Trading Signals: AZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: AZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(AstraZeneca PLC)
AZN latest price $34.1300 (0.5%) ($34.0300 - $34.2500) on Thu. Dec. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $34.1300(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZN advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZN declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(50%)    IBB(44%)    VT(43%)    SPY(41%)    EWG(40%)
Factors Impacting AZN price   AZN will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-2%)    LIT(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.41(2.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.38(2.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.63(1.49%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $89.557b

AstraZeneca Plc is a holding company, which engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. Its pipeline are used for the following therapy areas: oncology, cardiovascular, renal, metabolism, and respiratory. The company was founded on June 17, 1992 and is headquartered in Cambridge, the United Kingdom.

July 16, 2020 The company was given $1B from the U.S. Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority back in late May to supply 400 million doses of the vaccine to the United States. On Wednesday the shares of AstraZeneca were up over 5% after British media reports said that the results of the phase 1 tests were promising. These reports will be published in the Lance medical journal on Monday July 20.

$. AZN price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.11%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.04%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 5.09%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -4.39%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.66%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.28%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_24_2015	32.65	33.63	33.38	33.41	33.53	33.96	34.13(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	22	100	30	-2	0.81	56%	-0.03	-30.1	1.46%	0	1	50	0
2	Dec_23_2015	32.66	33.63	33.31	33.26	33.22	33.44	33.96(2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	7	40	15	-19	2.69	56%	0	-35.6	1.46%	0	0.7	54	0
3	Dec_22_2015	32.66	33.62	33.25	33.22	33.13	33.1	33.23(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-9	-10	1	-38	2.35	48%	-0.03	-33.6	1.44%	0	-0.8	37	0
4	Dec_21_2015	32.67	33.65	33.28	33.23	33.25	33	32.94(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-50	-7	-53	2.91	45%	-0.03	-22.6	1.52%	0	-1.4	29	0
5	Dec_18_2015	32.68	33.71	33.38	33.24	33.25	33.16	32.8(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-30	-15	-56	4.42	47%	-0.03	2.9	1.54%	0	-2	39	0

6	Dec_17_2015	32.69	33.78	33.49	33.33	33.31	33.51	33.36(-1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	40	1	-46	3	49%	0.03	44.6	1.54%	0	-1	43	0
7	Dec_16_2015	32.68	33.8	33.52	33.35	33.33	33.45	33.79(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	20	14	-46	2.18	49%	0.03	68.6	1.54%	0	-0	46	0
8	Dec_15_2015	32.67	33.78	33.56	33.29	33.29	33.11	33.26(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-40	-7	-56	2.78	47%	0	82.6	1.53%	0	-1.3	42	0
9	Dec_14_2015	32.67	33.77	33.7	33.35	33.36	33.2	33(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-30	-20	-50	3.47	47%	0	92.5	1.53%	0	-1.7	38	0
10	Dec_11_2015	32.67	33.7	33.81	33.54	33.51	33.48	33.25(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10	-9	-34	4.46	47%	0	63.9	1.52%	0	-0.7	39	0

11	Dec_10_2015	32.67	33.6	33.9	33.68	33.65	33.51	33.47(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-30	-4	-24	1.96	51%	0	44.2	1.52%	0	-0.1	43	0
12	Dec_9_2015	32.67	33.52	33.96	33.7	33.73	33.55	33.46(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-30	-16	-23	3.34	49%	0	40.6	1.56%	0	-0.1	49	0
13	Dec_8_2015	32.67	33.45	34.02	33.87	33.83	33.79	33.55(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10	-18	-8	3.49	53%	-0.03	40.3	1.57%	0	0.1	54	0
14	Dec_7_2015	32.68	33.36	34.07	34.11	34.08	33.91	33.99(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-40	-2	25	3.1	53%	0.03	41.5	1.63%	0	0.6	68	0
15	Dec_4_2015	32.67	33.26	34.08	34.13	34.2	33.87	33.92(1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-60	-13	49	2.62	51%	0	42.4	1.65%	0	0.6	78	0

16	Dec_3_2015	32.67	33.19	34.09	34.15	34.28	34.24	33.57(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	0	-14	83	5.12	53%	-0.03	45.1	1.66%	0	0.3	79	0
17	Dec_2_2015	32.68	33.12	34.11	34.26	34.33	34.54	34.32(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	50	11	121	4.1	58%	0.03	47.6	1.64%	0	1	72	0
18	Dec_1_2015	32.67	33.02	34.03	34.18	34.21	34.33	34.77(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	30	15	136	4.55	56%	0.03	51.3	1.68%	0	1.5	77	0
19	Nov_30_2015	32.66	32.89	33.83	34.02	34.02	34.12	34.05(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	35	20	1	136	3.78	54%	0.03	54.5	1.68%	0	1.1	75	0
20	Nov_27_2015	32.65	32.78	33.58	34.03	34.01	34.09	34.05(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	10	5	135	1.25	55%	0.06	58.4	1.68%	0	1.2	67	0

21	Nov_25_2015	32.63	32.68	33.28	34.02	34.02	34.09	34.11(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-20	3	119	3.92	58%	0.03	68	1.7%	0	1.4	62	0
22	Nov_24_2015	32.62	32.58	33.05	33.94	34.01	33.92	33.94(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	26	-10	-2	111	4.76	55%	0.06	75.5	1.71%	0	1.4	64	0
23	Nov_23_2015	32.6	32.45	32.83	33.84	33.97	34.13	33.96(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	40	12	105	3.92	55%	0.03	77.9	1.76%	0	1.6	62	0
24	Nov_20_2015	32.59	32.32	32.59	33.6	33.78	34.09	34.08(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	80	34	93	4.74	50%	0.03	71.6	1.8%	0	2	63	0
25	Nov_19_2015	32.58	32.18	32.38	33.04	33.34	33.8	34.01(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	48	120	42	66	6.94	50%		53.3	1.82%	0	2.2	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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