Trading Signals: AVGO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: AVGO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Broadcom)
AVGO latest price $68.8403 (4.31%) ($66.6466 - $69.0789) on Fri. Jul. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $68.8403(4.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVGO advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVGO advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVGO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(67%)    QQQ(66%)    SMH(64%)    SPY(64%)    VT(63%)
Factors Impacting AVGO price   AVGO will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.56(1.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.59(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.02(2.72%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   23.9%
Market Cap   $27.681b

Broadcom, Inc., is a holding company, which engages in the design, development, and supply of analog and digital semiconductor connectivity solutions. It operates through the following segments: Wired Infrastructure, Wireless Communications, Enterprise Storage, and Industrial and Other. The Wired Infrastructure segment provides semiconductor solutions for enabling the Set-top Box and broadband access markets. The Wireless Communications segment includes mobile handsets and tablets. The Enterprise Storage segment offers storage products the enable secure movement of digital data to and from host machines such as servers, personal computers, and storage systems to the underlying storage devices. The Industrial and Other segment consists of a variety of products for the general industrial and automotive markets. The company was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. AVGO price fluctuates within 1.94% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.77%(45%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.55%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -1.38%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.8%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.13%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140818

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_18_2014	61.9	67.02	67.59	67.56	67.38	67.25	68.84(4.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-20	11	10	3.4	71%	0.11	43.8	1.57%	0	1.4	65	0
2	Jul_17_2014	61.83	66.83	67.58	67.23	67.45	67.05	65.99(-2.38%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-15	-30	-22	7	1.78	70%	0.08	35.8	1.5%	0	-0.7	58	0
3	Jul_16_2014	61.78	66.81	67.82	67.46	67.57	67.51	67.6(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-0	-10	33	1.52	76%	0.11	39.8	1.49%	0	0.6	61	0
4	Jul_15_2014	61.71	66.71	67.85	67.46	67.4	67.86	67.39(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	40	7	62	1.46	76%	0.11	41.9	1.49%	0	0.5	64	0
5	Jul_14_2014	61.64	66.59	67.75	67.56	67.44	67.64	67.96(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	20	25	74	1.22	76%	0.13	37.9	1.49%	0	1	63	0

6	Jul_11_2014	61.56	66.45	67.49	67.65	67.29	66.94	67.19(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-50	-26	56	1.25	70%	0.1	40.4	1.48%	0	0.5	59	0
7	Jul_10_2014	61.5	66.37	67.31	68.01	67.71	67.24	67.14(-1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-60	-27	69	1.55	62%	0.11	48.3	1.52%	0	0.6	61	0
8	Jul_9_2014	61.43	66.29	67.19	68.23	68.21	67.64	68.13(1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-60	-17	79	0.98	66%	0.15	54	1.61%	0	1.4	65	0
9	Jul_8_2014	61.34	66.16	66.87	68.19	68.26	68.18	67.36(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-10	-13	75	1.92	66%	0.11	57.8	1.66%	0	0.9	60	0
10	Jul_7_2014	61.27	66.07	66.68	67.95	68.19	68.79	68.41(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	70	40	94	1.91	62%	0.16	54.8	1.65%	0	1.9	70	0

11	Jul_3_2014	61.17	65.91	66.4	67.29	67.39	68.35	69.01(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	59	100	52	79	0.8	58%	0.16	49.7	1.72%	0	2.8	69	0
12	Jul_2_2014	61.07	65.73	65.99	66.51	66.44	67.59	68.22(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	54	120	53	55	1.61	58%	0.15	43.8	1.73%	0	3	64	0
13	Jul_1_2014	60.98	65.58	65.68	66.02	65.8	66.43	67.95(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.1	50	60	53	40	2.14	58%	0.15	47.4	1.73%	0	3.8	63	0
14	Jun_30_2014	60.89	65.43	65.42	65.4	65.28	65.29	66.15(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	6	-0	7	4	1.78	55%	0.13	48.9	1.69%	0	2.3	52	0
15	Jun_27_2014	60.81	65.4	65.28	65.25	65.25	65.17	65.11(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10	-8	-11	1.69	57%	0.08	46.9	1.7%	0	-0.9	45	0

16	Jun_26_2014	60.76	65.38	65.3	65.37	65.39	65.27	65.13(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3	-10	-2	-6	0.81	55%	0.1	78.8	1.7%	0	-0.7	47	0
17	Jun_25_2014	60.7	65.36	65.35	65.36	65.43	65.32	65.75(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-5	-10	-4	-8	1.28	56%	0.13	86.4	1.72%	0	0.9	50	0
18	Jun_24_2014	60.62	65.36	65.32	65.28	65.41	65.51	64.87(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5	20	-3	-9	1.53	56%	0.1	106.1	1.71%	0	-1	44	0
19	Jun_23_2014	60.56	65.28	65.41	65.43	65.4	65.53	65.39(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	10	10	2	1.33	56%	0.12	142.4	1.72%	0	0.3	52	0
20	Jun_20_2014	60.49	65.24	65.43	65.31	65.33	65.31	65.69(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-0	4	-3	2.18	55%	0.12	146.5	1.74%	0	1	52	0

21	Jun_19_2014	60.42	65.11	65.4	65.23	65.22	65.28	65.1(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	10	-5	-5	1.27	56%	0.12	100	1.75%	0	-0	59	0
22	Jun_18_2014	60.35	64.99	65.47	65.33	65.22	65.34	65.37(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5	0	4	6	1.38	56%	0.13	81.8	1.75%	0	0.4	60	0
23	Jun_17_2014	60.27	64.82	65.48	65.37	65.34	65.17	65.61(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-3	-20	-7	10	1.38	57%	0.13	61.5	1.75%	0	0.7	69	0
24	Jun_16_2014	60.19	64.67	65.45	65.39	65.44	65.34	64.79(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-10	-10	11	1.57	57%	0.12	55	1.75%	0	0.1	51	0
25	Jun_13_2014	60.12	64.57	65.52	65.56	65.58	65.51	65.29(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10	-2	24	1.35	57%		60	1.76%	0	0.6	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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