Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AVB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 30, 2015

Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AvalonBay Communities Inc.)
AVB latest price $181.7900 (-0.31%) ($181.1500 - $185.0100) on Mon. Nov. 30, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $181.7900(-0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AVB advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AVB advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AVB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SDY(64%)    XLU(63%)    IWD(61%)    VYM(60%)    IVE(59%)
Factors Impacting AVB price   AVB will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-14%)    VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-8%)    GDXJ(-7%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $181.23(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $179.12(1.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $177.06(2.67%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   13.2%
Market Cap   $25.586b

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership, and operation of multifamily communities. It operates through the following segments: Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, and Development or Redevelopment Communities. The Established Communities segment refers to the operating communities that were owned and had stabilized occupancy. The Other Stabilized Communities segment includes all other completed communities that have stabilized occupancy. The Development or Redevelopment Communities segment consists of communities that are under construction. The company was founded by Gilbert M. Meyer in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

$. AVB price fluctuates within 1.98% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.2%(29%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.12%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -1.78%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 0.77%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.59%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151230

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_30_2015	173.44	177.06	179.12	181.23	181.07	182.14	181.79(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	83	40	62	147	2.31	48%	0.08	27.3	1.21%	0	1.3	81	INF
2	Nov_27_2015	173.3	176.7	178.23	180.87	180.59	181	182.35(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	87	10	67	146	0.54	50%	0.13	15.3	1.21%	0	1.7	71	INF
3	Nov_25_2015	173.07	176.44	177.36	179.88	179.94	180	181.04(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	0	22	103	0.58	50%	0.08	-2.3	1.24%	0	1.5	55	INF
4	Nov_24_2015	172.94	176.21	176.64	178.95	179.07	180.18	179.45(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	50	43	87	1	45%	0.09	-22.4	1.26%	0	1.1	51	INF
5	Nov_23_2015	172.79	176.15	175.95	178.1	178.08	179.89	181.5(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	107	70	114	87	0.55	45%	0.05	-37.7	1.38%	0	1.7	55	INF

6	Nov_20_2015	172.7	176.11	174.8	176.68	176.58	177.96	180.02(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	89	50	105	42	0.51	43%	0.09	-53.3	1.41%	0	1.2	47	INF
7	Nov_19_2015	172.54	176.19	174.05	175.2	175.01	176.28	177.4(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	46	50	61	-0	0.41	40%	0.08	-59.8	1.4%	0	0.3	55	INF
8	Nov_18_2015	172.4	176.51	173.98	174.49	174.2	175.21	176.4(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	47	40	66	-10	0.58	40%	0.1	-56.1	1.4%	0	-0	47	INF
9	Nov_17_2015	172.23	176.87	174.07	174	173.77	173.74	175.16(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	16	-10	31	-29	0.56	41%	0.09	-48.8	1.4%	0	-0.4	47	INF
10	Nov_16_2015	172.07	177.32	174.28	173.46	173.45	173.19	174.42(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10	-7	-55	0.7	41%	0.08	-44.7	1.4%	0	-0.6	42	INF

11	Nov_13_2015	171.94	177.83	174.8	172.62	173.09	173.81	172.64(-0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	40	17	-61	0.5	41%	0.06	-44.8	1.4%	0	-1.1	34	INF
12	Nov_12_2015	171.83	178.38	175.04	172.68	172.44	173.7	173.82(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	50	34	-73	0.7	41%	0.07	-41.8	1.39%	0	-1	35	INF
13	Nov_11_2015	171.71	178.74	175.45	173.4	172.8	172.37	173.94(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-30	14	-87	0.39	41%	0.06	-36.5	1.39%	0	-1.1	32	INF
14	Nov_10_2015	171.6	178.97	175.76	174.23	173.81	171.18	172.49(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-125	-110	-118	-146	0.72	41%	0.05	-31.8	1.39%	0	-1.6	31	INF
15	Nov_9_2015	171.52	179.37	176.42	175.28	175.49	173.22	170.21(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-172	-90	-173	-169	0.79	41%	0.02	-22.1	1.38%	0	-2.4	25	INF

16	Nov_6_2015	171.48	179.91	177.62	177.27	177.33	176.44	172.95(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-74	-30	-63	-108	0.66	43%	0.03	-5.5	1.37%	0	-2.1	27	INF
17	Nov_5_2015	171.43	180.26	178.61	177.64	177.85	177.76	177.42(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	0	-12	-87	0.52	45%	0.06	2.5	1.34%	0	-1	38	INF
18	Nov_4_2015	171.32	180.33	179.31	177.75	177.59	178.22	178.1(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	20	18	-66	0.66	45%	0.08	7.9	1.34%	0	-0.8	46	INF
19	Nov_3_2015	171.18	180.3	179.89	177.54	177.33	177.94	177.71(-1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	17	20	38	-48	0.66	45%	0.09	8.8	1.34%	0	-0.8	52	INF
20	Nov_2_2015	171.03	180.23	180.57	177.78	177.19	176.96	180.15(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-17	-20	-5	-53	0.97	47%	0.1	15	1.33%	0	-0	52	INF

21	Oct_30_2015	170.86	180.09	181.04	178.15	177.65	176.72	174.83(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-77	-50	-80	-69	0.89	43%	0.07	31.7	1.28%	0	-1.6	41	INF
22	Oct_29_2015	170.74	180.19	181.96	179.75	179.29	177.42	177.95(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-85	-80	-99	-44	0.82	45%	0.1	53.9	1.26%	0	-0.7	50	INF
23	Oct_28_2015	170.57	180.09	182.3	181.12	180.99	178.58	177.06(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-127	-100	-156	-40	0.97	45%	0.1	71.7	1.26%	0	-0.9	51	INF
24	Oct_27_2015	170.4	180.03	182.48	182.56	182.73	181.16	178.91(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-102	-60	-133	-7	1.19	45%	0.11	82.7	1.26%	0	-0.3	58	INF
25	Oct_26_2015	170.22	179.76	182.63	183.71	184.14	183.41	182(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-26	-20	-53	55	0.82	47%		77.9	1.24%	0	0.5	69	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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