Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Express)
AXP latest price $63.0570 (0.49%) ($62.2153 - $63.3344) on Fri. Apr. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $63.0570(0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AXP advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AXP advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AXP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(30%)    IVE(29%)    SPY(29%)    VYM(29%)    IWD(28%)
Factors Impacting AXP price   AXP will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-9%)    XHB(-8%)    GLD(-7%)    TIP(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $61.73(2.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $60.37(4.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.95(6.97%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   29.6%
Market Cap   $50.761b

American Express Co. engages in the provision of charge and credit card products, and travel-related services. It operates through the following segments: Global Consumer Services Group, Global Commercial Services, Global Merchant and Network Services and Corporate & Other. The Global Consumer Services Group segment issues a wide range of proprietary consumer cards globally. The Global Commercial Services segment provides proprietary corporate and small business cards, payment and expense management services, and commercial financing products. The Global Merchant and Network Services segment operates a global payments network that processes and settles card transactions, acquires merchants, and provides multi-channel marketing programs and capabilities, services, and data analytics. The Corporate & Other segment covers corporate functions and certain other businesses and operations. The company was founded by Henry Wells, William G. Fargo and John Warren Butterfield on March 28, 1850 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AXP price fluctuates within 3.32% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 1.2%(39%) Average negative next day return: -0.91%(61%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 1.52%(39%) Average negative next three day return: -1.66%(61%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 0.95%(61%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.86%(39%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160522

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_22_2016	58.11	58.95	60.37	61.73	62.09	63.08	63.06(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	99	130	58	223	5.95	35%	-0.07	54.2	1.23%	0	2.1	78	INF
2	Apr_21_2016	58.15	58.66	59.75	61.01	61.28	62.61	62.75(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	78	170	62	125	9.47	35%	-0.09	51.2	1.98%	0	2.4	72	INF
3	Apr_20_2016	58.2	58.39	59.1	60.41	60.34	61.1	62.19(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	58	80	46	93	8.5	35%	-0.1	52.6	1.98%	0	2.6	68	INF
4	Apr_19_2016	58.26	58.15	58.59	59.87	59.79	59.95	60.8(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	10	25	71	4.8	31%	-0.14	59.2	1.96%	0	2.3	69	INF
5	Apr_18_2016	58.34	58	58.22	59.31	59.41	59.57	59.86(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	20	14	49	3.14	31%	-0.14	62.2	1.95%	0	2	63	INF

6	Apr_15_2016	58.42	57.91	57.99	58.78	58.96	59.64	59.43(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	90	28	41	4.4	31%	0.02	61.9	1.97%	0	1.8	63	INF
7	Apr_14_2016	58.41	57.79	57.84	58.27	58.32	59.26	59.79(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	45	120	48	37	4.02	31%	-0.15	56.2	1.97%	0	2.5	63	INF
8	Apr_13_2016	58.5	57.64	57.68	57.58	57.63	58.28	59.45(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	34	80	39	17	4.69	29%	-0.15	42.2	1.97%	0	2.7	60	INF
9	Apr_12_2016	58.59	57.48	57.45	57.14	57.04	57.39	58.04(1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	10	40	15	-7	4.36	23%	-0.19	26.7	1.96%	0	1	52	INF
10	Apr_11_2016	58.7	57.41	57.41	56.99	56.93	56.98	57.19(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	0	5	-19	4.03	23%	-0.2	23.3	1.96%	0	-0.4	40	INF

11	Apr_8_2016	58.82	57.39	57.43	57.09	56.95	56.7	56.91(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-40	-13	-28	4.6	23%	-0.2	35.2	1.96%	0	-0.8	37	INF
12	Apr_7_2016	58.94	57.35	57.5	57.34	57.21	56.87	56.3(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-22	-50	-22	-22	4.05	23%	-0.22	46.7	1.95%	0	-1.5	45	INF
13	Apr_6_2016	59.07	57.36	57.65	57.77	57.6	57.2	57.27(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-60	-12	-2	4.11	21%	-0.19	76.7	1.94%	0	-0.1	57	INF
14	Apr_5_2016	59.18	57.33	57.7	57.79	57.8	57.54	57.29(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-10	-30	-15	4	4.64	21%	-0.19	91.9	1.97%	0	-0.1	61	INF
15	Apr_4_2016	59.29	57.28	57.8	57.87	57.92	57.99	57.7(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	10	1	20	3.37	19%	-0.17	109.8	1.98%	0	0.6	60	INF

16	Apr_1_2016	59.39	57.17	57.85	57.81	57.78	58.06	58.16(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	30	10	30	4.17	19%	-0.18	113.6	2.01%	0	1.2	66	INF
17	Mar_31_2016	59.5	57.03	57.76	57.69	57.63	57.84	58.44(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	20	14	35	6.31	19%	-0.18	117.9	2.02%	0	1.6	73	INF
18	Mar_30_2016	59.61	56.83	57.6	57.54	57.45	57.5	57.39(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	0	1	29	5.1	19%	-0.22	113.1	2.01%	0	0.6	64	INF
19	Mar_29_2016	59.74	56.68	57.51	57.6	57.46	57.5	57.68(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10	-3	29	4.21	19%	-0.2	107.4	2.01%	0	0.9	61	INF
20	Mar_28_2016	59.86	56.45	57.42	57.72	57.54	57.41	57.38(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-30	-8	34	3.26	19%	-0.42	93.4	2.01%	0	0.7	63	INF

21	Mar_24_2016	60.11	56.23	57.35	57.9	57.7	57.5	57.56(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-30	-5	47	3.55	19%	-0.22	81.4	2.01%	0	0.8	70	INF
22	Mar_23_2016	60.24	56	57.19	57.82	57.83	57.67	57.71(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-20	-0	51	3.61	22%	-0.22	77.3	2.01%	0	0.9	73	INF
23	Mar_22_2016	60.37	55.73	57.05	57.65	57.65	57.9	57.69(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	30	7	58	4.78	22%	-0.21	74.8	2.03%	0	1	77	INF
24	Mar_21_2016	60.5	55.47	56.93	57.38	57.35	57.99	58.26(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	80	27	71	3.67	22%	-0.18	76.3	2.03%	0	1.5	84	INF
25	Mar_18_2016	60.61	55.2	56.71	57.07	56.89	57.4	58.27(1.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	40	50	27	80	8.34	21%		79.8	2.03%	0	1.6	87	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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