Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AVB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 16, 2021

Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AvalonBay Communities Inc.)
AVB latest price $189.8100 (0.72%) ($188.1650 - $190.1000) on Fri. Apr. 16, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $189.8100(0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVB advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVB advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLRE(63%)    SPLV(56%)    IWD(49%)    SDY(49%)    XLU(48%)
Factors Impacting AVB price   AVB will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-34%)    UUP(-29%)    TBT(-12%)    VXX(-7%)    EDOC(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 1.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $187.89(1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $187.18(1.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $186.63(1.7%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   16.9%
Market Cap   $26.714b

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership, and operation of multifamily communities. It operates through the following segments: Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, and Development or Redevelopment Communities. The Established Communities segment refers to the operating communities that were owned and had stabilized occupancy. The Other Stabilized Communities segment includes all other completed communities that have stabilized occupancy. The Development or Redevelopment Communities segment consists of communities that are under construction. The company was founded by Gilbert M. Meyer in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

$. AVB price fluctuates within 0.88% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2021	173.38	186.63	187.18	187.89	187.95	188.76	189.81(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	59	30	66	39	0.66	54%	0.1	-31.8	1.32%	1.7	1.9	50	1.8
2	Apr_15_2021	173.2	186.55	186.86	187.12	187.2	187.62	188.46(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	20	33	14	0.96	54%	0.1	-41	1.33%	1.6	1.2	52	1.8
3	Apr_14_2021	173.02	186.58	186.47	186.55	186.72	187.15	186.26(-0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	11	20	15	-1	0.39	54%	0.08	-36.4	1.35%	-0.3	-0.2	55	1.4
4	Apr_13_2021	172.88	186.76	186.58	186.86	186.53	186.79	187.8(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	0	21	11	0.53	54%	0.1	-8.1	1.34%	1.8	0.6	59	1.7
5	Apr_12_2021	172.71	187	186.51	186.6	186.54	186.29	187.12(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10	6	6	0.49	54%	0.09	8.8	1.35%	1.2	0.1	56	1.8

6	Apr_9_2021	172.55	187.15	186.67	186.37	186.37	186.27	185.94(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-15	-0	-22	6	0.54	54%	0.1	29	1.34%	-0.6	-0.5	60	1.5
7	Apr_8_2021	172.38	187.19	186.82	186.56	186.42	186.79	185.65(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	18	10	17	21	0.4	54%	0.1	47.7	1.35%	0.1	-0.6	44	1.5
8	Apr_7_2021	172.21	187.18	186.77	186.34	186.24	186.48	187.78(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	10	29	13	0.39	54%	0.08	51.9	1.34%	1.8	0.2	45	1.4
9	Apr_6_2021	172.07	186.92	186.48	186.25	185.7	186.06	186.5(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	0	-4	-13	0.56	58%	0.08	53.5	1.36%	0.5	-0.2	41	1.2
10	Apr_5_2021	171.93	186.81	186.35	186.42	185.92	186.01	185.99(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	-0	12	-22	0.54	58%	0.13	65.1	1.39%	-0.3	-0.3	35	1.3

11	Apr_1_2021	171.7	186.44	186.07	187.05	186.26	185.34	186.9(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	-50	-32	-47	0.58	53%	0.11	55.7	1.44%	-0.2	0.1	43	1.3
12	Mar_31_2021	171.51	186.04	186.21	187.14	186.93	185.84	184.51(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-50	-40	-50	-49	0.89	53%	0.08	52.4	1.45%	-0.6	-0.4	49	1.2
13	Mar_30_2021	171.38	185.92	186.72	187.21	187.08	187.17	187.37(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	0	-9	-23	0.43	55%	0.14	46	1.44%	-0.3	0.3	55	1.2
14	Mar_29_2021	171.14	185.49	186.97	186.68	186.26	188.02	187.35(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	60	53	11	0.44	55%	0.24	37.1	1.44%	0.5	0.4	60	1
15	Mar_26_2021	170.73	185.01	187.51	186.24	185.63	186.98	189.12(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	101	40	118	51	0.56	55%	0.25	30.9	1.45%	1.1	0.8	59	1.4

16	Mar_25_2021	170.31	184.36	187.6	184.97	184.51	184.5	187.34(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10	8	16	0.64	55%	0.24	22.3	1.46%	1.4	0.6	66	1.1
17	Mar_24_2021	169.9	184.36	187.52	185.24	184.41	184.28	184.85(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-28	-20	-43	16	0.99	55%	0.21	26.7	1.47%	0.6	0.2	63	1
18	Mar_23_2021	169.55	184.01	187.61	186.22	185.75	184.52	184.75(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-15	-50	-33	41	0.83	55%	0.24	38.3	1.47%	-1.3	0.2	56	1.1
19	Mar_22_2021	169.14	183.82	187.43	187.33	186.91	184.55	185.13(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-95	-100	-134	23	0.7	55%	0.28	46.1	1.48%	-0.4	0.3	61	1.9
20	Mar_19_2021	168.66	183.49	187.37	188.99	188.89	186.99	182.79(-3.13%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-77	-70	-124	65	1.69	55%	0.29	53.8	1.46%	-1.9	-0.1	60	1.6

21	Mar_18_2021	168.17	183.28	187	190.53	188.89	189.28	188.7(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-50	-50	127	0.64	56%	0.35	60.9	1.41%	-0.2	1	71	1.2
22	Mar_17_2021	167.59	182.73	186	190.05	190.59	190.78	189.72(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	20	-13	129	0.84	56%	0.31	61.6	1.47%	-0.7	1.4	62	2.1
23	Mar_16_2021	167.07	182.17	185.16	189.14	189.68	191.91	190.3(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	122	90	108	162	0.74	56%	0.29	65.2	1.47%	-0.3	1.7	55	1.9
24	Mar_15_2021	166.58	181.56	183.95	187.49	187.5	190.39	193.42(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	160	110	160	160	0.77	58%	0.3	64.4	1.45%	1.4	2.6	63	2.4
25	Mar_12_2021	166.09	180.8	182.26	185.58	185.35	187.45	190.49(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	149	80	155	132	1.04	56%		75.9	1.46%	1	2.6	63	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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