Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $138.8927 (2.24%) ($136.8776 - $139.0218) on Fri. Jul. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.49% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $138.8927(2.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BOTZ(75%)    QQQ(72%)    IVW(71%)    IWF(71%)    XLK(71%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.745% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.745% (StdDev 1.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $135.88(2.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $133.21(4.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $131.93(5.28%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $58.111b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 2.27% (three month std-dev: 1.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 38 Average positive next day return: 1.22%(55%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(45%) Sample size 38 Average positive next three day return: 1.52%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -1.47%(37%) Sample size 38 Average positive next weekly return: 1.71%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.67%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2017	129.51	131.93	133.21	135.88	135.88	136.92	138.89(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	78	50	72	95	1.16	53%	0.14	63	1.49%	0	2.3	59	0
2	Jul_13_2017	129.33	131.3	132.16	134.49	134.73	135.87	135.85(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	69	60	68	70	0.48	50%	0.11	43	1.48%	0	1.7	64	0
3	Jul_12_2017	129.19	130.95	131.91	133.37	133.65	134.84	136.03(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	80	70	83	70	0.84	50%	0.09	27.5	1.48%	0	2	63	0
4	Jul_11_2017	129.08	130.67	131.4	132.27	132.18	133.59	134.82(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	69	70	73	58	1.1	50%	0.05	15.8	1.48%	0	1.9	65	0
5	Jul_10_2017	129.02	130.32	131.14	131.04	131.11	132.45	133.82(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	77	70	86	49	0.44	50%	0.07	-8.2	1.48%	0	1.7	56	0

6	Jul_7_2017	128.93	130.07	131.07	130.15	130.12	130.78	131.91(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	30	50	33	0.59	50%	0.05	-32.7	1.48%	0	1	57	0
7	Jul_6_2017	128.86	130.14	130.79	129.5	130.12	129.77	130.26(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	10	2	10	0.83	50%	0.04	-36.5	1.47%	0	0.1	58	0
8	Jul_5_2017	128.81	130.27	130.74	130.25	129.67	129.47	130.51(1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-14	-20	-23	14	0.8	49%	0.08	-21.7	1.47%	0	0.1	53	0
9	Jul_3_2017	128.71	130.31	130.47	130.42	130.53	129.57	128.72(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-25	-50	-35	4	0.43	49%	0.05	-21.1	1.45%	0	-0.7	47	0
10	Jun_30_2017	128.65	130.49	130.67	131.24	131.33	129.86	129.35(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-64	-80	-87	5	0.9	49%	0.05	-12.8	1.44%	0	-0.5	53	0

11	Jun_29_2017	128.58	130.69	130.64	132.1	132.36	131.5	128.65(-3.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-39	-40	-62	31	1.99	49%	0.05	-2.9	1.44%	0	-0.9	51	0
12	Jun_28_2017	128.51	130.9	130.5	132.18	133.11	132.8	134(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	0	16	46	0.77	54%	0.1	-1.2	1.35%	0	1.4	49	0
13	Jun_27_2017	128.38	130.74	129.99	131.28	132.16	133.21	131.4(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	80	23	19	1.78	51%	0.09	-17.2	1.34%	0	0.3	47	0
14	Jun_26_2017	128.27	130.78	129.91	130.51	131.16	133.42	132.8(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	101	140	121	42	0.98	51%	0.09	-28.1	1.33%	0	0.9	51	0
15	Jun_23_2017	128.15	130.77	129.43	130.04	129.88	131.11	133.65(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	84	60	107	15	1.28	54%	0.1	-35.1	1.36%	0	1.3	51	0

16	Jun_22_2017	128.02	130.75	128.92	129.05	129.22	128.91	129.07(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	-10	21	-56	0.66	52%	0.08	-45.9	1.29%	0	-0.8	41	0
17	Jun_21_2017	127.92	130.93	129.37	128.57	129.03	128.64	129.47(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-36	-10	-22	-79	0.71	51%	0.08	-51.5	1.31%	0	-0.7	44	0
18	Jun_20_2017	127.82	131.1	129.68	128.51	128.56	129.52	127.55(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	50	-12	-72	0.6	49%	0.06	-59.2	1.31%	0	-1.6	45	0
19	Jun_19_2017	127.74	131.39	130.1	129.19	128.9	129.41	130.48(1.4%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	50	20	76	-28	0.39	52%	0.09	-57.9	1.28%	0	-0.4	46	0
20	Jun_16_2017	127.63	131.56	130.25	128.72	128.92	127.59	128.68(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-70	-27	-83	0.93	52%	0.08	-64.2	1.28%	0	-1.4	41	0

21	Jun_15_2017	127.53	131.78	130.74	128.8	128.69	128.39	126.64(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-118	-20	-117	-121	1.55	52%	0.05	-67.1	1.26%	0	-2.5	35	0
22	Jun_14_2017	127.47	132.07	131.39	130.28	129.73	130.25	129.19(-1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	7	20	21	-37	0.86	54%	0.06	-61.6	1.25%	0	-1.7	43	0
23	Jun_13_2017	127.39	132.42	131.6	131.04	130.6	128.98	130.96(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-31	-100	-25	-47	1.37	56%	0.09	-42	1.24%	0	-0.8	46	0
24	Jun_12_2017	127.28	132.61	131.75	131.18	131.21	129.2	128.13(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-146	-110	-160	-102	1.94	53%	0.06	-33.1	1.22%	0	-2.5	37	0
25	Jun_9_2017	127.2	132.94	132.29	131.99	132.25	132.23	129.08(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-55	0	-58	-46	1.2	57%		-26.4	1.27%	0	-2.6	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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