Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 6, 2020

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $384.7500 (3.02%) ($383.5000 - $389.4900) on Mon. Jul. 6, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.35% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $384.7500(3.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BOTZ(77%)    FIVG(69%)    IVW(69%)    QQQ(69%)    IWF(68%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -1.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-41%)    UUP(-34%)    VXX(-13%)    TBT(-6%)    XLC(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.175% (StdDev 2.35%)
Hourly BBV 1.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $371.7(3.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $368.27(4.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $359.93(6.9%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   42.2%
Market Cap   $160.974b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 3.17% (three month std-dev: 2.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.53%(58%) Average negative next day return: -2.17%(42%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.77%(30%) Average negative next three day return: -3.32%(70%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.53%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.63%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200806

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_6_2020	301.31	359.93	368.27	371.7	373.5	379.71	384.75(3.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	246	130	273	163	0.75	83%	0.18	63.4	2.35%	1.1	2.2	78	1.1
2	Jul_2_2020	300.77	358.42	365.71	367.18	367.85	370.78	373.47(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	94	60	98	82	0.45	81%	0.19	75.5	2.64%	1.3	1.6	78	0.8
3	Jul_1_2020	300.2	357.35	364.27	365.79	365.24	367.3	367.77(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	62	30	57	77	0.52	69%	0.18	91.9	2.64%	1.2	1.1	81	0.6
4	Jun_30_2020	299.67	356.27	363.67	364.52	364.46	364.92	368.13(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	10	44	75	0.68	74%	0.2	96.1	2.73%	1.4	1.2	63	0.3
5	Jun_29_2020	299.08	354.65	362.09	364.29	363.37	363.18	364.38(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-10	-10	-28	46	0.81	74%	0.2	92.4	2.82%	0.1	0.9	60	-0.2

6	Jun_26_2020	298.47	352.85	360.74	364.25	364.64	364.01	362.15(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10	8	58	0.49	64%	0.18	90.5	3.06%	-0.1	0.8	60	-0.9
7	Jun_25_2020	297.94	351.28	358.98	363.91	364.62	363.56	366.54(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-5	-10	-19	39	0.46	64%	0.21	84.7	3.12%	-0.2	1.1	55	-0.3
8	Jun_24_2020	297.32	349.03	355.79	362.48	364	365.27	361.4(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	40	1	34	0.61	71%	0.21	75.5	3.12%	-0.7	0.9	55	-0.7
9	Jun_23_2020	296.69	346.97	354.43	362.61	363.2	365.67	366.97(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	50	61	57	0.6	74%	0.27	77	3.4%	0.7	1.3	63	-0
10	Jun_22_2020	295.88	344.64	352.57	359.56	361.82	362.72	364.17(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	40	58	53	0.56	74%	0.29	79.2	3.51%	0.8	1.4	68	-0.2

11	Jun_19_2020	295.03	342.41	350.94	356.7	358.85	360.73	360.45(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	50	36	48	0.78	77%	0.23	82.2	3.51%	-0.4	1.2	70	-0.8
12	Jun_18_2020	294.35	340.35	350.45	353.22	354.96	360.93	359.42(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	91	130	97	74	0.49	63%	0.22	80.8	3.65%	-0.1	1.3	68	-0.7
13	Jun_17_2020	293.71	338.61	349.7	347.96	350.79	356.96	362.04(2.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	129	150	142	88	0.71	64%	0.25	83.6	4.32%	1.1	1.6	73	-0.9
14	Jun_16_2020	292.97	335.85	348.01	345.12	344.15	348.99	351.7(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	90	55	57	0.86	59%	0.23	79.7	4.33%	1.1	1.1	71	-1
15	Jun_15_2020	292.29	333.57	346.43	344.69	343.61	344.63	349.91(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	10	54	61	0.6	59%	0.19	75.6	4.54%	1.9	1	69	-1.3

16	Jun_12_2020	291.74	330.82	344.26	344.51	344.29	339.31	343.03(2.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-30	-100	-48	23	0.84	57%	0.17	65.3	4.59%	-0.5	0.7	67	-1.4
17	Jun_11_2020	291.24	328.87	343.06	347.39	345.67	342.58	333.14(-4.22%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-82	-80	-112	8	0.91	54%	0.13	69.2	4.73%	-2.1	0.2	63	-2.6
18	Jun_10_2020	290.86	327.05	342.1	351.42	351.38	349.27	347.82(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-40	2	62	1	56%	0.17	71.8	4.75%	-0	1.1	68	0.9
19	Jun_9_2020	290.36	324.52	339.33	351.12	352.02	348.76	349.55(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-16	-60	-38	51	0.74	53%	0.21	73	4.79%	-0.4	1.3	78	1
20	Jun_8_2020	289.75	322.2	336.43	348.2	350.86	353.48	349.01(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	80	10	69	1	53%	0.17	76.8	4.91%	-0.7	1.4	78	1.6

21	Jun_5_2020	289.25	319.88	333.46	343.74	347.18	355.27	357.42(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	127	190	129	119	0.91	52%	0.2	80.2	4.9%	0.8	2	88	2
22	Jun_4_2020	288.67	316.85	329.47	338.14	338.98	348.24	353.32(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	132	200	137	117	0.88	53%	0.19	83.1	4.93%	1.1	2.2	76	1.6
23	Jun_3_2020	288.12	313.68	326.42	331.52	333.11	339.08	346.3(3.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	130	140	135	114	0.69	53%	0.16	75.7	4.98%	1.4	2.2	77	1.7
24	Jun_2_2020	287.67	310.73	322.36	325.98	327.48	329.72	334.98(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	60	60	55	75	0.72	55%	0.12	70.4	4.97%	1.7	1.8	72	1.3
25	Jun_1_2020	287.32	308.13	319.38	322.99	323.36	327.13	326.68(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	90	28	60	0.53	55%		62.4	4.98%	0.3	1.4	63	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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