Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 28, 2017

Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AvalonBay Communities Inc.)
AVB latest price $178.5800 (0.01%) ($176.7500 - $178.7400) on Thu. Dec. 28, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $178.5800(0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVB advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVB declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLRE(78%)    SPLV(69%)    SDY(67%)    XLU(65%)    IWD(64%)
Factors Impacting AVB price   AVB will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-17%)    VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-10%)    GDXJ(-10%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $176.56(-1.13%)
Resistance Level   $180.16
5 Day Moving Average   $177.96(0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $179.08(-0.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $180.16(-0.88%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $25.134b

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership, and operation of multifamily communities. It operates through the following segments: Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, and Development or Redevelopment Communities. The Established Communities segment refers to the operating communities that were owned and had stabilized occupancy. The Other Stabilized Communities segment includes all other completed communities that have stabilized occupancy. The Development or Redevelopment Communities segment consists of communities that are under construction. The company was founded by Gilbert M. Meyer in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

$. AVB price fluctuates within 1.18% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.13%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.5%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.5%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.01%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180128

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_28_2017	183.07	180.16	179.08	177.96	178.18	178.47	178.58(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-31	20	-10	-95	0.41	41%	-0.06	-60.2	0.77%	0	-0.7	47	INF
2	Dec_27_2017	183.18	180.33	179.43	177.77	177.89	178.84	178.57(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	43	40	76	-56	0.44	41%	-0.05	-69.5	0.77%	0	-0.8	49	INF
3	Dec_26_2017	183.28	180.47	179.91	177.6	177.57	177.9	178.99(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	13	10	37	-59	0.44	41%	-0.08	-79.3	0.77%	0	-0.7	52	INF
4	Dec_22_2017	183.42	180.66	180.28	178.29	177.96	176.94	178.12(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-83	-50	-82	-85	0.66	41%	-0.05	-69.9	0.77%	0	-1.1	43	INF
5	Dec_21_2017	183.52	180.98	180.7	179	179.29	177.25	175.55(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-173	-70	-194	-111	0.54	37%	-0.09	-66.1	0.75%	0	-2.5	35	INF

6	Dec_20_2017	183.68	181.45	181.21	180.37	180.74	178.99	177.62(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-188	-60	-219	-93	0.8	39%	-0.08	-56.6	0.74%	0	-2	39	INF
7	Dec_19_2017	183.82	181.82	181.45	181.3	181.88	181.34	177.72(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-106	-10	-127	-44	0.79	37%	-0.08	-51	0.74%	0	-2.2	37	INF
8	Dec_18_2017	183.97	182.15	181.63	182.49	182.64	182.5	182.46(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-0	-3	28	0.61	42%	-0.05	-50	0.67%	0	0.2	55	INF
9	Dec_15_2017	184.07	182.23	181.49	182.56	182.82	182.42	181.66(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-18	-10	-28	14	1.27	42%	-0.05	-54.3	0.67%	0	-0.3	44	INF
10	Dec_14_2017	184.16	182.44	181.45	182.67	182.79	182.79	182.37(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-6	0	-11	9	0.34	42%	-0.05	-51	0.67%	0	-0	40	INF

11	Dec_13_2017	184.25	182.54	181.34	182.19	182.5	183.21	182.31(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	68	30	84	19	0.51	42%	-0.03	-61.7	0.67%	0	-0.1	40	INF
12	Dec_12_2017	184.31	182.78	181.29	181.6	181.54	182.79	183.64(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	107	50	139	12	0.58	40%	-0.03	-55.4	0.67%	0	0.4	41	INF
13	Dec_11_2017	184.36	182.97	181.03	180.64	180.47	181.78	182.81(0.32%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	95	50	135	-25	0.58	42%	-0.05	-51.5	0.71%	0	-0.1	44	INF
14	Dec_8_2017	184.45	183.17	180.99	180.3	179.89	180.28	182.22(1.26%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	41	10	76	-64	0.52	42%	-0.04	-44.4	0.72%	0	-0.4	40	INF
15	Dec_7_2017	184.53	183.41	181.18	180.12	179.99	179.17	179.96(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-74	-30	-55	-130	0.55	39%	-0.05	-32.9	0.71%	0	-1.2	24	INF

16	Dec_6_2017	184.63	183.76	181.63	180.39	180.65	179.5	179.38(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-138	-40	-132	-156	0.47	39%	-0.05	-25.5	0.71%	0	-1.6	31	INF
17	Dec_5_2017	184.72	184	182.19	180.93	181.39	180.81	178.81(-1.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-102	-10	-90	-138	0.64	39%	-0.06	-17.5	0.71%	0	-2.1	22	INF
18	Dec_4_2017	184.83	184.27	182.73	181.42	181.69	181.8	181.12(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-46	10	-22	-119	0.54	41%	-0.04	-10.8	0.7%	0	-1.4	24	INF
19	Dec_1_2017	184.9	184.34	183.06	181.76	181.81	181.96	181.33(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-29	10	-0	-115	0.63	41%	-0.03	-6.8	0.7%	0	-1.4	30	INF
20	Nov_30_2017	184.96	184.33	183.53	182.42	182.21	181.58	181.33(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-65	-30	-45	-123	0.9	41%	-0.03	1.6	0.7%	0	-1.3	30	INF

21	Nov_29_2017	185.01	184.46	183.88	183.08	182.91	181.65	182.04(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-137	-50	-132	-152	0.52	41%	-0.03	16.4	0.7%	0	-1.1	35	INF
22	Nov_28_2017	185.06	184.45	184.41	183.67	183.79	182.84	181.27(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-128	-30	-130	-122	0.72	41%	-0.03	27.7	0.7%	0	-1.5	46	INF
23	Nov_27_2017	185.11	184.51	185.1	184.21	184.41	184.17	182.84(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-10	-53	-60	0.58	43%	-0.04	35	0.69%	0	-0.8	51	INF
24	Nov_24_2017	185.18	184.48	185.54	184.51	184.56	184.75	184.63(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	10	-1	-11	0.2	45%	-0.06	39.2	0.68%	0	0.1	61	INF
25	Nov_22_2017	185.3	184.3	185.82	184.8	184.64	184.65	184.6(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-0	12	33	0.33	45%		39.4	0.68%	0	0.1	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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