Trading Signals: AZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 19, 2012

Trading Signals: AZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(AstraZeneca PLC)
AZN latest price $23.6700 (1.41%) ($23.3900 - $23.7100) on Thu. Jul. 19, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $23.6700(1.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZN advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZN advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(42%)    EWG(41%)    QQQ(38%)    XLK(38%)    XLP(38%)
Factors Impacting AZN price   AZN will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-0%)    SHY(2%)    TIP(3%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.2(2.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.95(3.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.57(4.87%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.2%
Market Cap   $62.11b

AstraZeneca Plc is a holding company, which engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. Its pipeline are used for the following therapy areas: oncology, cardiovascular, renal, metabolism, and respiratory. The company was founded on June 17, 1992 and is headquartered in Cambridge, the United Kingdom.

July 16, 2020 The company was given $1B from the U.S. Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority back in late May to supply 400 million doses of the vaccine to the United States. On Wednesday the shares of AstraZeneca were up over 5% after British media reports said that the results of the phase 1 tests were promising. These reports will be published in the Lance medical journal on Monday July 20.

$. AZN price fluctuates within 2.75% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 40 Average positive next day return: 1.23%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.06%(40%) Sample size 40 Average positive next three day return: 1.81%(70%) Average negative next three day return: -1.72%(30%) Sample size 40 Average positive next weekly return: 1.91%(65%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.37%(35%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120819

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_19_2012	21.96	22.57	22.95	23.2	23.21	23.4	23.67(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	60	31	71	4.61	54%	0.05	77.8	1.27%	0	1.8	73	0
2	Jul_18_2012	21.95	22.47	22.86	22.96	23.01	23.16	23.34(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	50	18	58	2.95	52%	0.05	77.9	1.26%	0	1.5	74	0
3	Jul_17_2012	21.94	22.39	22.83	22.85	22.82	23.01	23.16(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	50	15	71	2.74	54%	0.05	83.1	1.26%	0	1.4	75	0
4	Jul_16_2012	21.93	22.29	22.79	22.75	22.74	22.86	22.95(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	32	40	13	89	2.97	55%	0	79.6	1.26%	0	1.1	77	0
5	Jul_13_2012	21.93	22.19	22.74	22.72	22.67	22.86	22.86(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-20	4	96	2.63	53%	0	74.4	1.27%	0	1	68	0

6	Jul_12_2012	21.93	22.1	22.67	22.67	22.66	22.62	22.5(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10	-9	101	4.47	52%	0.05	74.9	1.28%	0	0.6	67	0
7	Jul_11_2012	21.92	22.02	22.62	22.74	22.69	22.72	22.79(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	27	0	-3	117	3.21	52%	0	77.3	1.28%	0	1.1	66	0
8	Jul_10_2012	21.92	21.93	22.52	22.8	22.7	22.69	22.66(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	30	-20	-3	127	1.99	52%	0.05	83.5	1.28%	0	1	65	0
9	Jul_9_2012	21.91	21.82	22.4	22.83	22.78	22.67	22.77(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	-40	5	144	2.4	52%	0	85.6	1.28%	0	1.3	74	0
10	Jul_6_2012	21.91	21.72	22.29	22.75	22.75	22.71	22.64(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	-10	-1	151	3.3	52%	0	87.1	1.28%	0	1.2	75	0

11	Jul_5_2012	21.91	21.61	22.18	22.67	22.71	22.89	22.84(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	60	22	163	4.83	52%	-0.09	85.7	1.28%	0	1.6	75	0
12	Jul_3_2012	21.93	21.49	22.06	22.47	22.51	22.8	23.07(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	68	100	36	165	5.29	50%	-0.05	78.5	1.29%	0	2	80	0
13	Jul_2_2012	21.94	21.33	21.92	22.2	22.22	22.53	22.84(2.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	69	100	40	155	7.89	52%	0	70.6	1.28%	0	2	79	0
14	Jun_29_2012	21.94	21.19	21.74	21.9	21.96	22.22	22.38(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	54	90	28	130	7.85	50%	-0.09	60.1	1.26%	0	1.7	79	0
15	Jun_28_2012	21.96	21.07	21.59	21.76	21.71	21.91	22.2(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	60	21	118	5.12	48%	-0.05	53.4	1.26%	0	1.7	75	0

16	Jun_27_2012	21.97	20.97	21.47	21.62	21.62	21.7	21.88(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	30	10	109	2.48	46%	-0.09	48.3	1.26%	0	1.5	74	0
17	Jun_26_2012	21.99	20.89	21.37	21.59	21.58	21.52	21.7(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	27	-20	-2	113	3.51	46%	-0.09	46	1.26%	0	1.4	73	0
18	Jun_25_2012	22.01	20.82	21.29	21.6	21.61	21.54	21.36(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	34	-20	-0	136	1.77	44%	-0.14	43.9	1.25%	0	1	75	0
19	Jun_22_2012	22.04	20.78	21.21	21.54	21.65	21.64	21.66(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	47	10	13	149	1.62	46%	-0.09	41.1	1.24%	0	1.6	82	0
20	Jun_21_2012	22.06	20.73	21.11	21.39	21.48	21.69	21.5(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	80	13	146	3.14	46%	-0.14	34.6	1.23%	0	1.5	81	0

21	Jun_20_2012	22.09	20.67	21.01	21.29	21.29	21.67	21.74(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	64	120	34	152	3.4	46%	-0.09	26.4	1.23%	0	2.3	81	0
22	Jun_19_2012	22.11	20.62	20.88	21.12	21.11	21.27	21.73(3.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	59	50	33	138	4.49	46%	-0.09	14.6	1.23%	0	2.7	80	0
23	Jun_18_2012	22.13	20.58	20.7	20.94	20.93	20.92	21.08(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	-0	9	99	1.81	40%	-0.14	-1.8	1.17%	0	1.5	60	0
24	Jun_15_2012	22.16	20.56	20.6	20.83	20.87	20.96	20.89(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	40	7	72	2.29	40%	-0.14	-25.6	1.17%	0	1	55	0
25	Jun_14_2012	22.19	20.55	20.52	20.78	20.82	20.93	21.03(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	40	19	59	1.95	39%		-41.7	1.16%	0	1.5	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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