.33	70%	0.22	58	0.85%	0	2	81	0
23	Nov_8_2010	216.37	235.54	238.15	239.59	239.31	240.33	242.85(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	115	30	104	147	0.4	70%	0.22	55.1	0.85%	0	2.3	84	0
24	Nov_5_2010	215.89	235.01	237.35	238.15	238.45	239.32	239.87(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	102	30	94	127	0.44	69%	0.21	53.8	0.85%	0	1.8	66	0
25	Nov_4_2010	215.43	234.64	236.82	237.7	237.63	238.29	239.24(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	79	20	67	116	0.62	69%		61.7	0.85%	0	1.8	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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