Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AVB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AvalonBay Communities Inc.)
AVB latest price $179.8700 (0.91%) ($177.1500 - $180.2700) on Fri. Feb. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $179.8700(0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVB advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVB advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLRE(77%)    SPLV(68%)    SDY(66%)    XLU(65%)    IWD(63%)
Factors Impacting AVB price   AVB will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-16%)    VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-9%)    GDXJ(-9%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $177.43(1.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $175.29(2.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $175.31(2.6%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $25.315b

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership, and operation of multifamily communities. It operates through the following segments: Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, and Development or Redevelopment Communities. The Established Communities segment refers to the operating communities that were owned and had stabilized occupancy. The Other Stabilized Communities segment includes all other completed communities that have stabilized occupancy. The Development or Redevelopment Communities segment consists of communities that are under construction. The company was founded by Gilbert M. Meyer in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

$. AVB price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.3%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.81%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.65%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.79%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.28%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.02%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170310

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_10_2017	171.45	175.31	175.29	177.43	177.37	178.53	179.87(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	75	40	74	78	0.59	50%	-0.02	8.3	1.15%	0	2	54	0
2	Feb_9_2017	171.48	175.11	174.58	176.16	176.25	177.78	178.25(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	82	60	91	54	0.63	47%	0	-11.7	1.17%	0	1.5	51	0
3	Feb_8_2017	171.48	174.94	174.13	175.62	175.53	176.2	178.5(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	87	30	100	46	0.93	49%	0.01	-24.8	1.2%	0	1.8	55	0
4	Feb_7_2017	171.46	174.82	173.58	173.84	174.68	174.73	175.72(0.51%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	14	20	25	-21	0.7	47%	0	-52.8	1.19%	0	0.5	47	0
5	Feb_6_2017	171.46	174.88	173.51	173.36	173.66	174.86	174.82(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	50	22	-33	0.64	47%	0.01	-58.2	1.19%	0	-0	46	0

6	Feb_3_2017	171.44	175.11	173.67	172.82	173.39	174.62	173.53(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	80	60	109	-6	0.91	47%	0	-49.2	1.19%	0	-0.7	44	0
7	Feb_2_2017	171.44	175.35	173.99	172.74	172.67	172.47	175.54(3.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	-10	17	-45	1.51	47%	0.03	-40.8	1.18%	0	0.1	47	0
8	Feb_1_2017	171.39	175.43	173.93	172.47	172.64	172.16	169.61(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-65	-20	-59	-84	1.18	40%	0	-40.9	1.1%	0	-2.5	35	0
9	Jan_31_2017	171.39	175.81	174.65	173.24	173.35	172.86	173.31(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	-20	-26	-61	0.96	48%	0.01	-34.6	1.07%	0	-1.3	38	0
10	Jan_30_2017	171.38	176.01	174.95	173.69	173.65	173.13	172.11(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-67	-20	-66	-71	0.69	48%	0.02	-20.2	1.11%	0	-2.1	32	0

11	Jan_27_2017	171.35	176.21	175.39	174.64	174.58	173.83	173.12(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-47	-30	-44	-57	0.58	44%	-0.02	1.1	1.11%	0	-1.9	27	0
12	Jan_26_2017	171.38	176.28	175.76	175.41	175.34	174.17	174.21(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-64	-50	-66	-57	0.67	47%	-0.03	12.5	1.14%	0	-1.5	37	0
13	Jan_25_2017	171.44	176.38	175.88	175.62	175.87	175.32	173.43(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-63	-20	-64	-60	0.96	47%	-0.03	18.3	1.15%	0	-2	39	0
14	Jan_24_2017	171.5	176.46	176.24	176.24	176.09	176.51	175.56(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-5	10	1	-23	0.75	49%	0.03	42.3	1.14%	0	-0.7	48	0
15	Jan_23_2017	171.45	176.39	176.4	176.39	176.16	176.41	176.9(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	25	10	36	-7	0.52	49%	0.01	58.9	1.14%	0	0.4	49	0

16	Jan_20_2017	171.44	176.2	176.67	176.27	176.08	175.67	176.97(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-12	-20	-10	-17	0.56	49%	0.01	63.6	1.14%	0	0.6	55	0
17	Jan_19_2017	171.43	176.12	176.8	176.19	176.11	175.91	175.22(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10	-28	-13	0.59	49%	0	70.6	1.14%	0	-0.6	57	0
18	Jan_18_2017	171.43	176.11	177.02	176.18	176.2	176.5	176.57(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	10	12	7	0.61	49%	0.02	75.8	1.13%	0	0.3	53	0
19	Jan_17_2017	171.4	175.94	177.04	176.23	176.04	176.32	176.31(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	15	10	15	14	0.81	49%	-0.01	88.4	1.13%	0	0.2	57	0
20	Jan_13_2017	171.42	175.63	177.13	176.41	176.11	175.89	176.26(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	-10	-17	15	0.47	49%	0.01	88.2	1.12%	0	0.4	59	0

21	Jan_12_2017	171.41	175.35	177.09	177.16	176.67	175.76	176.59(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-35	-40	-54	21	0.68	49%	0.02	83.7	1.12%	0	0.5	62	0
22	Jan_11_2017	171.38	175.06	176.86	177.53	177.59	176.33	175.17(-0.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-46	-50	-67	19	1.12	49%	0	91.1	1.12%	0	0	51	0
23	Jan_10_2017	171.38	174.85	176.96	177.96	177.84	177.59	176.82(-0.23%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-37	-10	-60	34	0.6	49%	0.01	100	1.11%	0	0.7	56	0
24	Jan_9_2017	171.37	174.48	176.75	177.92	177.94	178.86	177.22(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	53	40	44	80	0.64	49%	0.01	103	1.12%	0	1	62	0
25	Jan_6_2017	171.36	174.07	176.42	177.91	177.6	178.09	180(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	86	10	78	108	0.73	51%		105.7	1.1%	0	1.9	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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