Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 22, 2010

Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AutoZone Inc.)
AZO latest price $174.1900 (1.11%) ($171.6200 - $174.8200) on Mon. Mar. 22, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   90
Latest Price   $174.1900(1.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZO advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZO advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(48%)    SPY(47%)    XLP(46%)    IWM(42%)    PEJ(41%)
Factors Impacting AZO price   AZO will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-0%)    GLD(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $171.97(1.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $170.36(2.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $168.33(3.48%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $4.067b

AutoZone, Inc. engages in the provision of retail and distribution of automotive replacement parts and accessories. The firm offers ALLDATA, which produces, sells, and maintains diagnostic and repair information software used in the automotive repair industry. The company was founded by Joseph R. Hyde, III on July 4, 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, TN.

$. AZO price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.24%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.55%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.95%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.81%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.56%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.7%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100422

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2010	156.86	168.33	170.36	171.97	171.96	172.41	174.19(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	99	20	83	147	0.52	71%	0.26	70.9	0.83%	0	2	90	0
2	Mar_19_2010	156.45	167.77	169.73	170.93	170.74	172.01	172.28(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	82	50	66	129	0.55	69%	0.22	70	0.81%	0	1.7	77	0
3	Mar_18_2010	156.1	167.33	169.36	170.25	170.05	171.52	172.21(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	169	60	170	166	0.31	69%	0.24	74.8	0.82%	0	1.9	77	0
4	Mar_17_2010	155.73	166.87	168.88	169.54	169.1	169.47	172(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	99	10	90	125	0.67	69%	0.24	84.9	0.82%	0	2.2	75	0
5	Mar_16_2010	155.36	166.53	168.14	168.76	168.44	168.58	169.17(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	0	-2	71	0.52	66%	0.21	102.5	0.8%	0	1.3	73	0

6	Mar_15_2010	155.03	166.31	167.72	168.5	168.33	168.74	169(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	10	37	84	0.31	66%	0.21	121.2	0.8%	0	1.4	75	0
7	Mar_12_2010	154.71	165.91	167.42	168.33	168.13	168.31	168.89(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	0	27	87	0.26	69%	0.21	120.6	0.83%	0	1.4	78	0
8	Mar_11_2010	154.39	165.42	167.11	168.31	168.04	167.92	168.66(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-10	-6	83	0.33	69%	0.2	110.3	0.84%	0	1.3	72	0
9	Mar_10_2010	154.08	164.93	166.85	168.1	168.26	167.94	168.09(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	33	-10	11	98	0.63	69%	0.19	101.2	0.84%	0	1.1	73	0
10	Mar_9_2010	153.79	164.49	166.54	167.4	167.86	168.17	167.86(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	20	17	82	0.56	69%	0.16	92.3	0.85%	0	1.1	57	0

11	Mar_8_2010	153.54	163.96	166.18	166.77	166.96	168.57	168.15(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	81	70	78	90	0.5	73%	0.16	80.9	0.85%	0	1.3	61	0
12	Mar_5_2010	153.3	163.34	165.68	166.34	166.61	167.56	168.79(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	148	40	158	119	0.54	73%	0.16	71.4	0.89%	0	1.5	73	0
13	Mar_4_2010	153.05	162.63	165.14	165.77	165.82	165.36	167.62(1.85%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	8	-20	-9	60	0.74	73%	0.16	62.6	0.89%	0	1.3	75	0
14	Mar_3_2010	152.8	162.1	164.69	165.46	165.73	165.65	164.57(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-15	0	-40	61	0.94	70%	0.14	62	0.86%	0	0.7	72	0
15	Mar_2_2010	152.59	161.76	164.79	165.54	165.77	166.29	164.74(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	71	30	52	127	1.7	70%	0.13	61.3	0.87%	0	0.8	70	0

16	Mar_1_2010	152.39	161.36	164.8	165.44	165.12	165.8	166(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	82	20	55	161	0.7	73%	0.14	60.5	0.86%	0	1.2	78	0
17	Feb_26_2010	152.18	160.81	164.31	164.86	164.68	165.26	165.93(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	95	20	70	169	0.58	73%	0.13	55.1	0.91%	0	1.3	80	0
18	Feb_25_2010	151.98	160.28	163.61	164.4	164.1	164.44	166.08(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	67	10	35	163	0.69	75%	0.13	50.6	0.92%	0	1.5	82	0
19	Feb_24_2010	151.78	159.78	162.87	163.83	163.83	164.1	164.96(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	62	10	32	153	0.49	75%	0.12	49.6	0.95%	0	1.4	69	0
20	Feb_23_2010	151.6	159.43	162.29	163.96	163.33	163.76	164.24(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	10	1	153	0.44	75%	0.13	55.4	0.95%	0	1.4	66	0

21	Feb_22_2010	151.4	159.02	161.59	164.08	163.58	163.56	163.07(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	79	-10	45	179	0.28	75%	0.12	61.5	0.95%	0	1.2	66	0
22	Feb_19_2010	151.22	158.65	160.86	163.64	163.42	162.9	163.67(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	45	-30	7	159	0.49	75%	0.13	61.7	0.95%	0	1.5	71	0
23	Feb_18_2010	151.03	158.31	159.96	162.64	162.43	163.6	163.19(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	50	26	144	0.89	78%	0.11	61.5	0.95%	0	1.6	69	0
24	Feb_17_2010	150.86	157.95	159.34	161.7	161.43	163.93	165.62(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	204	100	205	199	0.33	82%	0.14	59	0.96%	0	2.7	72	0
25	Feb_16_2010	150.65	157.49	158.47	160.38	159.87	161.25	164.87(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	174	50	179	159	0.74	82%		63.2	0.96%	0	3.3	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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