Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Express)
AXP latest price $57.6895 (-0.98%) ($57.0233 - $57.9656) on Tue. Mar. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.03% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $57.6895(-0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AXP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AXP advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AXP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(30%)    IVE(29%)    SPY(29%)    VYM(29%)    IWD(28%)
Factors Impacting AXP price   AXP will decline at least -1.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-9%)    XHB(-8%)    GLD(-7%)    TIP(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.015% (StdDev 2.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.65(0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.05(1.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.73(3.52%)
To recent high   -13.7%
To recent low   18.6%
Market Cap   $46.44b

American Express Co. engages in the provision of charge and credit card products, and travel-related services. It operates through the following segments: Global Consumer Services Group, Global Commercial Services, Global Merchant and Network Services and Corporate & Other. The Global Consumer Services Group segment issues a wide range of proprietary consumer cards globally. The Global Commercial Services segment provides proprietary corporate and small business cards, payment and expense management services, and commercial financing products. The Global Merchant and Network Services segment operates a global payments network that processes and settles card transactions, acquires merchants, and provides multi-channel marketing programs and capabilities, services, and data analytics. The Corporate & Other segment covers corporate functions and certain other businesses and operations. The company was founded by Henry Wells, William G. Fargo and John Warren Butterfield on March 28, 1850 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AXP price fluctuates within 3.45% (three month std-dev: 2.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.86%(55%) Average negative next day return: -1.08%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.52%(82%) Average negative next three day return: -0.6%(18%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.05%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.45%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160422

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2016	60.37	55.73	57.05	57.65	57.65	57.9	57.69(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	30	7	58	4.78	22%	-0.21	74.8	2.03%	0	1	77	0
2	Mar_21_2016	60.5	55.47	56.93	57.38	57.35	57.99	58.26(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	80	27	71	3.67	22%	-0.18	76.3	2.03%	0	1.5	84	0
3	Mar_18_2016	60.61	55.2	56.71	57.07	56.89	57.4	58.27(1.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	40	50	27	80	8.34	21%	-0.21	79.8	2.03%	0	1.6	87	0
4	Mar_17_2016	60.74	54.89	56.42	56.74	56.59	56.71	57.19(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	10	14	80	4.61	20%	-0.23	85.2	2.03%	0	1.2	86	0
5	Mar_16_2016	60.88	54.61	56.24	56.48	56.5	56.38	56.82(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	21	-10	1	81	4.88	20%	-0.23	83.8	2.04%	0	1.1	85	0

6	Mar_15_2016	61.02	54.32	56	56.36	56.4	56.47	56.38(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	10	-5	89	3.88	24%	-0.23	82.3	2.04%	0	1	87	0
7	Mar_14_2016	61.16	54.04	55.78	56.4	56.43	56.63	56.7(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	30	10	106	4.25	24%	-0.24	86.2	2.06%	0	1.3	83	0
8	Mar_11_2016	61.31	53.72	55.42	56.29	56.37	56.33	56.59(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	34	-0	10	105	7.84	23%	-0.2	80.6	2.06%	0	1.4	76	0
9	Mar_10_2016	61.43	53.33	55.04	56.07	56.14	56.23	55.92(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	10	0	100	6.48	23%	-0.29	66.3	2.06%	0	1.2	77	0
10	Mar_9_2016	61.61	53.02	54.73	55.94	56	56.4	56.2(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	50	21	114	6.47	23%	-0.28	61.1	2.06%	0	1.4	82	0

11	Mar_8_2016	61.78	52.71	54.32	55.57	55.61	56.05	56.57(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	60	28	113	10.56	23%	-0.27	56.3	2.06%	0	1.8	86	0
12	Mar_7_2016	61.95	52.37	53.9	55.07	55.07	55.6	56.16(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	49	70	29	110	9.37	23%	-0.29	48.5	2.06%	0	1.9	87	0
13	Mar_4_2016	62.13	52.11	53.56	54.42	54.54	55.18	55.48(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	54	90	35	109	5.41	23%	-0.29	45.3	2.05%	0	1.8	87	0
14	Mar_3_2016	62.31	51.91	53.21	53.87	53.87	54.54	55.29(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	52	90	32	111	6.85	23%	-0.27	45	2.05%	0	2	89	0
15	Mar_2_2016	62.48	51.7	52.82	53.35	53.37	53.91	54.37(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	70	33	107	7.27	22%	-0.3	40.5	2.04%	0	1.9	75	0

16	Mar_1_2016	62.67	51.52	52.49	52.88	52.89	53.2	54.06(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	40	22	94	9.16	22%	-0.32	30.6	2.04%	0	2	71	0
17	Feb_29_2016	62.87	51.4	52.14	52.56	52.43	52.82	52.9(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	40	6	86	10.38	18%	-0.35	25	2%	0	1.3	69	0
18	Feb_26_2016	63.09	51.3	51.87	52.57	52.39	52.59	52.71(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	20	17	86	5.89	18%	-0.33	20.6	2%	0	1.3	56	0
19	Feb_25_2016	63.3	51.17	51.49	52.44	52.35	52.04	52.72(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-50	2	60	4.39	18%	-0.33	-20.4	2.02%	0	1.4	53	0
20	Feb_24_2016	63.51	51.12	51.19	52.21	52.24	52.2	52.01(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-0	-6	41	5.6	18%	-0.35	-62.1	2.01%	0	0.9	52	0

21	Feb_23_2016	63.73	51.13	51	52.01	52.12	52.66	52.45(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	80	23	42	5.88	18%	-0.33	-96.1	2.01%	0	1.2	56	0
22	Feb_22_2016	63.94	51.11	50.74	51.64	51.71	52.28	52.95(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	34	80	37	24	6.54	18%	-0.28	-136.7	2%	0	1.7	52	0
23	Feb_19_2016	64.12	51.07	50.54	51.08	51.18	51.57	52.07(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	60	33	7	6.56	18%	-0.28	-191.4	1.99%	0	1	55	0
24	Feb_18_2016	64.3	51.39	50.48	50.39	50.63	51.14	51.54(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	17	80	26	-12	8.5	21%	-0.31	-101	1.98%	0	0.1	56	0
25	Feb_17_2016	64.5	51.77	50.45	50.04	49.96	50.78	51.03(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	11	110	23	-27	8.64	21%		-82	1.99%	0	-0.3	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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