Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 16, 2023

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $646.3700 (-0.84%) ($646.3700 - $646.3700) on Wed. Aug. 16, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.11% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $646.3700(-0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SMH(83%)    BOTZ(75%)    FIVG(74%)    QQQ(71%)    VT(71%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -1.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-52%)    VIXM(-44%)    TBT(-26%)    UUP(-16%)    USO(-10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.055% (StdDev 2.11%)
Hourly BBV -1.6 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $682.68
5 Day Moving Average   $660.73(-2.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $670.1(-3.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $682.68(-5.32%)
To recent high   -14.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $270.432b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 2.86% (three month std-dev: 2.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.74%(48%) Average negative next day return: -2.93%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.79%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.64%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.98%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.77%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230916

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_16_2023	686.17	682.68	670.1	660.73	656.19	648.97	646.37(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-319	-100	-347	-233	0.64	54%	0.01	-104.5	2.11%	-1.6	-1.9	26	-1
2	Aug_15_2023	686.07	686.22	674.03	666.6	664.31	658.38	651.87(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-202	-70	-213	-168	0.63	54%	0.01	-84.5	2.11%	-1.6	-1.5	41	-0.8
3	Aug_14_2023	685.99	691.33	679.78	672.27	670.35	663.42	664.82(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-206	-80	-224	-153	0.74	54%	0.03	-63.2	2.1%	-0.3	-1	44	0.9
4	Aug_11_2023	685.8	695.72	684.53	677.6	674.11	670.24	661.76(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-247	-60	-278	-153	0.81	54%	-0	-46.7	2.1%	-1.3	-1.2	44	0.2
5	Aug_10_2023	685.83	700.29	690.09	680.42	681.58	677.29	678.85(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-40	-6	-30	0.77	57%	0.06	-34.4	2.08%	0.3	-0.8	45	-0.6

6	Aug_9_2023	685.43	703.73	692.98	680.94	680.81	677.98	675.72(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-177	-30	-204	-96	0.46	57%	0.05	-26.8	2.09%	-0.5	-1	52	-0.6
7	Aug_8_2023	685.11	706.25	694.23	682.6	681.7	685.87	680.18(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	21	40	31	-10	0.57	57%	0.05	-25.1	2.1%	-0.6	-1	40	-0.7
8	Aug_7_2023	684.77	707.74	695.17	688.58	682.65	683.64	691.5(2.32%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.1	54	-20	74	-5	0.47	57%	0.09	-24.2	2.09%	1.1	-0.6	34	-0.6
9	Aug_4_2023	684.17	708.74	694.63	693.04	687.29	677.53	675.83(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-221	-120	-245	-149	0.68	57%	0.07	-22.5	2.1%	-1.2	-1.3	29	-1.6
10	Aug_3_2023	683.69	710.06	696.67	701.41	696.8	681.66	681.46(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-454	-170	-517	-263	0.92	57%	0.11	-19.2	2.09%	-0.9	-1.1	30	-0.7

11	Aug_2_2023	682.93	711.26	696.54	706.72	706.64	697.06	684.04(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-394	-100	-442	-249	0.78	57%	0.1	-18.4	2.09%	-1.5	-1.1	33	-0.7
12	Aug_1_2023	682.27	713.08	699.71	706.94	712.62	711.94	710.07(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	20	-7	-80	0.45	61%	0.16	-19.8	2.04%	-1	-0.1	47	1.2
13	Jul_31_2023	681.2	714.19	703.74	702.34	706.39	716.23	713.8(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	135	110	179	1	0.62	61%	0.17	-19	2.05%	-0.5	-0	53	1.5
14	Jul_28_2023	680.04	714.7	707.33	696.49	699.58	713.31	717.7(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	445	150	543	149	0.7	61%	0.17	-20.9	2.05%	0.8	0.1	53	1.3
15	Jul_27_2023	678.88	714.92	710.5	691.73	690.82	696.56	707.98(3.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	261	50	324	70	1.26	63%	0.14	-25.2	2.04%	0.8	-0.3	55	0.5

16	Jul_26_2023	677.96	715.78	714.39	685.38	687.3	685.85	685.15(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	22	-10	43	-40	0.61	61%	0.12	-29.9	2.05%	-0.5	-1.2	48	1.9
17	Jul_25_2023	677.18	717.92	718.66	691.62	685.07	685.08	687.1(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-193	-30	-215	-127	1.06	58%	0.1	-23.6	2.05%	0.1	-1.3	44	1.2
18	Jul_24_2023	676.5	718.86	721.14	705.68	692.34	688.74	684.53(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-160	-90	-182	-92	1.15	58%	0.07	-11.6	2.09%	-0.8	-1.5	40	1.6
19	Jul_21_2023	676	719.87	724.23	719.98	709.85	685.06	693.88(2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-424	-290	-500	-194	1.33	58%	0.11	-2.3	2.09%	-0.4	-1.2	44	1.1
20	Jul_20_2023	675.29	721.2	725.18	732.23	725.45	695.94	676.24(-5.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-1048	-310	-1240	-471	2.5	56%	0.09	10.1	2.07%	-1.6	-2.1	40	1.4

21	Jul_19_2023	674.66	723.25	728.48	747.02	745.17	734.64	716.34(-5.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-548	-110	-660	-210	2.39	59%	0.15	27.2	1.94%	-1.7	-0.4	48	1.5
22	Jul_18_2023	673.66	723.54	728.87	748.75	753.86	754.96	757.41(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	110	30	112	104	1.22	64%	0.19	28	1.83%	0.7	1.8	62	1.9
23	Jul_17_2023	672.37	721.55	726.1	738.58	746.7	755.7	756.05(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	265	120	298	167	1.09	60%	0.21	15.6	1.83%	0.4	2	70	1.4
24	Jul_14_2023	670.94	720.38	722.63	729.3	734.27	752.77	755.12(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	510	200	590	270	1.59	60%	0.18	7	1.92%	0.6	2.2	70	1.2
25	Jul_13_2023	669.75	719.08	719.04	717.66	722.72	737.69	750.18(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	677	170	794	327	0.89	60%		-7.8	1.92%	1.3	2.2	59	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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