Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Express)
AXP latest price $59.1065 (2.81%) ($58.2030 - $59.2123) on Fri. Jul. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.52% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $59.1065(2.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AXP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AXP declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AXP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(29%)    IVE(28%)    SPY(28%)    VYM(28%)    IWD(27%)
Factors Impacting AXP price   AXP will decline at least -0.76% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    XHB(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    IPO(-7%)    DIA(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.76% (StdDev 1.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.79(2.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.31(3.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.44(1.14%)
To recent high   -6.9%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $47.581b

American Express Co. engages in the provision of charge and credit card products, and travel-related services. It operates through the following segments: Global Consumer Services Group, Global Commercial Services, Global Merchant and Network Services and Corporate & Other. The Global Consumer Services Group segment issues a wide range of proprietary consumer cards globally. The Global Commercial Services segment provides proprietary corporate and small business cards, payment and expense management services, and commercial financing products. The Global Merchant and Network Services segment operates a global payments network that processes and settles card transactions, acquires merchants, and provides multi-channel marketing programs and capabilities, services, and data analytics. The Corporate & Other segment covers corporate functions and certain other businesses and operations. The company was founded by Henry Wells, William G. Fargo and John Warren Butterfield on March 28, 1850 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AXP price fluctuates within 2.87% (three month std-dev: 1.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 3.33%(50%) Average negative next day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 5.93%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.84%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.79%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2016	59	58.44	57.31	57.79	57.57	58.07	59.11(2.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	17	50	36	-40	5.77	47%	0.12	-71.8	1.52%	0	0.4	49	0
2	Jul_7_2016	58.93	58.61	57.39	57.65	57.52	57.1	57.49(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-60	0	-54	5.08	43%	0.12	-66.8	1.49%	0	-0.6	44	0
3	Jul_6_2016	58.86	58.88	57.55	57.62	57.6	57.07	57.17(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-70	-20	-62	5.48	43%	0.12	-60.3	1.5%	0	-0.8	45	0
4	Jul_5_2016	58.79	59.16	57.78	57.26	57.53	57.95	56.86(-2.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-5	70	12	-56	4.91	43%	0.12	-61.3	1.5%	0	-1	45	0
5	Jul_1_2016	58.72	59.47	58.04	56.92	57.05	58.13	58.34(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	24	140	53	-63	4.17	46%	0.17	-62.5	1.46%	0	-0.5	40	0

6	Jun_30_2016	58.62	59.67	58.11	56.74	56.39	57.12	58.4(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	70	28	-99	8.54	46%	0.14	-61.9	1.47%	0	-0.5	37	0
7	Jun_29_2016	58.54	59.92	58.18	57.16	56.44	55.98	57.32(3.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-45	-90	-17	-127	6.28	43%	0.14	-54.9	1.45%	0	-1	31	0
8	Jun_28_2016	58.46	60.21	58.33	57.54	57.37	55.66	55.38(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-110	-220	-87	-177	8.29	37%	0.09	-50.4	1.39%	0	-1.9	20	0
9	Jun_27_2016	58.41	60.6	58.67	58.38	58.37	56.9	55.16(-3.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-136	-180	-119	-188	7.58	37%	0.07	-42	1.39%	0	-2.4	21	0
10	Jun_24_2016	58.37	60.99	59.27	59.27	59.28	59.07	57.44(-5.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-75	-20	-50	-149	10.8	42%	0.1	-34.4	1.31%	0	-1.8	25	0

11	Jun_23_2016	58.31	61.26	59.73	59.61	59.78	59.85	60.49(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	20	29	-126	3.62	50%	0.15	-26.8	1.14%	0	-0.4	37	0
12	Jun_22_2016	58.22	61.35	59.92	59.36	59.54	59.49	59.25(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-42	0	-2	-162	3.46	46%	0.14	-26.9	1.11%	0	-1.2	24	0
13	Jun_21_2016	58.14	61.5	60.31	59.26	59.35	59.71	59.58(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	50	17	-158	3.36	46%	0.14	-24.3	1.12%	0	-1.1	30	0
14	Jun_20_2016	58.06	61.58	60.64	59.03	59.18	59.59	59.59(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	60	22	-169	4.29	46%	0.16	-30.7	1.12%	0	-1.2	31	0
15	Jun_17_2016	57.97	61.67	60.98	59.29	59.06	59	59.16(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-59	-20	-22	-171	6.52	46%	0.16	-28.2	1.14%	0	-1.6	31	0

16	Jun_16_2016	57.88	61.74	61.33	59.88	59.61	58.77	59.23(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-85	-110	-60	-159	5.54	46%	0.14	-23.3	1.14%	0	-1.6	33	0
17	Jun_15_2016	57.8	61.83	61.77	60.61	60.49	59.13	58.74(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-118	-160	-110	-140	5.98	46%	0.1	-14	1.14%	0	-2.1	30	0
18	Jun_14_2016	57.74	61.93	62.22	61.53	61.46	60.46	58.41(-4.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-107	-120	-112	-92	12.32	46%	0.1	-2.8	1.14%	0	-2.6	31	0
19	Jun_13_2016	57.68	62.09	62.71	62.45	62.42	61.86	60.9(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-46	-60	-57	-11	5.88	55%	0.16	20.7	1.02%	0	-1.1	55	0
20	Jun_10_2016	57.59	62.13	62.91	62.89	62.87	62.47	62.14(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-17	-50	-34	36	3.94	61%	0.03	31	0.99%	0	0	61	0

21	Jun_9_2016	57.57	62.1	62.95	62.99	63.04	62.98	62.85(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-0	-18	71	3.88	65%	0.05	35.5	0.98%	0	0.7	74	0
22	Jun_8_2016	57.54	62.04	62.92	63.12	63.01	63.27	63.37(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	20	12	108	2.6	65%	0.07	40.9	0.98%	0	1.3	69	0
23	Jun_7_2016	57.5	61.96	62.79	63.06	62.98	63.09	63.02(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	50	10	23	130	3.78	65%	0.1	41.7	0.98%	0	1	72	0
24	Jun_6_2016	57.44	61.87	62.59	63.03	62.86	62.74	63.07(0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	27	-20	-3	117	3.92	65%	0.05	35	0.98%	0	1.2	60	0
25	Jun_3_2016	57.41	61.8	62.4	62.95	62.83	62.87	62.64(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	24	-0	-5	112	4.35	65%		30.3	0.98%	0	0.9	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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