Trading Signals: AWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 22, 2008

Trading Signals: AWK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Apr. 23, 2008 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(American Water Works Company Inc.)
AWK latest price $18.9700 (-3.66%) ($18.4100 - $19.4500) on Wed. Oct. 22, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.58% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $18.9700(-3.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AWK advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AWK declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AWK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(71%)    XLP(58%)    SPY(50%)    XLK(44%)    QQQ(43%)
Factors Impacting AWK price   AWK will decline at least -1.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    SHY(2%)    TIP(3%)    USO(13%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.29% (StdDev 2.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

Resistance Level   $19.41
5 Day Moving Average   $19.19(-1.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.97(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.41(-2.27%)
To recent high   -17.3%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $3.437b

American Water Works Co., Inc. engages in the provision of complementary water and wastewater services. It operates through the following segments: Regulated Businesses, Market-Based Businesses, and Other. The Regulated Businesses segment provides water and wastewater services to customers. The Market-Based Businesses segment is responsible for Military Services Group, Contract Operations Group, Homeowner Services Group, and Keystone Operations. The Other segment includes corporate costs that are not allocated to the Company's operating segments, eliminations of inter-segment transactions, fair value adjustments and associated income and deductions related to the acquisitions that have not been allocated to the operating segments for evaluation of performance and allocation of resource purposes. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Camden, NJ.

$. AWK price fluctuates within 3.86% (three month std-dev: 2.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.52%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 6.13%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.98%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.74%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.95%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2008	20.75	19.41	18.97	19.19	19.1	19.3	18.97(-3.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	1	60	8	-19	0.3	54%	-0.1	-18.9	2.58%	0	-0.6	42	0
2	Oct_21_2008	20.77	19.45	18.98	19.02	18.86	19.38	19.69(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	170	17	-40	0.28	56%	-0.1	-27.9	2.55%	0	0.3	45	0
3	Oct_20_2008	20.79	19.43	18.96	18.91	18.59	18.89	19.76(3.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-9	60	12	-70	0.25	56%	-0.1	-38.1	2.55%	0	0.4	37	0
4	Oct_17_2008	20.81	19.42	18.92	18.84	18.7	18.34	19.13(3.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-160	7	-86	0.37	54%	-0.1	-44.3	2.52%	0	-0.4	45	0
5	Oct_16_2008	20.83	19.46	18.99	18.67	18.84	18.29	18.42(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-180	-17	-101	0.46	54%	-0.14	-55.8	2.48%	0	-1.4	48	0

6	Oct_15_2008	20.86	19.56	19.16	18.72	18.77	19.07	18.1(-5.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-37	120	-17	-97	0.25	51%	-0.14	-62.5	2.49%	0	-2	41	0
7	Oct_14_2008	20.89	19.65	19.37	18.92	18.93	19.39	19.13(-1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	170	16	-68	0.67	55%	-0.1	-68.8	2.45%	0	-0.8	49	0
8	Oct_13_2008	20.91	19.71	19.59	19.02	18.77	19.39	19.4(6.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-14	-150	-3	-46	0.51	55%	-0.1	-67.5	2.45%	0	-0.5	52	0
9	Oct_10_2008	20.93	19.76	19.65	19.04	18.95	18.48	18.3(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-36	-190	-31	-52	0.74	46%	-0.14	-66.9	2.44%	0	-2.1	43	0
10	Oct_9_2008	20.96	19.9	19.76	19.37	19.34	19.06	18.69(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-110	-23	-36	0.87	46%	-0.1	-58.1	2.43%	0	-1.8	43	0

11	Oct_8_2008	20.98	20.02	19.9	19.65	19.62	19.42	19.07(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-80	-16	-17	0.78	46%	-0.14	-51.3	2.42%	0	-1.5	43	0
12	Oct_7_2008	21.01	20.12	19.97	19.87	19.86	19.63	19.62(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-80	-23	-8	0.51	48%	-0.1	-51.3	2.4%	0	-0.8	49	0
13	Oct_6_2008	21.03	20.17	19.95	20.25	20.1	19.82	19.52(-2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-8	-120	-14	10	0.77	48%	-0.1	-49.7	2.41%	0	-1.1	45	0
14	Oct_3_2008	21.05	20.24	19.97	20.36	20.43	20.1	19.93(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	7	-100	3	18	0.52	46%	-0.09	-59.5	2.41%	0	-0.5	48	0
15	Oct_2_2008	21.07	20.29	19.98	20.21	20.27	20.37	20.12(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	40	-5	-7	0.44	46%	-0.05	-70.6	2.45%	0	-0.3	44	0

16	Oct_1_2008	21.08	20.35	19.99	20.18	20.16	20.75	20.17(-6.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	12	200	19	-8	0.53	48%	-0.05	-66.7	2.46%	0	-0.3	44	0
17	Sep_30_2008	21.09	20.43	19.96	20.07	19.94	20.18	21.5(6.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	20	60	35	-24	1.17	51%	0	-57.5	2.37%	0	1.2	51	0
18	Sep_29_2008	21.09	20.48	19.83	19.64	19.63	19.56	20.1(4.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-30	1	-77	1.05	46%	-0.09	-66.8	2.21%	0	-0.4	45	0
19	Sep_26_2008	21.11	20.61	19.84	19.55	19.62	19.7	19.15(-4.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	40	-9	-100	0.54	40%	-0.09	-56.3	2.11%	0	-1.4	32	0
20	Sep_25_2008	21.13	20.76	20.02	19.72	19.7	19.69	20(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-22	-10	-1	-85	0.3	44%	-0.05	-52.1	2.09%	0	-0.8	37	0

21	Sep_24_2008	21.14	20.84	20.12	19.77	19.88	19.53	19.6(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-110	-9	-91	0.52	44%	-0.09	-52.1	2.09%	0	-1.2	27	0
22	Sep_23_2008	21.16	20.95	20.27	19.83	20	19.71	19.34(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-45	-80	-25	-104	0.39	44%	-0.14	-54.6	2.08%	0	-1.7	20	0
23	Sep_22_2008	21.19	21.08	20.4	20.04	20.16	20.22	19.66(-1.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-33	40	-8	-109	0.31	44%	-0.09	-50.5	2.08%	0	-1.6	17	0
24	Sep_19_2008	21.21	21.19	20.53	20.16	20.23	20.28	20(-1.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-37	30	-7	-125	0.34	44%	-0.09	-43.1	2.07%	0	-1.4	18	0
25	Sep_18_2008	21.23	21.29	20.63	20.37	20.28	20.11	20.25(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-70	-13	-128	0.57	44%		-33.9	2.07%	0	-1.3	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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