Trading Signals: AVGO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: AVGO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Broadcom)
AVGO latest price $120.7182 (0.9%) ($119.0633 - $121.6150) on Thu. Mar. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.5% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $120.7182(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVGO advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVGO advances 8.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVGO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(67%)    XLK(67%)    SPY(65%)    SMH(64%)    VT(64%)
Factors Impacting AVGO price   AVGO will decline at least -1.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.25% (StdDev 2.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $119.24(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $113.65(6.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.05(12.77%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   35.7%
Market Cap   $48.541b

Broadcom, Inc., is a holding company, which engages in the design, development, and supply of analog and digital semiconductor connectivity solutions. It operates through the following segments: Wired Infrastructure, Wireless Communications, Enterprise Storage, and Industrial and Other. The Wired Infrastructure segment provides semiconductor solutions for enabling the Set-top Box and broadband access markets. The Wireless Communications segment includes mobile handsets and tablets. The Enterprise Storage segment offers storage products the enable secure movement of digital data to and from host machines such as servers, personal computers, and storage systems to the underlying storage devices. The Industrial and Other segment consists of a variety of products for the general industrial and automotive markets. The company was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. AVGO price fluctuates within 8.14% (three month std-dev: 2.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 2.16%(63%) Average negative next day return: -2.86%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 4.33%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.14%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 6.85%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.01%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150405

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2015	91.67	107.05	113.65	119.24	118.97	119.22	120.72(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	72	10	25	212	2.17	69%	0.61	73	2.5%	0	1.6	87	0
2	Mar_4_2015	91.11	105.82	111.85	118.99	118.45	118.38	119.64(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	69	-20	19	220	3.61	74%	0.62	76.4	2.5%	0	1.7	88	0
3	Mar_3_2015	90.55	104.58	110.06	115.9	118.1	118.72	118.55(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	94	90	61	194	1.87	76%	0.63	68.4	2.7%	0	1.8	88	0
4	Mar_2_2015	89.98	103.35	108.41	113.12	114.59	118.51	119.29(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	105	280	78	187	2.79	76%	0.63	59.4	2.72%	0	2.2	92	0
5	Feb_27_2015	89.42	102.09	106.59	110.13	110.98	117.49	117.99(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	190	430	184	207	3.38	72%	0.51	51.4	2.71%	0	2.4	83	0

6	Feb_26_2015	88.97	101.04	104.84	107.25	107.51	110.67	119.5(14.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.3	177	210	176	178	8.93	73%	0.51	48.2	2.72%	0	3.4	82	0
7	Feb_25_2015	88.52	99.83	102.74	103.86	104.08	104.48	104.18(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	30	17	106	3.82	64%	0.35	48.8	2.04%	0	1.3	71	0
8	Feb_24_2015	88.21	99.45	102.24	103.36	103.47	104.35	104.64(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	60	30	115	2.32	64%	0.33	46.5	2.04%	0	1.6	75	0
9	Feb_23_2015	87.92	99.13	101.27	102.94	102.8	103.68	104.34(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	60	39	114	2.39	64%	0.33	51	2.04%	0	1.7	76	0
10	Feb_20_2015	87.63	98.82	100.53	102.44	102.25	102.6	103.6(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	20	28	109	1.93	64%	0.32	60.1	2.04%	0	1.7	73	0

11	Feb_19_2015	87.35	98.49	99.97	102	101.8	101.91	102.53(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	0	9	95	1.32	64%	0.28	64.1	2.04%	0	1.6	58	0
12	Feb_18_2015	87.11	98.21	99.4	101.45	101.54	101.9	101.7(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	30	19	90	1.67	67%	0.26	68.1	2.07%	0	1.5	60	0
13	Feb_17_2015	86.88	97.96	98.78	100.91	100.91	101.69	102.5(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	50	45	89	1.53	67%	0.33	69.3	2.09%	0	2.1	62	0
14	Feb_13_2015	86.59	97.62	97.99	99.31	99.69	101.17	101.84(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	57	120	57	58	1.46	67%	0.27	53.2	2.09%	0	2.2	56	0
15	Feb_12_2015	86.36	97.2	97.3	98.31	98.18	100.12	101.42(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	57	130	64	34	2.11	67%	0.23	35.2	2.09%	0	2.2	54	0

16	Feb_11_2015	86.16	96.9	96.94	97.66	97.34	98.21	99.8(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	52	50	60	26	1.72	67%	0.23	41.7	2.08%	0	1.8	55	0
17	Feb_10_2015	85.96	96.64	96.63	97.08	96.85	96.24	98.96(4.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	3	-50	6	-7	2.04	67%	0.22	51.6	2.08%	0	1.5	53	0
18	Feb_9_2015	85.77	96.46	96.39	96.37	96.56	96.47	94.53(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-0	-24	-32	2.03	63%	0.15	53.9	2.01%	0	-1.3	44	0
19	Feb_6_2015	85.64	96.59	96.81	96.4	96.47	97.46	96.84(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	26	70	35	-0	1.07	62%	0.18	72.4	2.02%	0	0.2	54	0
20	Feb_5_2015	85.49	96.54	96.99	96.06	95.66	96.66	98.19(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	25	60	31	6	1.66	62%	0.21	75.3	2.01%	0	1.2	65	0

21	Feb_4_2015	85.31	96.22	96.88	96.12	95.46	95.49	96.89(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-20	16	6	1.67	62%	0.19	58	2.02%	0	0.4	55	0
22	Feb_3_2015	85.15	95.86	96.93	96.16	95.73	94.66	95.41(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-90	-35	-7	1.54	62%	0.2	35.4	2.02%	0	-0.2	54	0
23	Feb_2_2015	84.98	95.67	97.11	96.45	96.57	95.44	94.69(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-80	-50	-3	2.16	62%	0.17	32.2	2.02%	0	-0.4	50	0
24	Jan_30_2015	84.84	95.58	97.28	97.25	97.17	96.79	95.12(-3.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-24	-30	-36	13	1.69	62%	0.17	39.3	2.09%	0	-0.2	46	0
25	Jan_29_2015	84.7	95.49	97.2	98.01	97.61	97.7	98.49(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10	3	36	1.58	67%		46.3	2.08%	0	1.1	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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