Trading Signals: AVGO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: AVGO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Broadcom)
AVGO latest price $71.0724 (2.05%) ($70.7776 - $73.4215) on Fri. Oct. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.43% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $71.0724(2.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVGO advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVGO declines -7.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVGO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(67%)    QQQ(66%)    SMH(64%)    SPY(64%)    VT(63%)
Factors Impacting AVGO price   AVGO will decline at least -1.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.215% (StdDev 2.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $55.41(-22.04%)
Resistance Level   $74.75
5 Day Moving Average   $67.5(5.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.35(1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.75(-4.92%)
To recent high   -13.8%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $28.578b

Broadcom, Inc., is a holding company, which engages in the design, development, and supply of analog and digital semiconductor connectivity solutions. It operates through the following segments: Wired Infrastructure, Wireless Communications, Enterprise Storage, and Industrial and Other. The Wired Infrastructure segment provides semiconductor solutions for enabling the Set-top Box and broadband access markets. The Wireless Communications segment includes mobile handsets and tablets. The Enterprise Storage segment offers storage products the enable secure movement of digital data to and from host machines such as servers, personal computers, and storage systems to the underlying storage devices. The Industrial and Other segment consists of a variety of products for the general industrial and automotive markets. The company was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. AVGO price fluctuates within 7.68% (three month std-dev: 2.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.71%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.76%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.85%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.37%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.27%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.45%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_17_2014	70.37	74.75	70.35	67.5	67.72	69.55	71.07(2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	35	200	94	-141	4.16	48%	0.09	-58.9	2.43%	0	-0.6	34	0
2	Oct_16_2014	70.31	75.28	70.86	66.43	65.97	66.67	69.64(4.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-50	50	3	-207	3.4	48%	0.09	-62	2.44%	0	-1	31	0
3	Oct_15_2014	70.25	75.92	71.53	67.35	66.13	65.89	66.83(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-87	-80	-41	-225	3.2	45%	0.03	-59.2	2.38%	0	-1.6	26	0
4	Oct_14_2014	70.23	76.65	72.71	69.33	68.51	65.27	66.35(4.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-108	-370	-73	-214	6.9	45%	-0.06	-54.9	2.38%	0	-1.9	22	0
5	Oct_13_2014	70.27	77.41	74.1	71	70.89	66.38	63.6(-3.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-193	-450	-179	-234	6.52	42%	-0.01	-53.3	2.33%	0	-2.9	19	0

6	Oct_10_2014	70.28	78.28	75.84	73.54	73.55	71.74	65.74(-11.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.1	-145	-170	-135	-175	10.6	44%	0.04	-54.1	2.29%	0	-3.4	22	0
7	Oct_9_2014	70.25	79.09	77.41	75.78	75.76	75.4	74.25(-3.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-39	-30	-13	-115	1.89	53%	0.17	-59.8	1.8%	0	-2	29	0
8	Oct_8_2014	70.13	79.48	77.96	76.26	76.18	75.36	76.74(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-58	-80	-35	-128	2.77	57%	0.21	-55.4	1.75%	0	-1.3	32	0
9	Oct_7_2014	69.98	79.73	78.47	76.67	76.59	76.13	74.65(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-75	-50	-58	-126	1.53	54%	0.19	-45.9	1.74%	0	-2.5	32	0
10	Oct_6_2014	69.85	80.08	79.1	77.77	77.6	76.99	76.35(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-44	-60	-28	-90	1.95	57%	0.2	-30.3	1.72%	0	-2.2	36	0

11	Oct_3_2014	69.71	80.33	79.52	78.55	78.45	77.05	76.89(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-62	-130	-56	-81	2.07	57%	0.22	-3.8	1.73%	0	-2.4	43	0
12	Oct_2_2014	69.56	80.54	80.04	79.29	79.15	78.21	76.66(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-68	-90	-69	-64	3.43	57%	0.2	49.4	1.73%	0	-3.1	39	0
13	Oct_1_2014	69.42	80.54	80.64	79.89	79.94	79.84	78.8(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-10	-22	-29	2.23	63%	0.25	116	1.69%	0	-1.8	40	0
14	Sep_30_2014	69.25	80.69	80.87	80.53	80.24	80.1	80.15(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-20	-4	-10	1.49	63%	0.25	162.1	1.7%	0	-0.5	44	0
15	Sep_29_2014	69.08	80.6	80.93	80.63	80.5	80.04	80.25(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-40	-12	-13	0.98	63%	0.28	197.2	1.71%	0	-0.3	47	0

16	Sep_26_2014	68.89	80.38	80.89	80.65	80.61	80.39	80.61(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-20	-24	-23	0.98	63%	0.28	158.4	1.7%	0	0.1	49	0
17	Sep_25_2014	68.7	79.91	80.9	80.94	80.8	80.95	79.65(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	10	-14	-12	1.79	63%	0.28	98	1.71%	0	-0.1	47	0
18	Sep_24_2014	68.51	79.48	81.12	81.51	81.32	80.84	82.01(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-50	7	21	1.45	67%	0.31	82.7	1.67%	0	0.7	64	0
19	Sep_23_2014	68.3	78.9	81.07	81.27	81.45	80.64	80.66(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-26	-60	-38	11	2.08	66%	0.32	71.7	1.66%	0	0.4	63	0
20	Sep_22_2014	68.08	78.38	81.12	81.28	81.6	81.81	80.31(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	30	-6	37	2.39	66%	0.32	65.7	1.67%	0	0.4	64	0

21	Sep_19_2014	67.86	77.89	81.2	81.13	81.34	82.25	82.08(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	90	42	78	4.18	69%	0.35	62.7	1.64%	0	0.9	81	0
22	Sep_18_2014	67.62	77.3	81.05	80.84	80.71	81.39	82.47(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	55	50	35	114	1.82	69%	0.37	61.8	1.64%	0	1.1	89	0
23	Sep_17_2014	67.37	76.69	80.71	80.7	80.53	80.43	80.83(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	41	-20	7	142	1.57	68%	0.39	65	1.63%	0	0.8	89	0
24	Sep_16_2014	67.11	76.13	80.48	80.87	80.65	80.04	80.7(1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	26	-60	-25	177	2.12	68%	0.39	69.1	1.63%	0	0.9	89	0
25	Sep_15_2014	66.85	75.56	80.24	80.96	80.98	80.62	79.59(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	35	-30	-28	223	1.6	68%		73.6	1.63%	0	0.8	88	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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