Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ASML: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 18, 2022

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $528.2800 (-5.84%) ($526.9500 - $528.2800) on Wed. May. 18, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.45% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $528.2800(-5.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BOTZ(80%)    IVW(64%)    ARKK(62%)    IWF(62%)    FIVG(61%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -1.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-33%)    VIXM(-26%)    TBT(-7%)    VXX(-1%)    UNG(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.725% (StdDev 3.45%)
Hourly BBV -1.4 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $558.13
5 Day Moving Average   $538.28(-1.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $536.06(-1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $558.13(-5.35%)
To recent high   -25.4%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $221.025b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 5.99% (three month std-dev: 3.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 1.95%(60%) Average negative next day return: -2.79%(40%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 4.19%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.26%(50%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 5.73%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.95%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2022	645.08	558.13	536.06	538.28	542.93	544.48	528.28(-5.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	50	-37	-72	1.03	49%	-0.44	-53.3	3.45%	-1.4	-0.9	38	2
2	May_17_2022	647.91	563.21	542.06	536.89	540.78	548.44	561.02(4.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	159	120	202	29	0.73	52%	-0.39	-48.4	3.38%	1.6	-0.1	51	1.8
3	May_16_2022	650.47	565.76	542.52	529.38	530.8	541.37	535.86(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	118	150	157	-1	0.65	50%	-0.18	-51.2	3.32%	0.2	-0.9	46	2.4
4	May_13_2022	651.65	569.14	545.73	524.8	527.72	533.13	546.88(5.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	210	90	271	28	0.77	52%	-0.41	-56	3.32%	1.3	-0.6	40	1.6
5	May_12_2022	654.3	571.71	547.26	525.53	519.1	520.24	519.37(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-125	-20	-119	-142	0.99	49%	-0.43	-59.1	3.27%	-0.9	-1.5	32	1.6

6	May_11_2022	657.1	576.52	554.34	533.93	527.6	522.31	521.3(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-110	-41	-104	1.29	47%	-0.41	-57.5	3.3%	-0.1	-1.6	31	1.8
7	May_10_2022	659.79	580.35	558.32	548.26	537.66	517.95	523.51(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-353	-310	-390	-241	1.05	46%	-0.36	-58.2	3.34%	-0.3	-1.8	29	2.4
8	May_9_2022	662.16	584.33	562.41	557.69	555.02	532.89	512.93(-6.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-454	-290	-509	-289	1.71	48%	-0.37	-68.2	3.34%	-1.5	-2.5	32	2
9	May_6_2022	664.61	589.51	571.15	569.02	569.58	557.36	550.56(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-313	-150	-347	-210	0.95	51%	-0.32	-81	3.23%	-1.2	-1.7	40	1.4
10	May_5_2022	666.73	593.29	576.77	571.68	573.63	577.14	561.34(-5.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-87	50	-83	-98	0.89	51%	-0.35	-89.4	3.25%	-1.5	-1.4	44	1.7

11	May_4_2022	669.07	596.71	582.44	577.57	574.2	581.8	592.95(3.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	162	80	207	28	0.89	53%	-0.25	-94	3.21%	3.2	-0.2	45	1
12	May_3_2022	670.72	599.23	585.93	570.4	572.31	570.13	570.65(0.18%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0	69	-20	98	-18	0.6	49%	-0.3	-102.9	3.17%	0.4	-1.1	47	-0.9
13	May_2_2022	672.72	604.47	590.49	568.29	568.1	566.6	569.6(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-103	-20	-105	-97	0.94	49%	-0.32	-92.1	3.26%	-0.7	-1.2	45	-0.1
14	Apr_29_2022	674.89	609.25	594.03	573.93	565.73	574.49	563.85(-4.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	70	-13	-53	1.22	51%	-0.32	-86	3.27%	-0.4	-1.4	41	0.2
15	Apr_28_2022	677.05	614.41	597.83	582.72	574.27	569.59	590.78(6.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	106	-100	137	13	1.51	53%	-0.32	-81.6	3.24%	2.1	-0.7	42	0.8

16	Apr_27_2022	679.24	618.9	600.05	588.64	579.87	556.97	557.1(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-452	-320	-521	-246	1.9	49%	-0.38	-69.3	3.16%	-1.1	-1.8	32	0.4
17	Apr_26_2022	681.81	626.35	604.22	604.04	596.36	578.96	560.13(-6.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-485	-240	-562	-252	1.79	49%	-0.3	-53.4	3.17%	-1.4	-1.8	29	1.4
18	Apr_25_2022	683.84	633.06	608.62	615.44	614.85	602.77	597.78(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-202	-140	-228	-123	1.84	50%	-0.26	-45.6	3.08%	-1	-1	28	1.9
19	Apr_22_2022	685.61	637.43	610.01	616.59	619.79	613.76	607.82(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-181	-50	-199	-125	1.08	50%	-0.27	-43.5	3.11%	-1.3	-0.8	35	1.1
20	Apr_21_2022	687.48	641.41	611.61	614.7	618.73	626.92	620.39(-2.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	45	110	71	-33	0.77	50%	-0.27	-40.3	3.12%	-0.5	-0.6	37	1.3

21	Apr_20_2022	689.36	643.73	612.25	613.31	613.38	625.82	634.08(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	236	140	301	41	1.73	50%	-0.23	-39.8	3.12%	1.1	-0.3	35	0.7
22	Apr_19_2022	690.97	646.25	613.02	605.03	608.45	610.54	617.15(2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	159	40	219	-22	1.03	49%	-0.29	-34.6	3.1%	2.4	-0.8	26	0.8
23	Apr_18_2022	692.99	649.52	618.64	601.22	602.23	600.94	603.52(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-94	-10	-75	-150	0.47	47%	-0.27	-25.6	3.1%	-0.5	-1.2	27	1
24	Apr_14_2022	694.84	653.46	624.77	602.65	600.83	606.36	598.36(-2.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-22	60	11	-119	0.65	47%	-0.3	-14.5	3.13%	-1.1	-1.6	28	1.5
25	Apr_13_2022	696.94	656.51	631.62	608.01	603.87	603.53	613.44(3.5%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	56	-20	102	-81	0.76	47%		-4.4	3.13%	1.2	-1.3	30	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.