Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 5, 2021

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $504.0400 (1.03%) ($504.0400 - $504.1450) on Tue. Jan. 5, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $504.0400(1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BOTZ(79%)    IVW(70%)    FIVG(68%)    IWF(68%)    QQQ(68%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-42%)    UUP(-34%)    VXX(-12%)    TBT(-6%)    IGOV(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $492.89(2.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $485.5(3.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $475.72(5.95%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   39.6%
Market Cap   $210.884b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 2.95% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.11%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.47%(40%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.44%(66%) Average negative next three day return: -4.08%(34%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 4.69%(54%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.23%(46%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2021	406.25	475.72	485.5	492.89	495	501.49	504.04(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	319	100	349	228	0.9	71%	0.32	77.3	1.72%	1.2	2	82	-0.5
2	Jan_4_2021	404.96	473.61	482.49	488.13	490.1	492.81	498.92(2.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	200	50	210	168	1.31	71%	0.4	88.1	1.75%	1	2.1	82	-1.6
3	Dec_31_2020	403.35	471.26	480.18	485.01	485.43	488.52	486.71(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	65	50	52	105	0.25	67%	0.29	100.8	1.79%	-0.2	1.4	72	1.2
4	Dec_30_2020	402.2	469.48	478.67	482.51	484.58	487.39	490.32(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	202	50	212	172	0.34	67%	0.33	104.5	1.82%	1.1	1.8	77	1.3
5	Dec_29_2020	400.88	467.41	476.48	479.57	480.55	482.35	484.45(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	69	30	58	100	0.35	67%	0.3	111.3	1.83%	0.4	1.5	59	0.2

6	Dec_28_2020	399.67	465.12	473.58	476.92	478.35	481.78	480.24(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	118	60	122	107	0.4	69%	0.37	103.1	1.83%	0.4	1.3	56	1.2
7	Dec_24_2020	398.21	463.02	470.95	475.92	476.09	478.76	483.32(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	132	40	141	105	0.27	69%	0.29	100	1.84%	-2.4	1.6	62	1.3
8	Dec_23_2020	397.05	460.09	468.39	474.74	474.02	474.91	474.2(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	10	30	61	0.39	68%	0.27	87.1	1.83%	0.6	1	64	0.5
9	Dec_22_2020	396	457.7	466.42	474.23	474.73	473.42	475.62(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-20	27	60	0.39	68%	0.28	78.9	1.85%	0.4	1.1	66	-0.7
10	Dec_21_2020	394.9	455.32	465.59	472.89	473.75	473.13	471.22(-0.84%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-38	-0	-62	33	0.56	68%	0.3	74.8	1.85%	-0.6	1	66	-1.6

11	Dec_18_2020	393.72	453.01	465.27	469.49	473.18	476.05	475.23(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	136	70	140	122	0.46	68%	0.29	67.3	1.85%	0.3	1.3	74	1.2
12	Dec_17_2020	392.58	450.43	464.03	465.01	467.98	474.38	477.42(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	201	110	217	154	0.48	68%	0.29	62.9	1.85%	1.1	1.5	76	1.6
13	Dec_16_2020	391.44	447.71	461.52	461.14	461.92	470.32	471.66(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	281	130	309	196	0.46	68%	0.25	59.8	1.85%	1.2	1.4	79	1.5
14	Dec_15_2020	390.48	445.41	459.43	457.58	457.95	461.58	468.93(3.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	254	60	276	187	0.58	68%	0.23	63.4	1.87%	1.9	1.4	77	0.8
15	Dec_14_2020	389.6	443.23	457.45	457.55	454.18	453.52	454.21(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-54	-30	-91	59	0.48	68%	0.23	71.9	1.83%	-0.7	0.7	70	-0.6

16	Dec_11_2020	388.72	441.55	456.04	460.52	457.96	454.33	452.83(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-43	-70	-85	85	0.45	68%	0.18	79.7	1.85%	-0.8	0.7	72	0.3
17	Dec_10_2020	388.03	439.62	454.68	462.76	462.01	454.85	458.07(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-146	-110	-214	57	0.54	68%	0.17	84.7	1.84%	-0.7	1.1	76	0.9
18	Dec_9_2020	387.36	437.62	451.44	461.71	464.06	461.58	453.86(-3.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-140	-20	-206	59	0.7	69%	0.18	94	1.85%	-2.4	0.9	74	1
19	Dec_8_2020	386.66	435	448.71	461.12	464.19	469.18	468.77(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	174	100	162	208	0.68	67%	0.2	94.7	1.83%	0.8	1.8	86	1.6
20	Dec_7_2020	385.87	431.84	444.5	457.24	459.25	466.55	469.06(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	267	120	278	232	0.58	67%	0.22	105.6	1.97%	1.3	2.1	86	1.1

21	Dec_4_2020	385.01	428.6	439.85	450.98	454.16	459.19	464.03(2.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	276	100	295	220	0.51	64%	0.21	118.7	1.98%	1.7	2.2	87	1.2
22	Dec_3_2020	384.21	425.26	435.64	445.57	447.56	451.95	452.85(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	155	80	156	151	0.68	57%	0.2	126.5	1.99%	0.7	1.8	87	0.9
23	Dec_2_2020	383.43	421.81	432.62	439.62	442.82	449.13	450.9(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	225	120	245	164	1.05	59%	0.14	114.8	2.13%	1	1.8	77	1
24	Dec_1_2020	382.88	417.94	429.98	434.32	436.16	443.17	449.34(2.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	226	130	247	162	0.68	61%	0.16	97.4	2.16%	0.5	1.7	83	1
25	Nov_30_2020	382.27	413.8	427.48	429.87	430.2	436.5	437.76(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	199	100	216	147	0.5	60%		82.6	2.15%	0.5	1.2	72	1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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