Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AVB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AvalonBay Communities Inc.)
AVB latest price $183.0500 (0.12%) ($181.6600 - $183.2800) on Tue. Mar. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $183.0500(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVB declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVB advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLRE(77%)    SPLV(69%)    SDY(66%)    XLU(65%)    IWD(63%)
Factors Impacting AVB price   AVB will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-16%)    VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-10%)    GDXJ(-9%)    IPO(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $182.64(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $182.71(0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $180.77(1.26%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $25.763b

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership, and operation of multifamily communities. It operates through the following segments: Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, and Development or Redevelopment Communities. The Established Communities segment refers to the operating communities that were owned and had stabilized occupancy. The Other Stabilized Communities segment includes all other completed communities that have stabilized occupancy. The Development or Redevelopment Communities segment consists of communities that are under construction. The company was founded by Gilbert M. Meyer in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

$. AVB price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.38%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.61%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.68%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -2.16%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.26%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.77%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170407

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_7_2017	172.82	180.77	182.71	182.64	182.13	182.18	183.05(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	-10	34	76	0.43	66%	0.08	96.2	0.91%	0	1	69	0
2	Mar_6_2017	172.68	180.38	182.53	182.79	182.29	181.43	182.83(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-26	-40	-52	51	0.72	66%	0.09	94.4	0.95%	0	0.9	68	0
3	Mar_3_2017	172.53	179.93	182.13	182.92	182.8	182.09	181.17(-0.91%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-49	-30	-79	41	0.42	66%	0.08	87	0.94%	0	0.4	56	0
4	Mar_2_2017	172.4	179.67	181.96	183.3	183.37	183.14	182.84(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10	-17	78	0.52	66%	0.09	89.9	0.94%	0	1	68	0
5	Mar_1_2017	172.24	179.04	181.49	183.28	183.29	183.51	183.31(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	10	11	89	0.59	66%	0.1	71.8	0.94%	0	1.2	69	0

6	Feb_28_2017	172.07	178.54	181.01	182.76	182.99	183.59	183.78(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	72	30	59	109	0.79	69%	0.1	64.7	0.93%	0	1.4	78	0
7	Feb_27_2017	171.89	177.96	180.48	182.22	182.22	183.07	183.49(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	88	30	78	118	0.36	69%	0.1	54.9	0.95%	0	1.5	79	0
8	Feb_24_2017	171.71	177.43	180.08	181.23	181.27	182.38	183.06(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	102	40	93	127	0.52	69%	0.1	44.5	0.95%	0	1.6	80	0
9	Feb_23_2017	171.54	176.97	179.58	180.43	180.29	181.37	182.75(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	109	40	103	125	0.68	69%	0.09	39.9	0.96%	0	1.7	69	0
10	Feb_22_2017	171.38	176.49	179.13	179.45	179.38	180.16	180.71(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	92	30	80	126	0.5	69%	0.05	29.5	0.97%	0	1.4	77	0

11	Feb_21_2017	171.29	176.21	178.64	179	178.56	179.2	181.1(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	68	20	52	115	0.61	64%	0.01	25.7	0.98%	0	1.7	65	0
12	Feb_17_2017	171.28	175.96	178.02	178.49	178.06	178.6	178.54(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	47	10	28	105	0.5	58%	-0.01	24.5	1%	0	1	64	0
13	Feb_16_2017	171.29	175.86	177.55	178.76	178.14	177.93	179.07(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-20	20	108	0.57	58%	-0.02	29.1	1.02%	0	1.2	62	0
14	Feb_15_2017	171.32	175.65	177.2	178.59	178.18	177.53	177.83(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-17	-30	-50	84	0.64	50%	-0.02	28.9	1.02%	0	0.9	57	0
15	Feb_14_2017	171.36	175.57	176.44	178.73	178.44	178.36	178.46(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10	-12	84	0.54	53%	-0.03	30.7	1.12%	0	1.2	60	0

16	Feb_13_2017	171.41	175.44	175.93	178.18	178.31	178.83	178.55(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	20	45	91	0.88	53%	-0.02	23	1.15%	0	1.3	55	0
17	Feb_10_2017	171.45	175.31	175.29	177.43	177.37	178.53	179.87(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	75	40	74	78	0.59	50%	-0.02	8.3	1.15%	0	2	54	0
18	Feb_9_2017	171.48	175.11	174.58	176.16	176.25	177.78	178.25(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	82	60	91	54	0.63	47%	0	-11.7	1.17%	0	1.5	51	0
19	Feb_8_2017	171.48	174.94	174.13	175.62	175.53	176.2	178.5(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	87	30	100	46	0.93	49%	0.01	-24.8	1.2%	0	1.8	55	0
20	Feb_7_2017	171.46	174.82	173.58	173.84	174.68	174.73	175.72(0.51%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	14	20	25	-21	0.7	47%	0	-52.8	1.19%	0	0.5	47	0

21	Feb_6_2017	171.46	174.88	173.51	173.36	173.66	174.86	174.82(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	50	22	-33	0.64	47%	0.01	-58.2	1.19%	0	-0	46	0
22	Feb_3_2017	171.44	175.11	173.67	172.82	173.39	174.62	173.53(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	80	60	109	-6	0.91	47%	0	-49.2	1.19%	0	-0.7	44	0
23	Feb_2_2017	171.44	175.35	173.99	172.74	172.67	172.47	175.54(3.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	-10	17	-45	1.51	47%	0.03	-40.8	1.18%	0	0.1	47	0
24	Feb_1_2017	171.39	175.43	173.93	172.47	172.64	172.16	169.61(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-65	-20	-59	-84	1.18	40%	0	-40.9	1.1%	0	-2.5	35	0
25	Jan_31_2017	171.39	175.81	174.65	173.24	173.35	172.86	173.31(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	-20	-26	-61	0.96	48%		-34.6	1.07%	0	-1.3	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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