Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 8, 2020

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $349.0050 (-2.35%) ($343.1100 - $351.5700) on Mon. Jun. 8, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.91% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $349.0050(-2.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BOTZ(77%)    FIVG(69%)    IVW(69%)    IWF(68%)    QQQ(68%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -2.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-41%)    UUP(-34%)    VXX(-14%)    TBT(-5%)    XLC(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.455% (StdDev 4.91%)
Hourly BBV -0.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $348.2(0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $336.43(3.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $322.2(8.32%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   78%
Market Cap   $146.019b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 5.95% (three month std-dev: 4.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 27 Average positive next day return: 1.49%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.87%(67%) Sample size 27 Average positive next three day return: 2.1%(41%) Average negative next three day return: -3.46%(59%) Sample size 27 Average positive next weekly return: 4.13%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.28%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200708

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2020	289.75	322.2	336.43	348.2	350.86	353.48	349.01(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	80	10	69	1	53%	0.17	76.8	4.91%	-0.7	1.4	78	1.6
2	Jun_5_2020	289.25	319.88	333.46	343.74	347.18	355.27	357.42(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	127	190	129	119	0.91	52%	0.2	80.2	4.9%	0.8	2	88	2
3	Jun_4_2020	288.67	316.85	329.47	338.14	338.98	348.24	353.32(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	132	200	137	117	0.88	53%	0.19	83.1	4.93%	1.1	2.2	76	1.6
4	Jun_3_2020	288.12	313.68	326.42	331.52	333.11	339.08	346.3(3.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	130	140	135	114	0.69	53%	0.16	75.7	4.98%	1.4	2.2	77	1.7
5	Jun_2_2020	287.67	310.73	322.36	325.98	327.48	329.72	334.98(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	60	60	55	75	0.72	55%	0.12	70.4	4.97%	1.7	1.8	72	1.3

6	Jun_1_2020	287.32	308.13	319.38	322.99	323.36	327.13	326.68(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	90	28	60	0.53	55%	0.11	62.4	4.98%	0.3	1.4	63	1
7	May_29_2020	287.01	305.78	316.14	321.52	322.16	325.23	329.44(2.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	74	70	74	72	0.65	55%	0.1	53.2	5.02%	1.2	1.7	64	1.3
8	May_28_2020	286.72	303.67	313.42	319.46	319.63	319.6	320.19(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	0	7	42	0.8	55%	0.07	51.7	5.05%	0.5	1.2	64	0.9
9	May_27_2020	286.53	302.76	310.89	320.51	319.08	319.09	318.6(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10	-13	39	0.81	53%	0.07	60.4	5.05%	-0.2	1.2	67	1.5
10	May_26_2020	286.32	301.35	308.72	318.04	320.76	319.67	320.04(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	0	31	55	0.54	53%	0.05	60.8	5.07%	0.5	1.5	69	1.3

11	May_22_2020	286.19	299.83	307.04	315.04	317.21	319.07	319.34(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	60	1	45	0.36	51%	0.06	57.5	5.04%	-0.8	1.7	71	1.2
12	May_21_2020	286.03	298.39	305.37	309.7	313.57	321.84	319.14(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	103	220	108	86	0.63	51%	0.12	46.7	5.08%	0.3	1.9	73	1.1
13	May_20_2020	285.68	296.84	303.29	306.39	306.8	315.36	325.45(6.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	133	200	145	98	1.08	51%	0.11	41.5	5.08%	1.5	2.9	68	1.5
14	May_19_2020	285.38	295.15	299.74	300.07	300.4	305.31	306.21(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	83	120	91	59	0.69	49%	0.04	36.7	5.03%	1	1.4	50	0.9
15	May_18_2020	285.26	293.92	298.02	298.15	297.38	298.24	305.04(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	10	35	32	1	49%	0.03	27.4	5.04%	1.6	1.5	57	1.4

16	May_15_2020	285.17	293.24	295.88	297.99	296.2	295.49	292.64(-3.3%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-21	-30	-29	4	0.95	49%	-0.01	41.2	5.02%	0.2	-0.1	52	1
17	May_14_2020	285.21	293.39	294.71	300.26	298.77	296.53	302.63(2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-5	-70	-10	12	1.3	49%	0.06	63.4	5.04%	0.9	1.3	56	0.8
18	May_13_2020	285.03	292.82	293.24	299.63	299.99	296.9	293.84(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-70	-45	-4	1.14	49%	-0	70	5.03%	-1.8	0.1	54	0.1
19	May_12_2020	285.04	292.28	294.15	299.18	300.84	301	296.58(-2.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	20	-9	13	0.48	49%	0	74	5.03%	-2.4	0.6	51	1.2
20	May_11_2020	285.03	291.91	293.61	297.59	299.25	303.08	304.28(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	48	110	51	38	0.51	49%	0.04	71.8	5.02%	1.5	1.6	64	2.3

21	May_8_2020	284.92	290.4	292.15	293.36	295.61	300.69	303.97(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	80	140	92	44	0.68	49%	0.05	78.1	4.98%	1.5	1.8	55	2
22	May_7_2020	284.79	289.04	290.82	288.34	290.21	295.43	299.46(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	66	150	79	26	0.57	49%	0.02	79.7	5.02%	1.3	1.4	51	1.4
23	May_6_2020	284.72	287.98	289.74	286.13	285.59	290.54	291.63(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	120	54	10	0.55	49%	-0.01	92.1	5.01%	0.8	0.5	50	0.8
24	May_5_2020	284.75	287.14	290	288.63	285.32	284.99	288.63(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	-40	23	8	0.82	50%	-0.01	102.9	5.01%	1.5	0.2	55	1.1
25	May_4_2020	284.79	286.31	289.39	289.14	288.65	280.65	283.11(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-60	-200	-69	-31	1.04	51%		98.3	5.02%	-0.5	-0.4	48	0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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