Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AVB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AvalonBay Communities Inc.)
AVB latest price $182.7700 (0.36%) ($180.2000 - $183.9500) on Fri. Sep. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $182.7700(0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVB advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVB advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLRE(77%)    SPLV(68%)    SDY(65%)    XLU(64%)    IWD(62%)
Factors Impacting AVB price   AVB will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-16%)    VIXM(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    GDXJ(-8%)    DIA(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $179.05(2.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $175.71(4.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $175.5(4.14%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   8.2%
Market Cap   $25.724b

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership, and operation of multifamily communities. It operates through the following segments: Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, and Development or Redevelopment Communities. The Established Communities segment refers to the operating communities that were owned and had stabilized occupancy. The Other Stabilized Communities segment includes all other completed communities that have stabilized occupancy. The Development or Redevelopment Communities segment consists of communities that are under construction. The company was founded by Gilbert M. Meyer in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

$. AVB price fluctuates within 2.04% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 0.98%(53%) Average negative next day return: -1.1%(47%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 2.13%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -1.59%(37%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 2.11%(74%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.23%(26%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2016	179.13	175.5	175.71	179.05	179.09	181.58	182.77(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	164	100	176	128	0.95	56%	-0.02	29.9	1.16%	0	2	59	0
2	Sep_22_2016	179.16	175.08	174.37	177.16	177.21	179.06	182.11(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	154	70	178	82	1.01	56%	-0.02	14.4	1.16%	0	2.2	57	0
3	Sep_21_2016	179.19	174.66	173.64	175.4	175.12	176.59	178.81(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	83	50	102	24	0.69	54%	-0.02	-7.7	1.14%	0	1.5	55	0
4	Sep_20_2016	179.22	174.44	173.62	173.89	173.87	175.36	176.15(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	104	60	130	24	0.53	52%	-0.03	-31.5	1.12%	0	0.7	53	0
5	Sep_19_2016	179.27	174.42	173.8	172.44	172.43	173.65	175.41(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	68	50	93	-7	0.44	52%	-0.01	-57.5	1.12%	0	0.4	50	0

6	Sep_16_2016	179.28	174.44	173.78	171.87	171.29	172.39	173.33(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	50	30	73	-21	1.12	51%	-0.04	-72.1	1.11%	0	-0.4	51	0
7	Sep_15_2016	179.35	174.63	174.01	171.14	170.87	171.2	173.28(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	20	10	42	-45	0.86	53%	-0.03	-85.9	1.12%	0	-0.5	47	0
8	Sep_14_2016	179.41	174.87	174.19	171.67	170.77	170.2	171.26(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-80	-40	-79	-84	0.63	51%	-0.06	-87.7	1.13%	0	-1.3	46	0
9	Sep_13_2016	179.52	175.25	174.54	173.38	172.51	170.54	168.91(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-104	-90	-115	-72	0.98	50%	-0.07	-83	1.11%	0	-2.4	41	0
10	Sep_12_2016	179.65	175.89	175.26	175.37	174.68	171.35	172.55(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-165	-150	-196	-71	0.97	52%	-0.04	-72.3	1.08%	0	-1.3	44	0

11	Sep_9_2016	179.72	176.3	175.41	175.95	176.29	174.49	169.69(-3.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-179	-70	-213	-75	0.86	50%	-0.05	-68	1.06%	0	-2.5	37	0
12	Sep_8_2016	179.81	176.89	176.04	177.17	177.51	178	175.94(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	19	30	13	35	1.33	56%	-0.02	-62.8	0.96%	0	-0.4	46	0
13	Sep_7_2016	179.84	177.25	175.9	176.99	177.01	178.09	179.82(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	92	40	104	56	0.61	60%	-0.02	-55.3	0.92%	0	0.9	52	0
14	Sep_6_2016	179.88	177.5	175.38	175.91	176.03	177.01	178.83(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	71	40	90	15	0.91	56%	-0.03	-54	0.92%	0	0.4	47	0
15	Sep_2_2016	179.94	177.8	175.04	175.25	175.35	175.92	175.46(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	40	20	63	-28	0.76	50%	-0.02	-54	0.94%	0	-0.6	26	0

16	Sep_1_2016	179.97	178.15	175.1	174.87	175	175.04	175.81(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	0	21	-68	0.57	48%	-0.04	-60.2	0.94%	0	-0.6	32	0
17	Aug_31_2016	180.04	178.43	175.21	174.74	174.83	174.78	175.01(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-0	-11	-95	0.85	48%	-0.06	-61.9	0.97%	0	-0.9	28	0
18	Aug_30_2016	180.15	178.82	175.51	174.64	174.93	174.96	174.42(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-24	10	5	-110	0.61	48%	-0.06	-58.3	0.97%	0	-1.1	21	0
19	Aug_29_2016	180.26	179.34	175.93	174.75	174.87	174.87	175.55(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	0	-8	-137	0.48	48%	-0.08	-53.9	0.97%	0	-0.9	19	0
20	Aug_26_2016	180.4	179.88	176.5	174.83	175.03	174.9	173.55(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-51	-0	-16	-155	0.51	46%	-0.08	-51.7	0.96%	0	-1.5	11	0

21	Aug_25_2016	180.54	180.5	177.23	175.35	175.38	174.87	175.18(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-61	-20	-29	-158	0.57	46%	-0.08	-51.9	0.96%	0	-1.4	30	0
22	Aug_24_2016	180.69	180.88	177.83	175.76	175.66	175.16	174.48(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-97	-20	-72	-171	0.4	46%	-0.08	-54.1	0.96%	0	-1.7	33	0
23	Aug_23_2016	180.84	181.19	178.74	176.52	176.45	175.89	174.97(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-69	-20	-43	-145	0.41	46%	-0.08	-58.5	0.96%	0	-1.8	31	0
24	Aug_22_2016	180.99	181.59	179.82	177.3	177.07	176.16	175.95(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-105	-40	-90	-148	0.6	46%	-0.08	-59.4	0.95%	0	-1.8	29	0
25	Aug_19_2016	181.13	182.07	180.8	178.46	178.08	177.01	176.16(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-111	-50	-103	-135	0.76	44%		-50.3	0.96%	0	-2	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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