Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $172.3354 (0.41%) ($170.6875 - $173.6060) on Thu. Oct. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $172.3354(0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BOTZ(76%)    QQQ(72%)    IVW(71%)    IWF(71%)    XLK(71%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-19%)    VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $170.2(1.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $169.72(1.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $167.24(3.05%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   26.9%
Market Cap   $72.103b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 2.12% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.99%(48%) Average negative next day return: -1.04%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.89%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -1.23%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.74%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.1%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_12_2017	148.1	167.24	169.72	170.2	170.12	171.35	172.34(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	92	50	85	111	1.3	69%	0.28	72.6	1.3%	0	1.4	66	0
2	Oct_11_2017	147.69	166.64	169.38	169.18	169.1	169.99	171.63(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	73	40	64	100	0.86	69%	0.26	63.8	1.3%	0	1.4	66	0
3	Oct_10_2017	147.3	166.01	168.8	168.85	168.31	168.89	169.92(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	10	27	86	0.52	69%	0.26	66.2	1.3%	0	1.1	64	0
4	Oct_9_2017	146.92	165.53	168.03	168.7	168.35	168.21	168.89(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10	15	68	0.35	69%	0.25	75	1.3%	0	0.9	53	0
5	Oct_6_2017	146.56	165.17	167.28	168.81	168.44	167.74	168.2(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-22	-40	-41	36	1.22	69%	0.24	80	1.31%	0	0.8	55	0

6	Oct_5_2017	146.21	164.7	166.95	169.16	168.85	168.49	167.28(-1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-15	-20	-38	53	0.42	69%	0.25	86.8	1.31%	0	0.7	63	0
7	Oct_4_2017	145.84	164.33	166.69	169.55	169.27	169.15	169.93(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10	11	92	0.86	72%	0.23	88.8	1.29%	0	1.3	70	0
8	Oct_3_2017	145.5	163.61	166.08	168.71	169.01	169.22	169.21(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	10	37	104	0.45	72%	0.24	80.7	1.3%	0	1.2	71	0
9	Oct_2_2017	145.15	162.85	165.81	167.2	167.76	169.38	169.45(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	95	80	87	119	0.59	72%	0.25	74.3	1.31%	0	1.5	67	0
10	Sep_29_2017	144.79	162.18	165.4	165.48	165.64	168.8	169.94(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	148	140	153	131	1.68	65%	0.26	68	1.3%	0	1.8	64	0

11	Sep_28_2017	144.42	161.43	164.51	164.44	163.83	166.15	169.24(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	149	90	158	120	1.48	66%	0.26	68	1.41%	0	1.9	68	0
12	Sep_27_2017	144.04	160.64	163.6	163.5	162.89	162.49	165.71(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	-30	37	61	1.25	65%	0.22	65.6	1.41%	0	1.3	61	0
13	Sep_26_2017	143.72	160.06	162.94	163.15	162.91	161.51	161.66(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-68	-60	-95	13	1.18	62%	0.21	64	1.4%	0	0.4	64	0
14	Sep_25_2017	143.42	159.65	162.83	164.23	163.93	163.28	160.82(-2.38%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-41	-30	-73	55	0.85	62%	0.18	71	1.4%	0	0.3	65	0
15	Sep_22_2017	143.16	159.29	162.94	165.22	165.18	164.32	164.74(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	25	-40	-4	112	0.3	70%	0.22	77.3	1.42%	0	1.2	66	0

16	Sep_21_2017	142.84	158.67	162.34	164.51	165.24	164.58	164.55(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-10	-30	102	1.07	71%	0.22	75.8	1.42%	0	1.3	67	0
17	Sep_20_2017	142.52	158.06	161.85	163.65	164.57	166.04	163.98(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	64	80	41	134	0.99	67%	0.21	71.7	1.43%	0	1.3	69	0
18	Sep_19_2017	142.22	157.51	161.02	162.64	163.29	165.89	167.05(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	155	120	150	168	0.99	71%	0.25	69.9	1.44%	0	2.2	74	0
19	Sep_18_2017	141.86	156.66	159.68	161.26	161.33	163.09	165.76(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	119	80	113	137	1.29	71%	0.25	66	1.44%	0	2.3	74	0
20	Sep_15_2017	141.5	155.9	158.67	160.42	160.25	160.69	161.22(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	64	20	48	110	0.63	67%	0.22	70.5	1.42%	0	1.5	69	0

21	Sep_14_2017	141.19	155.32	158.07	159.89	160.06	159.57	160.24(0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	22	-20	-1	89	0.53	65%	0.21	67.6	1.45%	0	1.4	70	0
22	Sep_13_2017	140.89	154.91	157.42	159.77	159.8	159.8	158.89(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	0	-16	87	0.61	67%	0.2	71	1.46%	0	1.2	68	0
23	Sep_12_2017	140.61	154.53	156.95	159.06	159.64	160.55	160.17(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	74	50	62	111	0.44	67%	0.21	66.2	1.47%	0	1.7	68	0
24	Sep_11_2017	140.32	154.08	156.23	157.76	158.39	159.8	161.58(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	87	70	80	107	0.7	67%	0.24	56.6	1.47%	0	2.5	76	0
25	Sep_8_2017	139.98	153.48	155.34	156.67	156.71	158.74	158.55(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	81	90	77	93	0.66	60%		52.1	1.54%	0	2	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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