Trading Signals: AZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 21, 2004

Trading Signals: AZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(AstraZeneca PLC)
AZN latest price $20.2500 (2.17%) ($20.0500 - $20.5200) on Thu. Oct. 21, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $20.2500(2.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AZN advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AZN declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(50%)    SPY(50%)    EWI(46%)    EWP(46%)    EEM(45%)
Factors Impacting AZN price   AZN will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    REMX(-2%)    LQD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.65(3.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.52(3.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.95(1.5%)
To recent high   -14.1%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $53.136b

AstraZeneca Plc is a holding company, which engages in the research, development, and manufacture of pharmaceutical products. Its pipeline are used for the following therapy areas: oncology, cardiovascular, renal, metabolism, and respiratory. The company was founded on June 17, 1992 and is headquartered in Cambridge, the United Kingdom.

July 16, 2020 The company was given $1B from the U.S. Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority back in late May to supply 400 million doses of the vaccine to the United States. On Wednesday the shares of AstraZeneca were up over 5% after British media reports said that the results of the phase 1 tests were promising. These reports will be published in the Lance medical journal on Monday July 20.

$. AZN price fluctuates within 3.36% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2004	22.01	19.95	19.52	19.65	19.79	20.06	20.25(2.17%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	21	120	36	-24	4.1	46%	-0.18	-51.2	1.4%	0	0.4	43	0
2	Oct_20_2004	22.05	19.99	19.42	19.4	19.49	19.74	19.82(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	100	21	-86	3.24	45%	-0.18	-56.9	1.37%	0	-0.2	35	0
3	Oct_19_2004	22.09	20.05	19.41	19.4	19.3	19.52	19.6(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	80	12	-121	3.08	45%	-0.09	-57.3	1.37%	0	-0.6	30	0
4	Oct_18_2004	22.11	20.14	19.47	19.28	19.21	19.24	19.47(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-33	0	3	-139	3.12	45%	-0.18	-57.1	1.38%	0	-0.9	25	0
5	Oct_15_2004	22.15	20.21	19.56	19.31	19.23	19.09	19.11(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-60	-10	-154	2.7	42%	-0.23	-57.2	1.36%	0	-1.4	16	0

6	Oct_14_2004	22.2	20.3	19.69	19.36	19.36	19.19	18.98(-1.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-53	-60	-15	-166	3.19	41%	-0.22	-63.9	1.35%	0	-1.8	11	0
7	Oct_13_2004	22.25	20.4	19.85	19.44	19.45	19.38	19.25(-1.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-53	-20	-14	-168	2.65	42%	-0.22	-75	1.35%	0	-1.7	13	0
8	Oct_12_2004	22.3	20.5	19.99	19.56	19.44	19.53	19.57(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-51	10	-12	-169	2.85	44%	-0.13	-92.5	1.34%	0	-1.5	14	0
9	Oct_11_2004	22.33	20.58	20.12	19.7	19.53	19.52	19.66(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	-30	-10	-162	1.41	44%	-0.18	-106.8	1.34%	0	-1.5	14	0
10	Oct_8_2004	22.37	20.65	20.24	19.85	19.72	19.36	19.34(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-62	-150	-30	-156	4.23	40%	-0.18	-118.6	1.33%	0	-2.1	23	0

11	Oct_7_2004	22.41	20.78	20.43	20.08	19.97	19.54	19.4(-2.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-66	-170	-44	-132	7.75	40%	-0.18	-123.2	1.33%	0	-2.3	23	0
12	Oct_6_2004	22.45	20.92	20.6	20.31	20.28	20.07	19.82(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-47	-80	-30	-99	6.01	41%	-0.18	-98	1.32%	0	-1.5	26	0
13	Oct_5_2004	22.49	21.1	20.75	20.48	20.48	20.4	20.29(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-30	-14	-71	2.29	43%	-0.18	-79.9	1.3%	0	-1	32	0
14	Oct_4_2004	22.53	21.25	20.86	20.6	20.55	20.48	20.38(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-30	-14	-55	3.33	43%	-0.13	-74.7	1.31%	0	-1	28	0
15	Oct_1_2004	22.56	21.4	20.91	20.71	20.67	20.56	20.5(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-40	-14	-43	3.27	44%	-0.13	-62.4	1.32%	0	-1	43	0

16	Sep_30_2004	22.59	21.55	20.96	20.84	20.78	20.62	20.57(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-60	-17	-48	2.42	44%	-0.18	-51.8	1.33%	0	-1	30	0
17	Sep_29_2004	22.63	21.67	21.01	20.94	20.93	20.78	20.64(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-50	-19	-59	2.92	44%	-0.13	-46.7	1.33%	0	-1	27	0
18	Sep_28_2004	22.66	21.8	21.05	21.07	21.07	20.95	20.91(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-32	-40	-12	-90	2.9	44%	-0.09	-38.9	1.33%	0	-0.8	20	0
19	Sep_27_2004	22.68	21.89	21.08	21.15	21.16	21.07	20.92(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-34	-30	-5	-119	0.97	44%	-0.18	-35.5	1.33%	0	-0.9	22	0
20	Sep_24_2004	22.72	22	21.09	21.14	21.22	21.2	21.14(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-39	0	3	-166	0.71	40%	-0.13	-33.8	1.34%	0	-0.8	22	0

21	Sep_23_2004	22.75	22.09	21.15	21.1	21.13	21.2	21.11(-0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-48	40	3	-201	2.08	42%	-0.13	-33.3	1.36%	0	-0.9	21	0
22	Sep_22_2004	22.78	22.17	21.25	21.08	21.07	21.25	21.26(-0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-44	60	14	-216	2.96	42%	-0.13	-32.9	1.37%	0	-0.9	31	0
23	Sep_21_2004	22.81	22.22	21.45	21.03	21	21.01	21.34(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-50	-0	7	-222	2.72	42%	-0.13	-34.7	1.37%	0	-0.9	30	0
24	Sep_20_2004	22.84	22.28	21.64	21.01	20.95	20.9	20.85(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-62	-30	-7	-226	1.57	39%	-0.13	-35.7	1.34%	0	-1.5	32	0
25	Sep_17_2004	22.87	22.37	21.91	21.02	21.06	20.99	20.93(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-66	-20	-14	-223	1.31	39%		-36.5	1.34%	0	-1.6	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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