Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AVB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AvalonBay Communities Inc.)
AVB latest price $179.9400 (-0.48%) ($179.2400 - $180.9100) on Thu. May. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $179.9400(-0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVB advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVB declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLRE(77%)    SPLV(68%)    SDY(65%)    XLU(64%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting AVB price   AVB will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    GDXJ(-7%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $183.62
5 Day Moving Average   $180.3(-0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $181.93(-1.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $183.62(-2%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $25.325b

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership, and operation of multifamily communities. It operates through the following segments: Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, and Development or Redevelopment Communities. The Established Communities segment refers to the operating communities that were owned and had stabilized occupancy. The Other Stabilized Communities segment includes all other completed communities that have stabilized occupancy. The Development or Redevelopment Communities segment consists of communities that are under construction. The company was founded by Gilbert M. Meyer in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

$. AVB price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.29%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.72%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.4%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160626

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2016	179.3	183.62	181.93	180.3	180.54	180.32	179.94(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-0	-15	-119	0.94	50%	-0.02	-6.2	1.16%	0	-1	34	0
2	May_25_2016	179.34	183.65	182.68	180.17	180.49	180.72	180.81(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	10	2	-114	0.92	53%	-0.02	-4.7	1.16%	0	-0.7	39	0
3	May_24_2016	179.38	183.62	183.29	180.38	180.25	180.76	180.09(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-24	20	3	-105	0.99	53%	-0.01	-3.3	1.18%	0	-0.9	41	0
4	May_23_2016	179.39	183.74	184.34	181.23	180.64	180.27	180.21(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-20	-23	-81	0.37	53%	0.01	1	1.18%	0	-0.9	51	0
5	May_20_2016	179.38	183.84	185.23	182.72	181.88	179.75	180.44(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-99	-100	-107	-74	0.9	53%	-0.02	10.1	1.18%	0	-0.9	53	0

6	May_19_2016	179.41	183.86	185.99	183.85	183.59	181.01	179.31(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-158	-100	-189	-63	0.68	53%	-0.04	16.2	1.18%	0	-1.1	59	0
7	May_18_2016	179.48	183.84	186.8	185.52	185.4	184.02	181.86(-1.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-96	-50	-129	5	0.85	55%	-0.02	27.8	1.17%	0	-0.5	57	0
8	May_17_2016	179.51	183.75	187.2	186.57	186.48	186.17	184.35(-1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-29	-10	-60	65	1.17	58%	0	31.2	1.16%	0	0.2	61	0
9	May_16_2016	179.51	183.71	187	187.9	187.3	186.17	187.66(0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-30	-24	105	0.43	61%	0.04	39.1	1.14%	0	1	61	0
10	May_13_2016	179.43	183.46	186.37	188.16	188.12	186.78	186.09(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-20	-50	-59	96	0.5	61%	0.02	39.5	1.14%	0	0.7	59	0

11	May_12_2016	179.39	183.22	185.53	188.48	188.52	187.81	187.65(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-28	-30	-68	92	0.56	63%	0.03	32.2	1.14%	0	1.1	65	0
12	May_11_2016	179.34	182.75	184.75	188.26	188.44	189.46	187.08(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	58	40	32	134	0.68	60%	0.03	20.8	1.16%	0	1.1	68	0
13	May_10_2016	179.28	182.52	184.01	187.87	187.71	189.23	191(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	156	50	148	179	0.85	66%	0.07	10.8	1.15%	0	2.3	71	0
14	May_9_2016	179.16	182.18	183.02	185.95	185.72	187.43	188.98(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	121	60	117	131	0.53	63%	0.06	-10	1.17%	0	2.1	57	0
15	May_6_2016	179.05	182.18	182.23	184.32	183.82	186.18	187.71(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	146	80	155	117	0.65	60%	0.05	-29.3	1.21%	0	1.7	56	0

16	May_5_2016	178.96	181.95	181.42	182.14	182	184	186.53(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	150	70	171	87	0.74	56%	0.03	-48.9	1.21%	0	1.4	58	0
17	May_4_2016	178.9	181.97	180.51	180.74	179.88	181.45	185.15(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	68	50	81	29	1.07	56%	0.05	-59.5	1.27%	0	0.9	62	0
18	May_3_2016	178.81	182.13	179.88	179.62	179.25	180.01	181.38(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	58	20	77	2	0.62	54%	0.04	-63.3	1.25%	0	-0.2	47	0
19	May_2_2016	178.74	182.51	180.05	179.69	178.84	178.31	180.83(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-31	-30	-26	-44	0.57	51%	0.03	-59.1	1.25%	0	-0.4	42	0
20	Apr_29_2016	178.68	182.92	180.24	179.85	179.56	178.49	176.79(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-62	-50	-62	-63	0.9	48%	0.02	-53	1.24%	0	-1.4	35	0

21	Apr_28_2016	178.65	183.58	180.74	180.53	180.4	179.36	179.56(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-40	-46	-66	0.63	46%	0.02	-44.6	1.23%	0	-0.9	33	0
22	Apr_27_2016	178.62	184.1	180.65	180.14	180.33	180.63	179.52(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	10	-30	-87	1.21	46%	0	-43.3	1.28%	0	-1.1	36	0
23	Apr_26_2016	178.62	184.57	181	180.12	180.23	181.45	181.75(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	24	50	55	-68	0.49	49%	0.02	-41	1.28%	0	-0.7	36	0
24	Apr_25_2016	178.59	184.96	181.33	180.49	180.12	180.04	181.65(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10	22	-86	0.48	49%	-0.01	-34.5	1.31%	0	-0.8	36	0
25	Apr_22_2016	178.6	185.23	181.67	180.79	180.74	179.02	180.17(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-79	-70	-63	-127	0.58	51%		-33	1.3%	0	-1.2	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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