Trading Signals: AZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: AZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(AstraZeneca PLC)
AZN latest price $34.5100 (1.83%) ($34.4200 - $35.3500) on Thu. Apr. 24, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.63% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $34.5100(1.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZN advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZN advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(47%)    VT(43%)    SPY(41%)    EWG(40%)    XLP(38%)
Factors Impacting AZN price   AZN will decline at least -0.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
DIA(-15%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-2%)    SHY(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.815% (StdDev 1.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.63(2.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.62(5.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.48(6.25%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $90.554b

AstraZeneca Plc is a holding company, which engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. Its pipeline are used for the following therapy areas: oncology, cardiovascular, renal, metabolism, and respiratory. The company was founded on June 17, 1992 and is headquartered in Cambridge, the United Kingdom.

July 16, 2020 The company was given $1B from the U.S. Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority back in late May to supply 400 million doses of the vaccine to the United States. On Wednesday the shares of AstraZeneca were up over 5% after British media reports said that the results of the phase 1 tests were promising. These reports will be published in the Lance medical journal on Monday July 20.

$. AZN price fluctuates within 2.96% (three month std-dev: 1.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 1.45%(71%) Average negative next day return: -1.82%(29%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 0.94%(41%) Average negative next three day return: -2.18%(59%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 1.41%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.65%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_24_2014	31.7	32.48	32.62	33.63	34.15	34.4	34.51(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	69	100	53	117	14.96	55%	0.22	41.6	1.63%	0	2.1	61	NAN
2	Apr_23_2014	31.63	32.36	32.37	33.08	33.37	33.8	33.89(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	120	27	66	4.72	53%	0.16	26.2	1.65%	0	1.8	56	NAN
3	Apr_22_2014	31.58	32.27	32.14	32.55	32.79	33.91	33.43(-3.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	52	260	57	36	13.94	53%	0.16	5.1	1.64%	0	1.5	54	NAN
4	Apr_21_2014	31.53	32.19	31.99	32.11	32.18	32.95	34.55(8.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.4	63	170	80	12	22.77	60%	0.19	-18.1	1.59%	0	3.3	64	NAN
5	Apr_17_2014	31.47	32.05	31.72	31.46	31.46	31.68	31.75(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	50	13	-87	2.07	49%	0.13	-75	1.16%	0	-0.7	38	NAN

6	Apr_16_2014	31.43	32.09	31.79	31.48	31.37	31.41	31.77(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-24	-0	-1	-92	3.8	49%	0.16	-71.3	1.16%	0	-0.7	41	NAN
7	Apr_15_2014	31.38	32.14	31.89	31.57	31.49	31.24	31.26(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-60	-15	-83	3.17	48%	0.1	-67.3	1.15%	0	-1.7	39	NAN
8	Apr_14_2014	31.35	32.23	32.03	31.67	31.7	31.34	31.23(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-80	-29	-76	3.41	54%	0.13	-67.8	1.16%	0	-2	37	NAN
9	Apr_11_2014	31.31	32.32	32.16	31.82	31.84	31.75	31.3(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-31	-20	-25	-50	3.14	52%	0.13	-71.4	1.28%	0	-2.4	45	NAN
10	Apr_10_2014	31.27	32.39	32.29	32.01	32	32.06	31.82(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	10	-4	-21	3.39	57%	0.16	-82.9	1.27%	0	-1.6	48	NAN

11	Apr_9_2014	31.22	32.44	32.29	32.15	32.07	31.94	32.23(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-40	-9	-11	4.67	61%	0.19	-76.7	1.28%	0	-0.5	48	NAN
12	Apr_8_2014	31.16	32.49	32.36	32.27	32.21	31.95	31.75(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-23	-60	-25	-17	4.1	59%	0.16	-67.4	1.28%	0	-1.8	35	NAN
13	Apr_7_2014	31.11	32.57	32.36	32.46	32.46	32.2	32.02(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-60	-19	-9	4.37	59%	0.19	-62.8	1.27%	0	-1.3	35	NAN
14	Apr_4_2014	31.05	32.63	32.36	32.54	32.61	32.48	32.21(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-20	-14	-13	2.67	59%	0.19	-57.6	1.27%	0	-1	39	NAN
15	Apr_3_2014	30.99	32.69	32.43	32.62	32.64	32.73	32.52(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	20	-1	-9	1.84	59%	0.19	-56.3	1.27%	0	-0.4	48	NAN

16	Apr_2_2014	30.93	32.74	32.43	32.61	32.66	32.75	32.84(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	11	20	17	-6	1.83	57%	0.23	-58.7	1.26%	0	0.2	53	NAN
17	Apr_1_2014	30.86	32.77	32.41	32.48	32.56	32.55	32.69(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	10	4	-28	1.96	57%	0.23	-60.7	1.27%	0	-0.1	40	NAN
18	Mar_31_2014	30.79	32.83	32.44	32.41	32.49	32.58	32.44(-0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	30	6	-37	2.82	57%	0.2	-63.2	1.28%	0	-0.7	36	NAN
19	Mar_28_2014	30.73	32.88	32.48	32.31	32.45	32.57	32.6(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-0	40	15	-46	2.8	57%	0.23	-69.8	1.27%	0	-0.5	38	NAN
20	Mar_27_2014	30.66	32.94	32.49	32.21	32.29	32.41	32.48(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	30	5	-70	1.94	57%	0.2	-65.5	1.28%	0	-0.7	34	NAN

21	Mar_26_2014	30.6	33.03	32.5	32.19	32.26	32.32	32.19(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	20	-1	-85	2.79	57%	0.2	-59.4	1.28%	0	-1.3	30	NAN
22	Mar_25_2014	30.54	33.11	32.61	32.33	32.27	32.17	32.34(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	-30	-13	-86	3.97	57%	0.2	-48.2	1.27%	0	-1.2	28	NAN
23	Mar_24_2014	30.48	33.19	32.71	32.48	32.46	32.2	31.95(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-38	-60	-22	-87	3.68	57%	0.2	-44.2	1.28%	0	-2	17	NAN
24	Mar_21_2014	30.42	33.3	32.85	32.68	32.7	32.38	32.07(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-36	-70	-23	-75	7.4	57%	0.2	-38.1	1.27%	0	-2.2	32	NAN
25	Mar_20_2014	30.36	33.37	32.99	32.8	32.84	32.72	32.42(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-20	-14	-68	3.07	55%		-42.4	1.27%	0	-2	31	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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