Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: AXP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Express)
AXP latest price $86.2439 (1.08%) ($85.0637 - $86.6250) on Thu. Jun. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $86.2439(1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AXP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AXP advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AXP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(33%)    SPY(31%)    VT(30%)    XLV(29%)    XLI(28%)
Factors Impacting AXP price   AXP will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(-8%)    SHY(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $85.45(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.68(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.7(3.04%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $69.426b

American Express Co. engages in the provision of charge and credit card products, and travel-related services. It operates through the following segments: Global Consumer Services Group, Global Commercial Services, Global Merchant and Network Services and Corporate & Other. The Global Consumer Services Group segment issues a wide range of proprietary consumer cards globally. The Global Commercial Services segment provides proprietary corporate and small business cards, payment and expense management services, and commercial financing products. The Global Merchant and Network Services segment operates a global payments network that processes and settles card transactions, acquires merchants, and provides multi-channel marketing programs and capabilities, services, and data analytics. The Corporate & Other segment covers corporate functions and certain other businesses and operations. The company was founded by Henry Wells, William G. Fargo and John Warren Butterfield on March 28, 1850 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. AXP price fluctuates within 2.15% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 37 Average positive next day return: 0.65%(51%) Average negative next day return: -0.89%(49%) Sample size 37 Average positive next three day return: 1.04%(51%) Average negative next three day return: -1.63%(49%) Sample size 37 Average positive next weekly return: 1.36%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.7%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140705

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_5_2014	82.64	83.7	84.68	85.45	85.37	85.51	86.24(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	10	18	67	3.22	52%	0.08	64.2	1.72%	0	1.4	63	INF
2	Jun_4_2014	82.57	83.47	84.23	85.17	85.12	85.16	85.32(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	0	2	53	2.64	52%	0.06	63.9	1.73%	0	1.1	59	INF
3	Jun_3_2014	82.52	83.22	83.81	85.03	84.98	85.23	85.25(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	20	8	46	2.59	52%	0.06	55.7	1.75%	0	1.1	57	INF
4	Jun_2_2014	82.47	83.01	83.47	84.97	84.85	85.07	85.4(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	10	23	46	2.83	52%	0.06	56.7	1.76%	0	1.3	55	INF
5	May_30_2014	82.42	82.78	83.61	84.39	84.54	84.72	85.04(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	20	22	50	3.59	52%	0.06	49.1	1.78%	0	1.3	57	INF

6	May_29_2014	82.37	82.56	83.25	83.76	83.88	84.64	84.83(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	70	28	36	2.67	52%	0.06	38.9	1.79%	0	1.3	57	INF
7	May_28_2014	82.32	82.37	82.98	83.13	83.17	84.36	84.63(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	52	100	57	35	2.47	52%	0.05	30.5	1.81%	0	1.4	58	INF
8	May_27_2014	82.28	82.21	82.78	82.39	82.39	83.13	84.93(2.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	45	60	51	26	5.09	52%	0.06	21.8	1.83%	0	1.7	62	INF
9	May_23_2014	82.23	82	82.78	81.78	81.69	81.97	82.51(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-1	20	-1	-1	1.86	48%	0.01	12.9	1.8%	0	0.3	55	INF
10	May_22_2014	82.22	81.92	82.59	82.77	81.51	81.65	81.92(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-30	-14	23	2.65	48%	-0.01	34.8	1.82%	0	0	55	INF

11	May_21_2014	82.23	81.89	82.65	82.67	82.83	81.41	81.65(0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-110	-1	32	2.53	48%	-0.01	32.6	1.83%	0	-0.2	55	INF
12	May_20_2014	82.24	81.86	82.68	82.78	82.86	81.37	80.94(-1.17%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-66	-120	-88	2	2.8	48%	-0.04	37.9	1.85%	0	-0.6	51	INF
13	May_19_2014	82.27	81.87	82.64	83.15	83.19	84.26	81.89(-6.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	90	-13	36	2.01	48%	0	49.7	1.86%	0	0	52	INF
14	May_16_2014	82.27	81.81	82.59	83.44	83.6	84.36	87.45(7.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	100	70	101	97	4.47	58%	0.13	60.1	1.62%	0	3.7	72	INF
15	May_15_2014	82.16	81.42	81.89	82.46	82.65	82.12	81.41(-0.97%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-22	-40	-39	29	3.33	44%	-0.01	80.2	1.19%	0	-0	54	INF

16	May_14_2014	82.17	81.41	81.83	82.65	82.83	82.85	82.21(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	10	-10	45	2.24	44%	0	81.1	1.19%	0	0.9	56	INF
17	May_13_2014	82.17	81.3	81.73	82.56	82.72	83.19	82.8(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	50	40	65	2.3	44%	0.01	74.3	1.2%	0	1.7	62	INF
18	May_12_2014	82.16	81.14	81.6	82.02	82.2	82.81	83.33(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	50	60	49	54	2.34	44%	0.04	52.3	1.21%	0	2.4	66	INF
19	May_9_2014	82.13	80.9	81.34	81.6	81.53	82.24	82.56(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	44	60	45	40	2.34	44%	0.01	18	1.22%	0	1.8	65	NAN
20	May_8_2014	82.12	80.73	81.17	81.24	81.07	81.59	82.36(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	44	40	47	33	4.22	44%	0.01	-19.4	1.23%	0	1.9	67	NAN

21	May_7_2014	82.11	80.72	81.04	80.91	80.72	80.82	81.76(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	0	14	9	4.6	44%	-0.01	-38.5	1.24%	0	1.2	53	NAN
22	May_6_2014	82.12	80.65	80.95	80.81	80.68	80.54	80.11(-1.33%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-10	-20	-13	1	3.27	39%	-0.07	-64.8	1.21%	0	-0.6	53	NAN
23	May_5_2014	82.18	80.67	81.04	81.1	80.85	80.62	81.19(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	-30	-12	19	3.34	41%	-0.04	-72.1	1.21%	0	0.6	65	NAN
24	May_2_2014	82.21	80.74	80.98	81.05	81.06	80.82	80.79(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-20	-12	29	3.71	41%	-0.05	-70	1.22%	0	0.1	68	NAN
25	May_1_2014	82.25	80.91	80.93	81.06	81.09	81.08	80.69(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	0	-11	34	4.68	41%		-49.4	1.24%	0	-0.2	60	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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