Trading Signals: ATVI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: ATVI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Activision Blizzard Inc)
ATVI latest price $18.8548 (-2.61%) ($18.7675 - $19.3209) on Mon. May. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $18.8548(-2.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ATVI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ATVI advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ATVI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(46%)    XLK(45%)    SPY(39%)    VT(39%)    VWO(36%)
Factors Impacting ATVI price   ATVI will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-4%)    UUP(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    UNG(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

Resistance Level   $19.01
5 Day Moving Average   $19.23(-1.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.12(-1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.01(-0.82%)
To recent high   -8.5%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $14.55b

Activision Blizzard, Inc. engages in the development and publication of interactive entertainment. It operates through the following segments: Activision, Blizzard, and King. The Activision segment develops and publishes interactive software products and entertainment content, particularly for the console platform. The Blizzard segment develops and publishes interactive software products and entertainment content, particularly for the PC platform. The King segment develops and publishes interactive entertainment content and services, particularly on mobile platforms, such as Google's Android and Apple's iOS. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. ATVI price fluctuates within 1.42% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.57%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.06%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.87%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2014	19.48	19.01	19.12	19.23	19.3	19.29	18.85(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	7	10	-4	41	8.98	37%	-0.05	-48.6	1.34%	0	-0.6	55	0
2	May_2_2014	19.49	19.04	19.15	19.21	19.27	19.46	19.36(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	80	18	64	5.98	41%	-0.05	-52	1.29%	0	1.1	68	0
3	May_1_2014	19.5	19.05	19.12	19.12	19.09	19.3	19.39(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	70	18	58	3	41%	0	-57.7	1.31%	0	1.1	60	0
4	Apr_30_2014	19.5	19.08	19.07	19.04	18.95	19.07	19.43(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	30	13	39	5.56	41%	0	-50	1.33%	0	0.9	51	0
5	Apr_29_2014	19.5	19.11	18.98	18.97	18.94	18.88	19.12(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	1	-30	-2	10	4.19	37%	-0.1	-48.3	1.31%	0	0	48	0

6	Apr_28_2014	19.52	19.14	18.94	19.01	18.99	18.83	18.77(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-60	-14	7	6.14	31%	-0.1	-43.9	1.28%	0	-0.8	49	0
7	Apr_25_2014	19.54	19.2	18.92	19.08	19.08	18.99	18.89(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-30	-11	-5	2.93	31%	-0.1	-42.4	1.3%	0	-0.6	40	0
8	Apr_24_2014	19.56	19.23	18.91	19.12	19.17	19.14	19(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-0	1	-13	2.33	31%	-0.1	-45.1	1.32%	0	-0.5	40	0
9	Apr_23_2014	19.58	19.28	18.93	19.1	19.14	19.18	19.06(-1.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	20	10	-32	2.88	31%	-0.1	-49.1	1.34%	0	-0.4	35	0
10	Apr_22_2014	19.6	19.33	18.94	18.99	19.05	19.2	19.32(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	60	17	-63	3.84	33%	-0.05	-57.3	1.35%	0	-0	38	0

11	Apr_21_2014	19.61	19.35	18.89	18.86	18.89	19.1	19.12(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	80	20	-100	3.72	33%	-0.1	-69.2	1.35%	0	-0.4	40	0
12	Apr_17_2014	19.63	19.4	18.92	18.74	18.75	18.9	19.12(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-20	60	15	-123	4.59	33%	-0.15	-72.2	1.38%	0	-0.5	40	0
13	Apr_16_2014	19.66	19.46	18.97	18.68	18.64	18.67	18.88(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-38	0	-4	-141	3.82	33%	-0.15	0	1.37%	0	-1	40	0
14	Apr_15_2014	19.69	19.53	19.08	18.75	18.7	18.6	18.52(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-50	-15	-141	4.52	26%	-0.25	0	1.31%	0	-1.6	31	0
15	Apr_14_2014	19.74	19.63	19.24	18.88	18.87	18.61	18.68(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-100	-13	-121	2.81	26%	-0.25	0	1.34%	0	-1.6	32	0

16	Apr_11_2014	19.79	19.73	19.36	18.92	18.99	18.79	18.49(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-56	-60	-32	-128	5.34	26%	-0.35	0	1.33%	0	-2.1	31	0
17	Apr_10_2014	19.86	19.83	19.5	19.13	19.11	19.14	18.82(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	10	-19	-105	5.04	29%	-0.25	0	1.33%	0	-2	31	0
18	Apr_9_2014	19.91	19.83	19.59	19.3	19.3	19.18	19.26(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-40	-15	-6	4.55	34%	-0.2	0	1.29%	0	41.9	33	0
19	Apr_8_2014	19.95	19.83	19.67	19.48	19.48	19.08	19.17(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-28	-140	-33	-13	6.04	34%	-0.25	0	1.31%	0	43.6	30	0
20	Apr_7_2014	20	19.83	19.75	19.66	19.76	19.41	18.86(-3.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2	-34	-110	-40	-16	9.8	25%	-0.35	0	1.25%	0	46	22	0

21	Apr_4_2014	20.07	19.83	19.86	19.86	19.98	19.87	19.53(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-15	-20	-18	-7	7.25	34%	-0.15	0	1.03%	0	63	26	0
22	Apr_3_2014	20.1	19.83	19.93	19.86	20	20.11	19.65(-2.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	3	50	3	1	9.22	34%	-0.2	0	1.06%	0	67.8	35	0
23	Apr_2_2014	20.14	19.83	20	19.92	19.96	20.08	20.17(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	50	16	6	4.7	47%	0.05	0	0.87%	0	74.7	50	0
24	Apr_1_2014	20.13	19.83	20.01	19.89	19.89	19.9	20.09(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	0	5	2	6.63	47%	-0.05	0	0.9%	0	71.8	50	0
25	Mar_31_2014	20.14	19.83	20.05	19.87	19.92	19.84	19.85(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-20	-5	-2	5.1	36%		0	0.83%	0	68.4	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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