Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 11, 2009

Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AutoZone Inc.)
AZO latest price $148.7500 (0.52%) ($146.4500 - $149.4300) on Tue. Aug. 11, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $148.7500(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZO declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(48%)    SPY(46%)    XLP(45%)    IWM(42%)    PEJ(41%)
Factors Impacting AZO price   AZO will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-0%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $144.9(-2.59%)
Resistance Level   $153.12
5 Day Moving Average   $148.14(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $150.09(-0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $153.12(-2.85%)
To recent high   -8.7%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $3.473b

AutoZone, Inc. engages in the provision of retail and distribution of automotive replacement parts and accessories. The firm offers ALLDATA, which produces, sells, and maintains diagnostic and repair information software used in the automotive repair industry. The company was founded by Joseph R. Hyde, III on July 4, 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, TN.

$. AZO price fluctuates within 2.63% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.57%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.59%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.85%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2009	157.38	153.12	150.09	148.14	148.33	148.65	148.75(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-36	20	-16	-94	0.43	47%	-0.07	-50.2	1.72%	0	-1.1	36	0
2	Aug_10_2009	157.49	153.62	150.56	148.05	148.1	149.36	147.98(-2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	8	60	37	-79	0.72	47%	-0.08	-43.9	1.72%	0	-1.4	37	0
3	Aug_7_2009	157.61	154.04	151.22	148.52	148.05	148	151.32(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10	22	-83	0.97	46%	-0.06	-40.3	1.75%	0	-0.7	40	0
4	Aug_6_2009	157.71	154.19	151.76	148.97	148.51	146.84	147.42(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-99	-90	-90	-126	0.76	43%	-0.1	-33.2	1.72%	0	-1.9	30	0
5	Aug_5_2009	157.86	154.62	152.7	150.75	150.76	148.1	145.24(-2.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-111	-120	-109	-115	1.09	43%	-0.1	-18.5	1.71%	0	-2.9	22	0

6	Aug_4_2009	158.02	155.17	153.93	152.29	152.86	150.18	148.31(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-117	-110	-121	-105	0.94	45%	-0.07	0	1.7%	0	-2.6	26	0
7	Aug_3_2009	158.13	155.36	154.74	153.36	153.83	153.42	150.31(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-81	-10	-81	-82	1.28	45%	-0.06	11.8	1.69%	0	-2.3	27	0
8	Jul_31_2009	158.23	155.54	155.41	154.23	154.47	155.54	153.57(-1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	18	50	32	-25	0.68	45%	-0.05	32.8	1.69%	0	-1	45	0
9	Jul_30_2009	158.31	155.4	155.76	154.97	154.51	154.24	156.31(2.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	12	-20	21	-15	0.92	47%	-0.01	33.8	1.7%	0	0.4	59	0
10	Jul_29_2009	158.33	155.23	155.89	155.06	154.72	153.39	152.96(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-59	-70	-64	-43	0.75	44%	-0.03	42.4	1.69%	0	-1	45	0

11	Jul_28_2009	158.38	155.17	156.41	155.86	155.68	154.79	153.65(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-44	-40	-51	-23	0.59	44%	0.03	44	1.69%	0	-0.6	47	0
12	Jul_27_2009	158.34	155.1	156.93	156.32	156.23	156.06	154.68(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-10	-10	-17	13	0.73	44%	0.01	41.8	1.69%	0	-0.2	64	0
13	Jul_24_2009	158.32	154.89	157.09	156.71	156.15	156.57	157.24(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	10	7	34	0.46	44%	0.03	33.3	1.69%	0	0.8	62	0
14	Jul_23_2009	158.27	154.63	156.79	156.66	156.02	156.41	156.78(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	10	16	46	1.11	44%	0.01	24.4	1.7%	0	0.8	68	0
15	Jul_22_2009	158.25	154.25	156.65	156.88	156.15	155.74	156.97(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	-30	-6	46	1.51	44%	0.04	14.9	1.7%	0	0.9	59	0

16	Jul_21_2009	158.19	154.09	156.5	157.08	156.58	155.63	155.93(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-26	-50	-48	42	1.03	44%	0.11	20.1	1.7%	0	0.6	61	0
17	Jul_20_2009	158.02	154.03	156.04	157.65	157.52	156.56	156.65(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-12	-50	-34	55	0.76	44%	0.09	26.6	1.7%	0	0.9	61	0
18	Jul_17_2009	157.88	153.96	155.7	157.5	157.87	157.53	156.98(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10	-11	70	1.22	44%	0.11	25.8	1.7%	0	1.1	65	0
19	Jul_16_2009	157.71	153.95	155.04	156.89	157.18	158.47	157.85(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	60	26	75	0.97	48%	0.09	25	1.7%	0	1.3	60	0
20	Jul_15_2009	157.57	153.8	154.52	156.37	156.34	158.21	158(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	91	80	87	101	1.07	48%	0.08	17.2	1.74%	0	1.5	66	0

21	Jul_14_2009	157.45	153.51	153.81	155.84	155.39	155.89	158.77(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	71	10	68	81	0.98	48%	0.11	-0.6	1.75%	0	2	55	0
22	Jul_13_2009	157.27	153.28	153.07	154.23	154.45	154.48	155.89(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	10	7	31	0.83	46%	0.06	-26.3	1.74%	0	1.1	50	0
23	Jul_10_2009	157.18	153.28	152.46	153.66	153.62	154.88	153.92(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	60	33	22	0.59	46%	0.08	-41.7	1.75%	0	0.3	46	0
24	Jul_9_2009	157.06	153.23	152.26	152.87	152.81	154.42	155.27(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	63	70	77	20	0.96	46%	0.15	-59.6	1.76%	0	0.9	45	0
25	Jul_8_2009	156.83	153.32	151.61	152.37	151.94	152.36	155.33(3.04%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	29	10	43	-14	1.07	46%		-63.6	1.78%	0	0.8	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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