Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AVB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 19, 2017

Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AvalonBay Communities Inc.)
AVB latest price $188.0300 (-0.32%) ($187.1300 - $188.8400) on Wed. Apr. 19, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $188.0300(-0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVB advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVB advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLRE(77%)    SPLV(69%)    SDY(66%)    XLU(65%)    IWD(63%)
Factors Impacting AVB price   AVB will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-16%)    VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-10%)    GDXJ(-10%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $187.88(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $187.01(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $185.91(1.14%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $26.464b

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership, and operation of multifamily communities. It operates through the following segments: Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, and Development or Redevelopment Communities. The Established Communities segment refers to the operating communities that were owned and had stabilized occupancy. The Other Stabilized Communities segment includes all other completed communities that have stabilized occupancy. The Development or Redevelopment Communities segment consists of communities that are under construction. The company was founded by Gilbert M. Meyer in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

$. AVB price fluctuates within 0.9% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.24%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.33%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.24%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.46%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.19%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170519

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_19_2017	178.29	185.91	187.01	187.88	187.85	188.41	188.03(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	20	16	82	0.82	72%	0.14	46.7	0.91%	0	1.3	72	INF
2	Apr_18_2017	178.04	185.77	186.64	187.72	187.65	188.27	188.64(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	78	20	71	100	0.55	72%	0.15	65.5	0.91%	0	1.8	64	INF
3	Apr_17_2017	177.78	185.57	186.13	187.35	187.24	187.3	188.81(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	0	39	77	0.58	72%	0.16	87.3	0.91%	0	2.2	65	INF
4	Apr_13_2017	177.49	185.4	185.6	186.54	186.79	187.04	186.48(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	10	6	39	0.45	70%	0.15	114.9	0.9%	0	0.9	47	INF
5	Apr_12_2017	177.22	185.32	185.29	186.41	186.43	187.18	187.43(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	30	55	46	0.66	70%	0.15	133.3	0.9%	0	1.7	50	INF

6	Apr_11_2017	176.96	185.12	184.89	186	186	186.53	187.25(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	67	20	76	38	0.42	70%	0.16	92.9	0.9%	0	1.2	53	INF
7	Apr_10_2017	176.67	184.71	184.64	185.39	185.34	185.69	186.77(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	10	36	8	0.39	70%	0.14	59.5	0.91%	0	0.9	54	INF
8	Apr_7_2017	176.42	184.3	184.42	184.74	184.87	185.46	184.77(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	34	20	46	-1	0.81	62%	0.12	37.4	0.92%	0	0.2	50	INF
9	Apr_6_2017	176.2	183.98	184.58	184.5	184.32	184.99	185.83(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	20	60	2	0.52	62%	0.11	26.3	0.92%	0	0.7	48	INF
10	Apr_5_2017	176	183.64	184.63	184	183.85	184.27	185.36(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	38	10	52	-6	0.54	62%	0.12	15.1	0.93%	0	0.6	52	INF

11	Apr_4_2017	175.79	183.45	184.69	183.63	183.41	183.65	184.2(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	10	15	-20	0.49	62%	0.07	8.7	0.93%	0	0.3	55	INF
12	Apr_3_2017	175.66	183.39	184.82	183.8	183.26	183.42	183.53(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1	-0	-0	-2	0.4	62%	0.1	9.3	0.93%	0	0.1	70	INF
13	Mar_31_2017	175.49	183.35	184.97	184.06	183.59	183.17	183.6(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-12	-20	-21	17	0.66	62%	0.1	11.2	0.93%	0	0.1	72	INF
14	Mar_30_2017	175.31	183.24	185.21	184.67	184.12	183.11	183.32(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-61	-50	-90	28	0.42	62%	0.08	14.5	0.93%	0	0	72	INF
15	Mar_29_2017	175.17	183.22	185.39	185.35	185.17	184.01	183.48(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-53	-50	-91	61	0.71	62%	0.06	21.7	0.94%	0	0.1	68	INF

16	Mar_28_2017	175.06	183.2	185.44	185.89	185.96	185.13	185.06(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-35	-30	-76	87	0.59	62%	0.09	30.9	0.94%	0	0.7	60	INF
17	Mar_27_2017	174.91	183.13	184.87	185.99	186.29	186.34	184.86(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	10	-23	98	0.47	62%	0.08	37.3	0.95%	0	0.6	54	INF
18	Mar_24_2017	174.77	183.04	184.25	185.98	186.25	186.8	186.62(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	61	30	44	112	0.52	62%	0.1	46.3	0.95%	0	1.3	59	INF
19	Mar_23_2017	174.6	182.84	183.4	185.83	185.84	186.25	186.75(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	20	39	99	0.96	62%	0.1	54.2	0.95%	0	1.5	64	INF
20	Mar_22_2017	174.42	182.62	182.59	185.46	185.65	185.7	186.14(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	0	33	78	0.53	62%	0.1	63	0.95%	0	1.4	57	INF

21	Mar_21_2017	174.25	182.34	182.1	184.95	185.22	185.44	185.57(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	10	38	65	0.8	57%	0.09	64.3	0.95%	0	1.4	54	INF
22	Mar_20_2017	174.1	182.1	181.79	183.56	184.23	185.61	184.84(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	91	60	101	61	0.71	57%	0.1	54.8	0.97%	0	1.2	51	INF
23	Mar_17_2017	173.92	181.79	181.54	182.2	182.47	185.01	185.86(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	160	100	190	69	1.67	57%	0.12	35.9	0.97%	0	1.8	54	INF
24	Mar_16_2017	173.71	181.44	181.02	180.58	180.54	182.85	184.9(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	165	90	207	39	1.01	61%	0.1	19	0.97%	0	1.6	53	INF
25	Mar_15_2017	173.54	181.09	180.75	179.33	179.17	179.93	183.57(2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	68	30	99	-26	1.02	61%		2.5	1%	0	1.1	51	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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