Trading Signals: AZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 4, 2005

Trading Signals: AZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(AstraZeneca PLC)
AZN latest price $20.7700 (0.48%) ($20.7600 - $20.9500) on Fri. Mar. 4, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $20.7700(0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZN advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZN advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(51%)    SPY(50%)    EWI(47%)    EWP(47%)    EEM(46%)
Factors Impacting AZN price   AZN will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    REMX(-2%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.26(2.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.28(2.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.95(4.11%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.6%
Market Cap   $54.5b

AstraZeneca Plc is a holding company, which engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. Its pipeline are used for the following therapy areas: oncology, cardiovascular, renal, metabolism, and respiratory. The company was founded on June 17, 1992 and is headquartered in Cambridge, the United Kingdom.

July 16, 2020 The company was given $1B from the U.S. Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority back in late May to supply 400 million doses of the vaccine to the United States. On Wednesday the shares of AstraZeneca were up over 5% after British media reports said that the results of the phase 1 tests were promising. These reports will be published in the Lance medical journal on Monday July 20.

$. AZN price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.83%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.61%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.54%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2005	19.58	19.95	20.28	20.26	20.31	20.71	20.77(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	39	150	28	72	2.26	57%	0.1	65.9	1.6%	0	2	65	0
2	Mar_3_2005	19.56	19.88	20.16	20.13	20.06	20.21	20.67(3.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	40	16	53	5.45	57%	0.1	71.9	1.61%	0	2	64	0
3	Mar_2_2005	19.54	19.82	20.05	20.06	19.91	19.91	19.98(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-20	-9	37	5.4	52%	0	99.4	1.56%	0	0.5	58	0
4	Mar_1_2005	19.54	19.78	20	20.17	20.02	19.9	20.01(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-60	-9	46	1.14	52%	0.05	116.7	1.58%	0	0.6	61	0
5	Feb_28_2005	19.53	19.72	19.97	20.28	20.13	19.91	19.87(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-100	-12	64	2.84	52%	0	128	1.57%	0	0.3	61	0

6	Feb_25_2005	19.53	19.67	19.95	20.29	20.35	20.13	20.12(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	-70	1	74	1.38	52%	0.05	134.6	1.56%	0	1	62	0
7	Feb_24_2005	19.52	19.6	19.91	20.18	20.29	20.35	20.34(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	40	6	70	1.52	52%	0	129.8	1.57%	0	1.5	69	0
8	Feb_23_2005	19.52	19.49	19.84	20.03	20.13	20.56	20.5(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	160	30	65	2.08	52%	0.05	108.1	1.57%	0	1.7	66	0
9	Feb_22_2005	19.51	19.35	19.74	19.8	19.91	20.22	20.58(3.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	38	130	34	50	3.48	55%	-0.05	85.3	1.57%	0	1.9	75	0
10	Feb_18_2005	19.52	19.19	19.62	19.62	19.6	19.71	19.91(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	40	6	32	2.95	34%	-0.05	64.3	1.55%	0	0.9	73	0

11	Feb_17_2005	19.53	19.07	19.58	19.58	19.57	19.61	19.58(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	9	10	1	33	1.89	34%	-0.05	57.5	1.87%	0	0.6	69	0
12	Feb_16_2005	19.54	18.97	19.58	19.61	19.56	19.5	19.57(1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	11	-30	-2	48	1.68	34%	-0.05	53.4	1.88%	0	0.7	72	0
13	Feb_15_2005	19.55	18.88	19.57	19.62	19.58	19.53	19.35(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-20	-5	74	2.55	34%	-0.1	50.6	1.88%	0	0.5	78	0
14	Feb_14_2005	19.57	18.8	19.55	19.66	19.63	19.62	19.68(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10	3	106	0.76	34%	-0.05	49	1.87%	0	1	88	0
15	Feb_11_2005	19.58	18.7	19.47	19.61	19.59	19.62	19.73(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	34	10	3	127	1.13	34%	-0.1	45.2	1.87%	0	1.2	90	0

16	Feb_10_2005	19.6	18.61	19.38	19.57	19.56	19.63	19.72(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	41	20	5	148	1.41	33%	-0.05	44.5	1.88%	0	1.3	85	0
17	Feb_9_2005	19.61	18.53	19.27	19.52	19.53	19.55	19.64(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	43	10	3	164	3.18	33%	-0.1	46.4	1.88%	0	1.3	85	0
18	Feb_8_2005	19.63	18.44	19.12	19.51	19.49	19.48	19.51(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	46	-10	3	175	1.32	33%	-0.1	49.1	1.88%	0	1.4	81	0
19	Feb_7_2005	19.65	18.37	18.93	19.43	19.51	19.52	19.43(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	50	20	9	173	1.09	33%	-0.05	49.5	1.88%	0	1.4	78	0
20	Feb_4_2005	19.66	18.31	18.74	19.3	19.4	19.5	19.57(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	49	50	11	161	1.17	33%	-0.1	47.9	1.88%	0	1.8	81	0

21	Feb_3_2005	19.68	18.23	18.53	19.15	19.22	19.49	19.44(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	110	16	146	1.45	39%	-0.05	46.7	1.88%	0	1.9	73	0
22	Feb_2_2005	19.69	18.15	18.34	18.99	19.07	19.3	19.61(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	54	100	31	123	2.46	39%	-0.1	43.1	1.94%	0	2.5	68	0
23	Feb_1_2005	19.71	18.06	18.13	18.66	18.86	18.95	19.09(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	70	24	85	2.41	35%	-0.1	33.1	1.91%	0	2.2	65	0
24	Jan_31_2005	19.73	18.01	17.98	18.36	18.58	18.85	18.8(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	140	24	48	1.43	35%	-0.15	15.8	1.9%	0	2	59	0
25	Jan_28_2005	19.76	17.97	17.86	18.08	18.25	18.76	18.82(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	29	220	33	15	4.86	35%		-2	1.91%	0	2.4	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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