Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 26, 2010

Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AutoZone Inc.)
AZO latest price $190.1800 (-2.26%) ($189.7000 - $195.7500) on Wed. May. 26, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $190.1800(-2.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZO advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZO advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(48%)    SPY(46%)    XLP(46%)    IWM(42%)    PEJ(41%)
Factors Impacting AZO price   AZO will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-1%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $186.43(2.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $184.21(3.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $183.58(3.6%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   15.6%
Market Cap   $4.44b

AutoZone, Inc. engages in the provision of retail and distribution of automotive replacement parts and accessories. The firm offers ALLDATA, which produces, sells, and maintains diagnostic and repair information software used in the automotive repair industry. The company was founded by Joseph R. Hyde, III on July 4, 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, TN.

$. AZO price fluctuates within 2.13% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.75%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.99%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.79%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100626

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2010	170.32	183.58	184.21	186.43	186.79	191.7	190.18(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	226	190	246	165	0.9	63%	0.2	26.3	1.36%	0	1.7	64	0
2	May_25_2010	169.98	183.06	183.62	184.8	184.03	187.01	194.57(5.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	242	100	269	159	2.17	66%	0.22	15.2	1.33%	0	3.2	61	0
3	May_24_2010	169.61	182.37	182.41	182.04	181.65	181.88	184.25(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	0	40	32	0.52	61%	0.09	-4.3	1.14%	0	0.7	50	0
4	May_21_2010	169.46	182.39	182.27	181.94	181.54	181.05	183.47(2.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-14	-30	-18	-0	0.65	61%	0.15	3.5	1.12%	0	0.4	46	0
5	May_20_2010	169.2	182.4	181.58	181.31	181.82	181.42	179.66(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10	-24	-37	0.93	58%	0.12	3.6	1.11%	0	-1.1	43	0

6	May_19_2010	168.99	182.55	181.49	181.56	181.61	182.03	182.04(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-33	20	-26	-55	0.44	60%	0.14	8.8	1.1%	0	-0.2	45	0
7	May_18_2010	168.76	182.51	181.56	182.2	182.03	182.22	180.8(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	18	0	29	-16	0.37	58%	0.13	17.7	1.1%	0	-0.7	52	0
8	May_17_2010	168.54	182.48	181.85	182.81	182.46	181.19	183.72(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-36	-50	-38	-28	0.61	61%	0.1	31.7	1.09%	0	0.5	53	0
9	May_14_2010	168.38	182.3	182.05	182.7	182.8	181.83	180.31(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-74	-40	-83	-45	0.54	61%	0.12	38.2	1.1%	0	-0.8	44	0
10	May_13_2010	168.17	182.31	182.51	181.85	182.99	183.73	180.95(-2.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	33	50	46	-5	0.32	61%	0.13	38.5	1.11%	0	-0.5	46	0

11	May_12_2010	167.95	182.33	182.97	181.29	181.41	183.77	185.22(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	91	90	114	21	0.32	68%	0.16	42.8	1.07%	0	1.1	54	0
12	May_11_2010	167.68	182.06	182.47	180.85	180.04	182.24	183.86(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	116	70	146	24	0.52	68%	0.15	40.6	1.08%	0	0.6	55	0
13	May_10_2010	167.43	181.66	182.28	180.84	180.11	179.05	183.15(4.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	20	-50	32	-17	0.55	68%	0.16	40.2	1.08%	0	0.5	56	0
14	May_7_2010	167.17	181.3	182.44	181.48	180.76	177.83	176.08(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-221	-130	-258	-109	0.57	65%	0.11	45.7	0.97%	0	-1.5	46	0
15	May_6_2010	166.99	181.32	183.3	183.27	182.88	181.18	178.13(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-161	-70	-201	-40	0.68	67%	0.13	61.1	0.96%	0	-0.9	49	0

16	May_5_2010	166.78	181.22	183.78	184.77	184.6	183.69	183.03(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-19	-40	-46	62	0.47	75%	0.17	74.5	0.89%	0	0.5	55	0
17	May_4_2010	166.5	180.88	183.62	184.21	184.67	184.58	183.83(-1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	0	-26	64	0.31	70%	0.16	69	0.89%	0	0.8	60	0
18	May_3_2010	166.24	180.4	183.24	183.85	184.01	185.51	186.33(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	69	60	57	105	0.37	74%	0.19	64.7	0.9%	0	1.5	74	0
19	Apr_30_2010	165.92	179.76	182.6	183.61	183.64	184.76	185.01(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	140	40	136	151	0.44	74%	0.19	66.4	0.89%	0	1.4	73	0
20	Apr_29_2010	165.61	179.25	182.11	183.42	183.4	182.52	185.64(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	-30	14	116	0.4	74%	0.18	67.8	0.9%	0	1.7	74	0

21	Apr_28_2010	165.31	178.61	181.61	182.74	183.2	182.53	180.26(-0.97%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-60	-20	-108	86	0.35	70%	0.15	64.9	0.83%	0	0.5	68	0
22	Apr_27_2010	165.06	178.29	181.6	182.89	183.23	184.27	182.03(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	91	50	62	176	0.33	69%	0.18	62.7	0.82%	0	1	70	0
23	Apr_26_2010	164.77	177.86	181	182.44	182.37	183.87	185.13(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	176	60	162	217	0.23	76%	0.21	58.3	0.81%	0	1.9	85	0
24	Apr_23_2010	164.42	177.29	180.03	181.41	181.19	182.18	184.05(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	139	30	122	188	0.23	76%	0.21	58.9	0.81%	0	2	85	0
25	Apr_22_2010	164.08	176.76	179.15	180.62	180.35	180.88	182.24(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	78	20	54	148	0.45	75%		61.8	0.81%	0	1.8	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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