Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 5, 2017

Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AvalonBay Communities Inc.)
AVB latest price $192.7500 (0.9%) ($189.6800 - $192.8900) on Fri. May. 5, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $192.7500(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVB advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVB advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLRE(77%)    SPLV(69%)    SDY(66%)    XLU(65%)    IWD(63%)
Factors Impacting AVB price   AVB will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-16%)    VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-10%)    GDXJ(-10%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $191.02(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $189.83(1.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $188.57(2.22%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $27.128b

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership, and operation of multifamily communities. It operates through the following segments: Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, and Development or Redevelopment Communities. The Established Communities segment refers to the operating communities that were owned and had stabilized occupancy. The Other Stabilized Communities segment includes all other completed communities that have stabilized occupancy. The Development or Redevelopment Communities segment consists of communities that are under construction. The company was founded by Gilbert M. Meyer in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

$. AVB price fluctuates within 1.03% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.49%(29%) Average negative next day return: -0.3%(71%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 0.88%(86%) Average negative next three day return: -0.86%(14%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 1.1%(86%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.42%(14%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2017	181.03	188.57	189.83	191.02	190.72	190.61	192.75(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	70	-10	61	96	0.86	83%	0.13	84.5	0.74%	0	2.2	61	0
2	May_4_2017	180.79	188.21	189.22	190.43	190.5	189.96	191.03(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-23	-20	-44	42	0.78	81%	0.12	92.5	0.74%	0	1.6	65	0
3	May_3_2017	180.57	187.93	188.82	189.87	190.3	190.84	189.08(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	23	30	13	51	0.75	80%	0.11	90.2	0.74%	0	0.7	56	0
4	May_2_2017	180.38	187.69	188.72	189.79	189.68	191.04	191.2(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	110	50	115	94	0.69	90%	0.12	81.8	0.74%	0	1.9	64	0
5	May_1_2017	180.16	187.31	188.43	189.41	189.12	189.76	191.02(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	113	20	121	89	0.63	79%	0.13	73	0.85%	0	2	65	0

6	Apr_28_2017	179.93	186.94	188.18	188.47	188.4	188.33	189.84(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-0	19	42	0.71	79%	0.12	53.6	0.89%	0	1.6	69	0
7	Apr_27_2017	179.71	186.61	187.84	187.84	187.82	188.33	188.23(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	20	11	28	0.62	79%	0.12	35.7	0.9%	0	0.9	59	0
8	Apr_26_2017	179.5	186.38	187.75	187.61	187.56	188.47	188.68(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	82	30	88	62	0.76	79%	0.14	24.5	0.9%	0	1.2	63	0
9	Apr_25_2017	179.25	186.19	187.61	187.48	187.15	187.16	189.28(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	-0	29	46	0.7	74%	0.15	23.5	0.9%	0	1.7	68	0
10	Apr_24_2017	178.99	185.96	187.34	187.35	187.18	186.65	186.31(-0.22%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-35	-20	-54	22	0.76	72%	0.13	23.1	0.9%	0	0.2	64	0

11	Apr_21_2017	178.76	185.97	187.23	187.85	187.78	187.15	186.72(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-17	-20	-37	44	0.44	72%	0.13	34.1	0.9%	0	0.4	66	0
12	Apr_20_2017	178.52	185.96	187.16	187.8	187.99	187.71	187.04(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	-10	-35	53	0.57	72%	0.13	38.5	0.9%	0	0.6	68	0
13	Apr_19_2017	178.29	185.91	187.01	187.88	187.85	188.41	188.03(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	20	16	82	0.82	72%	0.14	46.7	0.91%	0	1.3	72	0
14	Apr_18_2017	178.04	185.77	186.64	187.72	187.65	188.27	188.64(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	78	20	71	100	0.55	72%	0.15	65.5	0.91%	0	1.8	64	0
15	Apr_17_2017	177.78	185.57	186.13	187.35	187.24	187.3	188.81(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	0	39	77	0.58	72%	0.16	87.3	0.91%	0	2.2	65	0

16	Apr_13_2017	177.49	185.4	185.6	186.54	186.79	187.04	186.48(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	10	6	39	0.45	70%	0.15	114.9	0.9%	0	0.9	47	0
17	Apr_12_2017	177.22	185.32	185.29	186.41	186.43	187.18	187.43(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	30	55	46	0.66	70%	0.15	133.3	0.9%	0	1.7	50	0
18	Apr_11_2017	176.96	185.12	184.89	186	186	186.53	187.25(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	20	76	38	0.42	70%	0.16	92.9	0.9%	0	1.2	53	0
19	Apr_10_2017	176.67	184.71	184.64	185.39	185.34	185.69	186.77(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	10	36	8	0.39	70%	0.14	59.5	0.91%	0	0.9	54	0
20	Apr_7_2017	176.42	184.3	184.42	184.74	184.87	185.46	184.77(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	34	20	46	-1	0.81	62%	0.12	37.4	0.92%	0	0.2	50	0

21	Apr_6_2017	176.2	183.98	184.58	184.5	184.32	184.99	185.83(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	20	60	2	0.52	62%	0.11	26.3	0.92%	0	0.7	48	0
22	Apr_5_2017	176	183.64	184.63	184	183.85	184.27	185.36(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	38	10	52	-6	0.54	62%	0.12	15.1	0.93%	0	0.6	52	0
23	Apr_4_2017	175.79	183.45	184.69	183.63	183.41	183.65	184.2(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	10	15	-20	0.49	62%	0.07	8.7	0.93%	0	0.3	55	0
24	Apr_3_2017	175.66	183.39	184.82	183.8	183.26	183.42	183.53(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1	-0	-0	-2	0.4	62%	0.1	9.3	0.93%	0	0.1	70	0
25	Mar_31_2017	175.49	183.35	184.97	184.06	183.59	183.17	183.6(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-12	-20	-21	17	0.66	62%		11.2	0.93%	0	0.1	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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