Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 19, 2006

Trading Signals: AZO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AutoZone Inc.)
AZO latest price $117.4000 (1.02%) ($115.3600 - $117.8000) on Tue. Dec. 19, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.19% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $117.4000(1.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZO advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(54%)    SPY(51%)    IWM(48%)    XLP(47%)    PEJ(46%)
Factors Impacting AZO price   AZO will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(1%)    LQD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $117.02(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.44(-0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $116.08(1.14%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   19%
Market Cap   $2.741b

AutoZone, Inc. engages in the provision of retail and distribution of automotive replacement parts and accessories. The firm offers ALLDATA, which produces, sells, and maintains diagnostic and repair information software used in the automotive repair industry. The company was founded by Joseph R. Hyde, III on July 4, 1979 and is headquartered in Memphis, TN.

$. AZO price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.93%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.31%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.03%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2006	103.93	116.08	117.44	117.02	117.13	116.62	117.4(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-14	-30	-29	31	0.76	80%	0.29	33.1	1.19%	0	0.7	69	0
2	Dec_18_2006	103.63	115.93	117.61	116.96	117.27	117.25	116.22(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	10	-23	51	0.32	76%	0.29	37	1.31%	0	0.1	67	0
3	Dec_15_2006	103.33	115.86	117.49	117.27	117.44	117.65	116.99(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	20	13	76	0.74	76%	0.3	45.7	1.33%	0	0.6	67	0
4	Dec_14_2006	103.02	115.75	117.17	117.42	117.38	117.28	117.5(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	17	-10	-1	70	0.48	76%	0.29	52.6	1.33%	0	0.9	61	0
5	Dec_13_2006	102.72	115.57	116.82	117.45	117.46	117.24	117(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-10	-24	59	0.47	76%	0.28	55.2	1.33%	0	0.7	59	0

6	Dec_12_2006	102.43	115.42	116.46	117.93	117.85	117.48	117.09(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-20	-24	66	0.59	77%	0.3	68.6	1.33%	0	0.8	61	0
7	Dec_11_2006	102.12	115.2	116.09	118.37	118.31	117.69	117.79(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-40	-13	77	0.47	80%	0.32	76.6	1.33%	0	1.3	65	0
8	Dec_8_2006	101.79	114.96	115.68	117.71	118.38	118.22	117.73(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	10	3	63	0.89	80%	0.33	78.9	1.41%	0	1.4	63	0
9	Dec_7_2006	101.46	114.71	115.38	116.84	117.55	118.92	117.65(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	100	52	66	0.84	77%	0.31	76.5	1.41%	0	1.5	63	0
10	Dec_6_2006	101.15	114.48	115.08	116.03	116.21	118.54	119.41(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	119	150	130	85	1.05	77%	0.35	77.6	1.41%	0	2.8	75	0

11	Dec_5_2006	100.8	114.07	114.54	114.77	114.78	116.18	119.29(4.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	105	90	121	57	2.49	78%	0.35	68.7	1.43%	0	3.5	74	0
12	Dec_4_2006	100.45	113.67	114.01	113.55	113.57	113.88	114.47(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	20	20	27	0	0.77	76%	0.3	70.9	1.35%	0	0.8	65	0
13	Dec_1_2006	100.15	113.43	114.03	113.39	113.28	113.37	113.38(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	0	-4	-10	0.47	76%	0.28	44.1	1.36%	0	-0	54	0
14	Nov_30_2006	99.87	113.27	114.16	113.7	113.48	113.26	113.61(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-8	-20	-10	0	0.8	77%	0.29	39	1.35%	0	0.2	58	0
15	Nov_29_2006	99.58	113.11	114.2	113.96	113.86	113.2	113.11(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-24	-40	-32	-0	0.66	77%	0.28	42.3	1.37%	0	0	52	0

16	Nov_28_2006	99.3	113.06	114.31	114.25	114.33	113.7	113.17(-0.45%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-29	-40	-42	11	0.67	77%	0.27	43.3	1.37%	0	0.1	64	0
17	Nov_27_2006	99.03	112.98	114.28	114.52	114.7	114.52	113.68(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-10	-21	30	0.64	77%	0.28	40.9	1.36%	0	0.4	66	0
18	Nov_24_2006	98.75	112.84	114.25	114.74	114.81	114.96	114.92(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	10	6	60	0.28	73%	0.41	40.5	1.35%	0	1.2	84	0
19	Nov_22_2006	98.35	112.68	114.05	114.7	114.69	114.88	114.94(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	10	13	73	0.68	73%	0.17	37.7	1.38%	0	1.2	78	0
20	Nov_21_2006	98.18	112.4	113.87	114.49	114.56	114.67	114.53(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	29	10	12	81	0.7	73%	0.27	30.3	1.38%	0	1.2	77	0

21	Nov_20_2006	97.92	112.32	113.58	114.39	114.37	114.5	114.51(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	10	13	79	0.45	73%	0.27	37.5	1.39%	0	1.3	60	0
22	Nov_17_2006	97.66	112.27	113.31	114.01	114.07	114.45	114.79(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	20	19	75	0.4	74%	0.26	46.6	1.4%	0	1.5	64	0
23	Nov_16_2006	97.41	112.13	112.78	113.68	113.73	114.25	114.72(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	30	35	71	0.89	74%	0.24	54	1.4%	0	1.7	66	0
24	Nov_15_2006	97.18	112	112.3	113.31	113.26	113.69	113.9(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	30	24	52	0.45	74%	0.23	60.6	1.4%	0	1.3	57	0
25	Nov_14_2006	96.96	111.87	111.91	113.16	113.02	113.21	114.04(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	10	26	54	0.72	70%		71	1.4%	0	1.6	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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