Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 15, 2017

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $124.0986 (1.68%) ($122.6319 - $124.3348) on Wed. Mar. 15, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $124.0986(1.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BOTZ(75%)    QQQ(72%)    IVW(71%)    IWF(71%)    XLK(71%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $122.16(1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $120.9(2.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $121.73(1.95%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   20%
Market Cap   $51.921b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.89%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.75%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.12%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.06%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.03%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2017	111.54	121.73	120.9	122.16	122.64	122.95	124.1(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	64	30	67	56	0.84	72%	0.2	-10.4	1.29%	0	1.1	54	0
2	Mar_14_2017	111.32	121.71	120.6	121.11	121.58	122.2	122.05(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	50	26	16	0.41	70%	0.17	-17.9	1.28%	0	0.2	49	0
3	Mar_13_2017	111.13	121.82	120.36	120.32	120.7	122.33	122.25(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	58	100	78	-1	0.84	72%	0.18	-18.9	1.29%	0	0.2	40	0
4	Mar_10_2017	110.93	121.85	120.21	119.81	119.89	120.97	123.05(3.09%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	68	70	97	-18	1.02	72%	0.2	-21.6	1.29%	0	0.5	43	0
5	Mar_9_2017	110.71	121.81	119.92	119.41	119.09	119.07	119.35(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-21	-10	1	-85	0.41	68%	0.15	-23.2	1.25%	0	-1.1	32	0

6	Mar_8_2017	110.54	121.97	120.16	119.48	119.45	118.8	118.86(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-40	-26	-108	0.58	68%	0.17	-17.9	1.25%	0	-1.4	30	0
7	Mar_7_2017	110.35	122.11	120.46	120.01	119.72	119.11	118.1(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-74	-40	-59	-120	1.23	68%	0.17	-8	1.25%	0	-1.9	32	0
8	Mar_6_2017	110.16	122.26	121.19	120.35	120.33	120.1	119.7(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10	-15	-94	0.5	72%	0.19	-3.1	1.24%	0	-1.3	34	0
9	Mar_3_2017	109.95	122.26	121.7	120.61	120.4	120.33	121.06(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-10	-7	-77	0.78	76%	0.22	3.9	1.27%	0	-0.7	45	0
10	Mar_2_2017	109.71	122.35	122.09	120.52	120.39	120.55	119.67(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	10	-6	-71	0.96	76%	0.17	5.8	1.27%	0	-1.4	42	0

11	Mar_1_2017	109.52	122.37	122.65	120.95	120.51	120.48	121.54(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10	3	-50	1.27	71%	0.19	9	1.25%	0	-0.4	49	0
12	Feb_28_2017	109.31	122.29	122.93	121.02	120.75	120.23	119.79(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-40	-43	-56	1.03	70%	0.14	7.3	1.3%	0	-1.2	47	0
13	Feb_27_2017	109.16	122.32	123.42	122.18	121.44	120.55	120.98(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-51	-70	-59	-25	0.74	70%	0.16	22.6	1.3%	0	-0.7	57	0
14	Feb_24_2017	108.99	122.28	123.65	122.97	122.39	121.27	120.61(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-58	-80	-75	-8	1.44	70%	0.14	32.7	1.3%	0	-0.8	51	0
15	Feb_23_2017	108.84	122.24	123.9	123.9	123.37	122.33	121.84(-0.04%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-48	-70	-70	20	0.76	70%	0.14	42.5	1.3%	0	-0.2	58	0

16	Feb_22_2017	108.69	122.2	123.97	124.59	124.09	123.51	121.89(-2.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-25	-40	-51	52	2.31	70%	0.14	51.1	1.31%	0	-0.1	64	0
17	Feb_21_2017	108.54	122.14	123.96	125.06	124.53	124.42	125.59(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	-20	-5	94	3.9	79%	0.18	71.3	1.24%	0	1.6	84	0
18	Feb_17_2017	108.34	121.86	123.45	124.85	124.45	124.66	124.9(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	0	6	98	0.81	82%	0.17	89.8	1.24%	0	1.5	79	0
19	Feb_16_2017	108.16	121.62	123.07	124.45	124.43	124.65	125.28(0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	10	36	106	1.02	82%	0.17	107.6	1.26%	0	1.9	82	0
20	Feb_15_2017	107.98	121.34	122.62	123.91	123.9	124.24	125.27(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	38	20	19	95	0.9	82%	0.17	134.8	1.26%	0	2.3	83	0

21	Feb_14_2017	107.8	121.1	122.03	123.28	123.5	124.21	124.28(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	50	48	90	1.83	82%	0.17	126.3	1.26%	0	1.5	65	0
22	Feb_13_2017	107.62	120.61	121.55	122.69	122.9	123.55	124.52(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	67	40	62	80	1.05	82%	0.17	134.4	1.27%	0	2	68	0
23	Feb_10_2017	107.44	120.07	121.06	121.85	122.02	122.78	122.9(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	50	40	52	0.79	75%	0.15	114.7	1.27%	0	1.2	64	0
24	Feb_9_2017	107.28	119.6	120.74	121.49	121.4	122.25	122.57(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	50	51	47	0.82	75%	0.17	102.3	1.31%	0	1.1	64	0
25	Feb_8_2017	107.1	119.08	120.4	121.14	121	121.26	122.15(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	10	38	32	0.85	75%		92.2	1.33%	0	1	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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