Trading Signals: AWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 1, 2010

Trading Signals: AWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Apr. 23, 2008 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(American Water Works Company Inc.)
AWK latest price $23.0400 (2.04%) ($22.7600 - $23.0700) on Wed. Sep. 1, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $23.0400(2.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AWK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AWK advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(76%)    XLP(60%)    SPY(50%)    JNK(44%)    XLK(43%)
Factors Impacting AWK price   AWK will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    TIP(5%)    IGOV(5%)    SHY(6%)    USO(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.73(1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.46(2.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.48(2.49%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $4.175b

American Water Works Co., Inc. engages in the provision of complementary water and wastewater services. It operates through the following segments: Regulated Businesses, Market-Based Businesses, and Other. The Regulated Businesses segment provides water and wastewater services to customers. The Market-Based Businesses segment is responsible for Military Services Group, Contract Operations Group, Homeowner Services Group, and Keystone Operations. The Other segment includes corporate costs that are not allocated to the Company's operating segments, eliminations of inter-segment transactions, fair value adjustments and associated income and deductions related to the acquisitions that have not been allocated to the operating segments for evaluation of performance and allocation of resource purposes. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Camden, NJ.

$. AWK price fluctuates within 1.56% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 0.43%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.3%(62%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 0.78%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -1.38%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 0.99%(85%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.05%(15%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2010	21.31	22.48	22.46	22.73	22.73	22.74	23.04(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	0	10	41	0.9	62%	0.05	84.6	1.5%	0	1.6	58	NAN
2	Aug_31_2010	21.3	22.41	22.38	22.65	22.66	22.63	22.58(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10	6	25	1.27	60%	0.05	75.8	1.5%	0	0.5	46	NAN
3	Aug_30_2010	21.29	22.36	22.35	22.53	22.6	22.71	22.6(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	40	11	7	1.36	60%	0.05	61.8	1.51%	0	0.6	44	NAN
4	Aug_27_2010	21.28	22.32	22.3	22.41	22.4	22.7	22.74(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	90	17	-11	1.04	60%	0.09	47.7	1.51%	0	1	51	NAN
5	Aug_26_2010	21.26	22.26	22.28	22.28	22.26	22.5	22.69(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	13	70	24	-20	1.38	60%	0.05	37	1.51%	0	0.9	51	NAN

6	Aug_25_2010	21.25	22.19	22.26	22.16	22.1	22.1	22.66(3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	-10	8	-41	2.59	60%	0	28.8	1.51%	0	1	49	NAN
7	Aug_24_2010	21.25	22.19	22.25	22.08	22.06	22.03	21.95(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10	-9	-40	1.12	57%	0	30.3	1.47%	0	-0.4	60	NAN
8	Aug_23_2010	21.25	22.13	22.34	22.15	22.17	22.03	22(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-20	-2	-9	0.52	57%	0.05	38.7	1.47%	0	-0.3	61	NAN
9	Aug_20_2010	21.24	22.12	22.4	22.17	22.2	22.1	22.08(-0.05%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-9	-30	-13	2	0.82	53%	0	44.6	1.47%	0	-0.1	57	NAN
10	Aug_19_2010	21.24	22.09	22.45	22.29	22.25	22.23	22.09(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10	-9	34	1.24	53%	0	53.2	1.53%	0	0	63	NAN

11	Aug_18_2010	21.24	22.05	22.51	22.37	22.35	22.3	22.27(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-20	-6	65	1.48	51%	0.05	54.3	1.54%	0	0.4	67	NAN
12	Aug_17_2010	21.23	21.99	22.45	22.46	22.42	22.27	22.33(1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-50	-12	74	2.86	51%	0.05	56	1.55%	0	0.6	62	NAN
13	Aug_16_2010	21.22	21.95	22.38	22.56	22.51	22.41	22.1(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	11	-40	-13	81	1.16	51%	0.05	62.1	1.55%	0	0.3	54	NAN
14	Aug_13_2010	21.21	21.9	22.36	22.66	22.61	22.57	22.66(0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	24	-20	-1	100	1.09	52%	0.05	63.5	1.53%	0	1.2	63	NAN
15	Aug_12_2010	21.2	21.81	22.24	22.64	22.63	22.61	22.48(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	24	-10	-2	102	1.39	52%	0.05	63.6	1.53%	0	1.1	66	NAN

16	Aug_11_2010	21.19	21.75	22.12	22.66	22.62	22.64	22.72(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	0	13	112	1.72	52%	0.05	67.9	1.52%	0	1.6	69	NAN
17	Aug_10_2010	21.18	21.68	22	22.44	22.57	22.66	22.82(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	50	23	103	1.86	57%	0.09	62	1.53%	0	2	74	NAN
18	Aug_9_2010	21.16	21.59	21.9	22.18	22.3	22.6	22.6(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	110	17	76	0.63	57%	0.05	63.4	1.69%	0	2	63	NAN
19	Aug_6_2010	21.15	21.51	21.8	22.02	22.04	22.48	22.56(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	42	140	30	76	1.11	51%	0.05	73.2	1.74%	0	2.4	67	NAN
20	Aug_5_2010	21.14	21.44	21.68	21.79	21.83	21.99	22.62(4.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	39	60	31	63	2.89	51%	0.09	85	1.78%	0	3.2	70	NAN

21	Aug_4_2010	21.12	21.36	21.54	21.79	21.52	21.59	21.58(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	6	20	-2	29	0.61	47%	0	102.5	1.67%	0	0.8	53	NAN
22	Aug_3_2010	21.12	21.34	21.49	21.51	21.49	21.66	21.56(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	50	3	26	0.76	47%	0.05	83.6	1.67%	0	0.6	54	NAN
23	Aug_2_2010	21.11	21.28	21.48	21.56	21.51	21.44	21.8(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-30	4	38	0.97	47%	0.05	76.9	1.67%	0	1.5	59	NAN
24	Jul_30_2010	21.1	21.19	21.4	21.55	21.54	21.32	21.38(0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-70	-9	33	0.83	45%	0	52.8	1.66%	0	0.5	55	NAN
25	Jul_29_2010	21.1	21.13	21.36	21.54	21.64	21.58	21.25(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10	-7	27	0.94	47%		37.4	1.66%	0	0.3	51	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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