Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 24, 2010

Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AutoZone Inc.)
AZO latest price $225.7300 (1.39%) ($224.0000 - $226.0600) on Fri. Sep. 24, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $225.7300(1.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZO advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(48%)    SPY(46%)    XLP(46%)    IWM(42%)    PEJ(41%)
Factors Impacting AZO price   AZO will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $221.53(1.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $220.3(2.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $218.22(3.44%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.8%
Market Cap   $5.27b

AutoZone, Inc. engages in the provision of retail and distribution of automotive replacement parts and accessories. The firm offers ALLDATA, which produces, sells, and maintains diagnostic and repair information software used in the automotive repair industry. The company was founded by Joseph R. Hyde, III on July 4, 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, TN.

$. AZO price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.42%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.47%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.43%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.88%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101024

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_24_2010	202.08	218.22	220.3	221.53	221.42	223.71	225.73(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	159	70	174	115	0.46	63%	0.24	68.3	1%	0	2.1	64	NAN
2	Sep_23_2010	201.59	217.5	219.48	220.56	220.45	220.99	222.64(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	110	20	119	81	0.49	63%	0.2	65.4	0.99%	0	1.5	62	NAN
3	Sep_22_2010	201.19	216.89	218.92	219.81	219.85	219.13	222.1(2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-16	-20	-28	19	0.82	63%	0.19	55.8	1.01%	0	1.5	67	NAN
4	Sep_21_2010	200.8	216.29	218.68	219.25	219.65	219.92	217.02(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-17	10	-34	35	1.17	59%	0.16	50.9	0.99%	0	0.2	68	NAN
5	Sep_20_2010	200.48	216.13	218.85	219.5	219.6	220.57	220.14(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	100	30	96	113	0.78	63%	0.17	61.3	0.97%	0	1.1	72	NAN

6	Sep_17_2010	200.13	215.76	218.67	218.82	218.7	219.38	220.88(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	86	20	79	108	0.68	63%	0.18	64.8	0.96%	0	1.4	62	NAN
7	Sep_16_2010	199.77	215.26	218.27	218.22	217.61	218.62	218.89(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	20	41	99	0.39	63%	0.2	68.3	0.96%	0	1	65	NAN
8	Sep_15_2010	199.37	214.93	217.82	217.9	217.39	218.03	219.3(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	81	10	69	116	0.27	67%	0.19	78.5	0.96%	0	1.3	67	NAN
9	Sep_14_2010	198.99	214.47	216.93	218.08	217.51	216.6	218.27(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-40	-25	82	0.35	67%	0.17	85.4	0.98%	0	1.1	67	NAN
10	Sep_13_2010	198.65	213.92	216.25	218.14	218.03	216.76	216.75(-0.53%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-71	-40	-110	45	0.49	67%	0.17	81.5	0.98%	0	0.8	55	NAN

11	Sep_10_2010	198.32	213.49	216.04	218.48	218.73	218.43	217.9(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-12	-10	-44	83	0.28	67%	0.18	81.8	0.98%	0	1.2	58	NAN
12	Sep_9_2010	197.96	212.93	215.42	218.29	218.77	219.3	217.26(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	64	20	46	118	0.44	67%	0.19	79.7	0.99%	0	1.1	61	NAN
13	Sep_8_2010	197.59	212.31	214.77	217.65	217.9	219.02	220.24(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	119	40	114	135	0.41	73%	0.21	70.1	0.97%	0	1.9	63	NAN
14	Sep_7_2010	197.17	211.62	213.71	215.56	216.19	218.23	218.55(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	139	70	147	115	0.32	68%	0.28	60.6	0.98%	0	1.8	64	NAN
15	Sep_3_2010	196.61	211.03	213.15	214.06	214.28	216.77	218.45(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	162	80	176	118	0.26	63%	0.19	48.5	1.03%	0	2.1	68	NAN

16	Sep_2_2010	196.23	210.45	212.55	213.3	212.83	214.16	216.94(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	132	40	141	106	0.46	63%	0.19	41.2	1.03%	0	2	65	NAN
17	Sep_1_2010	195.86	209.88	211.91	212.2	212.28	211.8	214.09(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10	27	56	0.5	61%	0.2	30	1.02%	0	1.4	64	NAN
18	Aug_31_2010	195.47	209.46	211.71	211.48	212.08	211.51	209.78(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-33	-10	-55	34	0.48	57%	0.18	17.2	1%	0	0.1	62	NAN
19	Aug_30_2010	195.12	209.33	211.78	211.5	211.82	212.76	211.03(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	40	6	69	0.39	57%	0.18	12.4	1%	0	0.6	59	NAN
20	Aug_27_2010	194.76	209.34	211.44	212.02	211.62	212.66	214.65(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	96	30	90	113	0.38	62%	0.21	17.4	0.98%	0	1.8	64	NAN

21	Aug_26_2010	194.36	209.14	210.75	211.7	211.74	210.88	211.46(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	-30	21	84	0.4	52%	0.19	23.8	0.97%	0	0.9	60	NAN
22	Aug_25_2010	194	209	210.29	211.61	211.59	210.58	210.5(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-82	-30	-118	28	0.44	62%	0.19	26.6	1.01%	0	0.6	61	NAN
23	Aug_24_2010	193.63	209	209.75	211.99	212.07	210.58	209.88(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	17	20	-0	66	0.53	62%	0.19	38.2	1.22%	0	0.4	61	NAN
24	Aug_23_2010	193.27	208.97	209.47	212.03	212.06	212.6	213.61(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	89	20	84	104	0.34	67%	0.11	41.7	1.19%	0	1.7	66	NAN
25	Aug_20_2010	193.06	208.85	208.8	210.71	210.91	211.54	213.07(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	20	38	57	0.37	66%		45.4	1.22%	0	1.7	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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