Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 5, 2017

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $109.5005 (1.2%) ($109.0181 - $110.1501) on Thu. Jan. 5, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $109.5005(1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BOTZ(75%)    IVW(71%)    QQQ(71%)    IWF(70%)    XLK(70%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $109.26(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.08(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $106.49(2.83%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $45.814b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 3.08% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.47%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.53%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.16%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.28%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.57%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.92%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2017	103.78	106.49	109.08	109.26	109.23	108.82	109.5(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-30	10	81	0.49	52%	0.06	70.5	1.35%	0	0.9	78	INF
2	Jan_4_2017	103.72	106.08	108.94	109.17	109.2	108.6	108.2(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-17	-40	-48	76	0.85	52%	0.02	67.4	1.35%	0	0.6	71	INF
3	Jan_3_2017	103.7	105.74	108.98	109.48	109.42	109.64	108.72(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	10	-9	130	0.87	52%	-0.05	66.8	1.35%	0	0.9	76	INF
4	Dec_30_2016	103.75	105.24	108.61	109.54	109.54	109.8	110.45(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	70	20	37	169	0.86	54%	0.01	57.3	1.33%	0	1.4	84	INF
5	Dec_29_2016	103.74	104.64	107.93	109.1	109.17	109.21	109.42(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	44	0	6	158	0.75	54%	0.02	48	1.33%	0	1.2	80	INF

6	Dec_28_2016	103.72	104.23	107.23	108.88	108.95	109.27	109.05(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	49	20	12	159	0.51	54%	0.01	45.8	1.34%	0	1.3	76	INF
7	Dec_27_2016	103.71	103.87	106.64	108.67	108.75	109.14	109.77(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	68	30	32	175	0.31	54%	-0.02	45.2	1.33%	0	1.7	81	INF
8	Dec_23_2016	103.73	103.45	105.81	108.42	108.33	108.62	109(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	65	20	29	173	0.18	54%	0.01	47.1	1.32%	0	1.7	79	INF
9	Dec_22_2016	103.72	103.1	105.02	107.53	108.04	108.36	108.26(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	80	30	48	175	0.32	57%	0.01	44.5	1.32%	0	1.7	83	INF
10	Dec_21_2016	103.71	102.83	104.33	106.56	107.09	108.04	108.33(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	87	80	59	169	0.66	58%	0.01	46.2	1.34%	0	2	82	INF

11	Dec_20_2016	103.7	102.55	103.66	105.29	105.81	107.72	107.99(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	115	140	101	157	0.81	58%	0	47.7	1.36%	0	2.2	66	INF
12	Dec_19_2016	103.7	102.29	102.94	104.3	104.5	106.14	108.5(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	132	120	129	142	1.71	58%	0	54.6	1.37%	0	3	64	INF
13	Dec_16_2016	103.7	101.97	102.17	102.85	103.28	103.9	104.58(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	74	50	70	85	0.87	54%	-0.03	61.2	1.3%	0	1.7	57	INF
14	Dec_15_2016	103.73	101.78	101.55	102.15	102.45	102.85	103.39(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	40	25	33	0.66	54%	-0.05	56.7	1.3%	0	1.1	52	INF
15	Dec_14_2016	103.78	101.57	101.06	101.77	101.94	102.66	102.01(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	50	29	4	0.39	53%	-0.05	38.3	1.31%	0	0.3	43	INF

16	Dec_13_2016	103.83	101.41	100.99	101.76	101.69	102.06	103(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	20	47	2	0.31	53%	-0.02	22.1	1.3%	0	1	45	INF
17	Dec_12_2016	103.85	101.15	100.87	101.76	101.3	101.22	101.29(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10	-0	-32	0.31	50%	-0.03	1.1	1.3%	0	0.1	40	INF
18	Dec_9_2016	103.88	101.03	100.92	101.38	101.15	101.32	101.05(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	0	8	-33	0.36	47%	-0.02	-3.8	1.31%	0	0	42	INF
19	Dec_8_2016	103.9	100.98	101.05	100.81	101.09	101.38	101.5(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	27	30	45	-26	0.48	45%	-0.05	-13.4	1.34%	0	0.3	53	INF
20	Dec_7_2016	103.95	101	101.22	100.2	100.18	100.97	101.93(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	50	16	-36	0.57	45%	-0.02	-23.4	1.36%	0	0.5	62	INF

21	Dec_6_2016	103.97	101.04	101.36	100.12	99.8	100.8	101.1(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	30	60	42	-8	0.4	45%	-0.01	-21.8	1.37%	0	0	62	INF
22	Dec_5_2016	103.98	101.13	101.58	100.33	100.07	99.4	101.31(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-50	15	8	0.82	45%	0.01	-20.7	1.37%	0	0.1	65	INF
23	Dec_2_2016	103.97	101.11	101.74	100.47	100.28	98.81	98.22(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-87	-110	-109	-20	0.7	40%	-0.03	-25.3	1.32%	0	-1.4	52	INF
24	Dec_1_2016	104	101.23	102.06	101.33	101.28	100.74	98.43(-3.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-46	-40	-69	23	0.84	40%	-0.01	-19.6	1.32%	0	-1.5	48	INF
25	Nov_30_2016	104.01	101.44	102.21	102.33	101.97	101.76	101.52(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-20	-17	61	0.43	44%		-5.1	1.27%	0	0	48	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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