Trading Signals: AZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 13, 2009

Trading Signals: AZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(AstraZeneca PLC)
AZN latest price $19.6800 (-0.1%) ($19.6200 - $20.1300) on Wed. May. 13, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.43% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $19.6800(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZN advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZN advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(47%)    SPY(46%)    EWI(43%)    EEM(42%)    EWP(42%)
Factors Impacting AZN price   AZN will decline at least -1.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    TIP(-2%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(7%)    LQD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.215% (StdDev 2.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.91(4.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.39(7.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.96(9.58%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   30.2%
Market Cap   $51.64b

AstraZeneca Plc is a holding company, which engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. Its pipeline are used for the following therapy areas: oncology, cardiovascular, renal, metabolism, and respiratory. The company was founded on June 17, 1992 and is headquartered in Cambridge, the United Kingdom.

July 16, 2020 The company was given $1B from the U.S. Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority back in late May to supply 400 million doses of the vaccine to the United States. On Wednesday the shares of AstraZeneca were up over 5% after British media reports said that the results of the phase 1 tests were promising. These reports will be published in the Lance medical journal on Monday July 20.

$. AZN price fluctuates within 4.29% (three month std-dev: 2.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.83%(67%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.97%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -2.44%(75%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 1.98%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.96%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2009	18.1	17.96	18.39	18.91	19.2	19.83	19.68(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	46	280	28	99	4.83	58%	0	59.9	2.43%	0	2.2	74	NAN
2	May_12_2009	18.1	17.84	18.23	18.58	18.75	19.43	19.7(3.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	55	280	40	100	4.52	58%	0	57.7	2.44%	0	2.8	76	NAN
3	May_11_2009	18.1	17.71	18.02	18.2	18.34	18.58	19.07(5.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	38	110	25	75	8.25	57%	-0.11	50.3	2.4%	0	2.6	67	NAN
4	May_8_2009	18.12	17.6	17.91	17.98	18.02	18.08	18.07(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	30	4	67	3.67	54%	-0.11	43.9	2.28%	0	1.1	61	NAN
5	May_7_2009	18.14	17.55	17.85	17.89	18.01	18.1	18.03(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	60	11	62	3.69	54%	-0.11	29.1	2.3%	0	1.1	55	NAN

6	May_6_2009	18.16	17.51	17.76	17.78	17.85	17.95	18.04(1.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	8	50	-1	36	2.35	54%	-0.16	15.8	2.32%	0	1.3	50	NAN
7	May_5_2009	18.19	17.46	17.63	17.82	17.8	17.93	17.77(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	50	4	33	4.79	54%	-0.11	12.8	2.31%	0	0.8	53	NAN
8	May_4_2009	18.21	17.45	17.57	17.81	17.88	17.74	18(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-40	1	31	8.92	50%	-0.05	17	2.32%	0	1.3	57	NAN
9	May_1_2009	18.22	17.45	17.57	17.83	17.82	17.68	17.59(0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-60	-8	27	2.83	51%	-0.11	35.3	2.45%	0	0.4	56	NAN
10	Apr_30_2009	18.24	17.42	17.47	17.81	18	18.03	17.48(-4.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	15	40	7	39	5.36	51%	-0.11	45.5	2.47%	0	0.2	57	NAN

11	Apr_29_2009	18.26	17.44	17.51	17.71	17.89	17.97	18.27(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	60	19	47	3.93	49%	-0.11	50.2	2.41%	0	2	60	NAN
12	Apr_28_2009	18.28	17.41	17.42	17.4	17.57	17.98	17.73(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	190	12	23	2.07	47%	-0.11	45.5	2.53%	0	0.9	57	NAN
13	Apr_27_2009	18.3	17.38	17.36	17.28	17.28	17.8	18.1(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	23	210	25	15	3.62	47%	-0.05	42.5	2.55%	0	2	54	NAN
14	Apr_24_2009	18.31	17.28	17.26	17.08	16.99	17.16	17.45(2.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	50	8	-12	2.94	45%	-0.11	21.1	2.53%	0	0.4	49	NAN
15	Apr_23_2009	18.33	17.28	17.21	17.1	16.92	16.77	17.02(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-90	-12	-28	5	43%	-0.11	24.1	2.52%	0	-0.5	41	NAN

16	Apr_22_2009	18.35	17.28	17.23	17.28	17.11	16.82	16.7(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-17	-150	-15	-24	2.46	43%	-0.11	34.9	2.53%	0	-1.2	33	NAN
17	Apr_21_2009	18.37	17.24	17.28	17.43	17.37	17.07	17.12(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-130	-9	-18	2.52	43%	-0.05	38.4	2.52%	0	-0.3	42	NAN
18	Apr_20_2009	18.38	17.23	17.33	17.43	17.47	17.4	17.09(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-20	-5	-10	1.98	43%	-0.05	34.8	2.52%	0	-0.3	52	NAN
19	Apr_17_2009	18.39	17.2	17.37	17.45	17.46	17.67	17.55(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	90	10	12	2.75	45%	-0.05	33	2.54%	0	0.7	67	NAN
20	Apr_16_2009	18.4	17.14	17.38	17.33	17.31	17.55	17.93(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	90	14	18	2.82	45%	-0.05	28.5	2.55%	0	1.5	65	NAN

21	Apr_15_2009	18.41	17.08	17.37	17.2	17.13	17.26	17.45(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	40	7	19	2.24	42%	-0.05	36.7	2.52%	0	0.8	58	NAN
22	Apr_14_2009	18.42	17.08	17.37	17.13	17.1	17.08	17.21(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10	-2	24	3.07	42%	-0.11	48.7	2.52%	0	0.3	58	NAN
23	Apr_13_2009	18.44	17.07	17.39	17.2	17.14	17	17.12(1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-70	-7	34	1.43	42%	0.05	72.7	2.52%	0	0.1	56	NAN
24	Apr_9_2009	18.43	17.04	17.31	17.27	17.27	17.12	16.95(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-0	-60	-12	35	2.63	42%	-0.05	82.6	2.51%	0	-0.2	58	NAN
25	Apr_8_2009	18.44	17	17.29	17.43	17.42	17.27	17.25(0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-60	-11	52	4.34	42%		83.8	2.5%	0	0.4	62	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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