Trading Signals: AZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 25, 2013

Trading Signals: AZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(AstraZeneca PLC)
AZN latest price $24.8100 (0.98%) ($24.5700 - $24.8600) on Mon. Mar. 25, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $24.8100(0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZN advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZN advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(42%)    EWG(41%)    QQQ(38%)    XLP(38%)    EWI(37%)
Factors Impacting AZN price   AZN will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-1%)    SHY(2%)    TIP(3%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.93(3.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.54(5.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.18(7.03%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $65.101b

AstraZeneca Plc is a holding company, which engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. Its pipeline are used for the following therapy areas: oncology, cardiovascular, renal, metabolism, and respiratory. The company was founded on June 17, 1992 and is headquartered in Cambridge, the United Kingdom.

July 16, 2020 The company was given $1B from the U.S. Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority back in late May to supply 400 million doses of the vaccine to the United States. On Wednesday the shares of AstraZeneca were up over 5% after British media reports said that the results of the phase 1 tests were promising. These reports will be published in the Lance medical journal on Monday July 20.

$. AZN price fluctuates within 2.59% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.25%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.24%(75%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 3.03%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -2.97%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 5.01%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.7%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_25_2013	23.55	23.18	23.54	23.93	24.05	24.63	24.81(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	79	180	56	149	7.02	58%	0.04	61	1.14%	0	2.7	79	NAN
2	Mar_22_2013	23.54	23.05	23.33	23.58	23.68	24.16	24.57(2.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	72	150	60	108	10.05	58%	0.09	52.4	1.14%	0	3.2	79	NAN
3	Mar_21_2013	23.52	22.95	23.15	23.31	23.31	23.48	23.98(3.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	37	50	27	66	10.77	55%	0.04	49.7	1.1%	0	2.9	76	NAN
4	Mar_20_2013	23.51	22.86	23.03	23.17	23.18	23.2	23.09(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	10	6	48	3.46	49%	-0.04	42.1	0.99%	0	0.9	63	NAN
5	Mar_19_2013	23.52	22.84	23.01	23.14	23.16	23.15	23.18(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-0	6	45	3.39	47%	0	21.1	0.99%	0	1.4	62	NAN

6	Mar_18_2013	23.52	22.82	22.99	23.09	23.08	23.16	23.09(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	20	6	53	2.92	49%	0	0	0.99%	0	1.1	70	NAN
7	Mar_15_2013	23.52	22.81	22.96	23.03	23.03	23.17	23.23(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	40	20	60	2.12	49%	-0.04	-24.8	1%	0	1.8	75	NAN
8	Mar_14_2013	23.53	22.78	22.91	22.95	22.91	22.99	23.26(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	24	20	15	51	3.76	49%	0.04	-60.9	1.01%	0	2.3	68	NAN
9	Mar_13_2013	23.52	22.75	22.86	22.87	22.91	22.89	22.93(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	20	4	46	2.75	42%	-0.04	-110.1	0.99%	0	1	68	NAN
10	Mar_12_2013	23.53	22.79	22.85	22.86	22.81	22.82	22.95(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-0	3	48	4.39	42%	0	-76.4	1.05%	0	0.6	59	NAN

11	Mar_11_2013	23.53	22.82	22.8	22.87	22.82	22.74	22.77(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-30	-7	38	4.22	42%	-0.04	-66.4	1.05%	0	-0.1	48	NAN
12	Mar_8_2013	23.54	22.86	22.77	22.89	22.89	22.81	22.82(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-20	-3	33	4.47	42%	-0.04	-63.2	1.05%	0	-0.1	49	NAN
13	Mar_7_2013	23.55	22.9	22.74	22.87	22.9	22.9	22.9(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	0	2	31	2.5	42%	-0.04	-62.8	1.06%	0	0	55	NAN
14	Mar_6_2013	23.56	22.95	22.69	22.83	22.84	22.97	22.87(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	40	5	14	2.97	42%	-0.04	-65.4	1.06%	0	-0.2	47	NAN
15	Mar_5_2013	23.57	23	22.66	22.82	22.81	22.89	23.01(0.74%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	14	20	20	-6	2.48	42%	0	-69.4	1.05%	0	0	36	NAN

16	Mar_4_2013	23.57	23.05	22.64	22.71	22.72	22.71	22.84(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-0	8	-47	2.44	42%	0	-75.4	1.05%	0	-0.4	32	NAN
17	Mar_1_2013	23.57	23.11	22.63	22.63	22.64	22.72	22.73(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	30	3	-81	2.24	42%	0	-80.6	1.05%	0	-0.6	30	NAN
18	Feb_28_2013	23.57	23.18	22.62	22.6	22.6	22.73	22.72(-0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	40	17	-104	3.44	48%	-0.04	-83.6	1.06%	0	-0.7	30	NAN
19	Feb_27_2013	23.58	23.28	22.64	22.52	22.54	22.56	22.82(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	10	10	-140	3.76	48%	0	-75.2	1.08%	0	-0.6	27	NAN
20	Feb_26_2013	23.58	23.38	22.72	22.48	22.45	22.48	22.44(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-48	10	-9	-166	5.02	45%	-0.04	-67.1	1.05%	0	-1.2	19	NAN

21	Feb_25_2013	23.59	23.49	22.84	22.56	22.49	22.51	22.42(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-44	-0	-4	-162	6.19	45%	-0.04	-63.9	1.05%	0	-1.3	18	NAN
22	Feb_22_2013	23.6	23.62	22.96	22.64	22.55	22.41	22.59(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-60	-6	-157	3.39	49%	-0.04	-59	1.1%	0	-1.2	18	NAN
23	Feb_21_2013	23.61	23.73	23.07	22.65	22.63	22.48	22.34(-1.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-59	-50	-21	-171	3.37	47%	-0.08	-56.3	1.1%	0	-1.7	15	NAN
24	Feb_20_2013	23.63	23.84	23.24	22.77	22.72	22.68	22.59(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-64	-20	-25	-181	4	49%	-0.04	-57.6	1.09%	0	-1.6	11	NAN
25	Feb_19_2013	23.64	23.94	23.38	22.99	22.82	22.78	22.84(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-59	-30	-20	-176	4.07	52%		-53.5	1.08%	0	-1.5	12	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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