Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $108.4964 (3.75%) ($106.6655 - $108.7524) on Mon. Dec. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $108.4964(3.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BOTZ(75%)    IVW(71%)    QQQ(71%)    IWF(70%)    XLK(70%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $104.3(4.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.94(5.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102.29(6.07%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $45.393b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 2.05% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.04%(42%) Average negative next day return: -0.86%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 0.81%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.09%(33%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 1.25%(42%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.57%(58%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2016	103.7	102.29	102.94	104.3	104.5	106.14	108.5(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	132	120	129	142	1.71	58%	0	54.6	1.37%	0	3	64	0
2	Dec_16_2016	103.7	101.97	102.17	102.85	103.28	103.9	104.58(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	74	50	70	85	0.87	54%	-0.03	61.2	1.3%	0	1.7	57	0
3	Dec_15_2016	103.73	101.78	101.55	102.15	102.45	102.85	103.39(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	40	25	33	0.66	54%	-0.05	56.7	1.3%	0	1.1	52	0
4	Dec_14_2016	103.78	101.57	101.06	101.77	101.94	102.66	102.01(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	50	29	4	0.39	53%	-0.05	38.3	1.31%	0	0.3	43	0
5	Dec_13_2016	103.83	101.41	100.99	101.76	101.69	102.06	103(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	20	47	2	0.31	53%	-0.02	22.1	1.3%	0	1	45	0

6	Dec_12_2016	103.85	101.15	100.87	101.76	101.3	101.22	101.29(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10	-0	-32	0.31	50%	-0.03	1.1	1.3%	0	0.1	40	0
7	Dec_9_2016	103.88	101.03	100.92	101.38	101.15	101.32	101.05(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	0	8	-33	0.36	47%	-0.02	-3.8	1.31%	0	0	42	0
8	Dec_8_2016	103.9	100.98	101.05	100.81	101.09	101.38	101.5(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	27	30	45	-26	0.48	45%	-0.05	-13.4	1.34%	0	0.3	53	0
9	Dec_7_2016	103.95	101	101.22	100.2	100.18	100.97	101.93(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	50	16	-36	0.57	45%	-0.02	-23.4	1.36%	0	0.5	62	0
10	Dec_6_2016	103.97	101.04	101.36	100.12	99.8	100.8	101.1(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	30	60	42	-8	0.4	45%	-0.01	-21.8	1.37%	0	0	62	0

11	Dec_5_2016	103.98	101.13	101.58	100.33	100.07	99.4	101.31(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-50	15	8	0.82	45%	0.01	-20.7	1.37%	0	0.1	65	0
12	Dec_2_2016	103.97	101.11	101.74	100.47	100.28	98.81	98.22(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-87	-110	-109	-20	0.7	40%	-0.03	-25.3	1.32%	0	-1.4	52	0
13	Dec_1_2016	104	101.23	102.06	101.33	101.28	100.74	98.43(-3.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-46	-40	-69	23	0.84	40%	-0.01	-19.6	1.32%	0	-1.5	48	0
14	Nov_30_2016	104.01	101.44	102.21	102.33	101.97	101.76	101.52(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-20	-17	61	0.43	44%	0.02	-5.1	1.27%	0	0	48	0
15	Nov_29_2016	103.99	101.47	101.94	102.76	102.31	101.81	102.17(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-10	-50	-30	49	1.19	44%	0.04	0	1.26%	0	0.4	45	0

16	Nov_28_2016	103.95	101.54	101.53	103.02	102.79	102.18	102.01(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-18	-50	-34	32	0.45	44%	0.07	4.3	1.27%	0	0.2	45	0
17	Nov_25_2016	103.88	101.62	101.22	103.21	102.79	102.81	102.51(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-20	-19	35	0.25	44%	0.19	7.3	1.27%	0	0.5	55	0
18	Nov_23_2016	103.68	101.61	100.94	102.9	103.05	103.4	103.46(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	30	34	47	0.43	44%	0.09	4.3	1.27%	0	1	60	0
19	Nov_22_2016	103.59	101.53	100.76	102.03	102.35	103.29	103.67(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	62	70	70	37	0.88	44%	0	-9.1	1.28%	0	1.1	52	0
20	Nov_21_2016	103.59	101.47	100.65	100.99	101.04	102.69	103.45(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	79	120	97	25	1.41	44%	0.07	-19.4	1.28%	0	1	52	0

21	Nov_18_2016	103.52	101.46	100.56	99.83	99.8	101.41	102.95(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	91	110	121	1	1.91	44%	0.05	-26.7	1.28%	0	0.8	45	0
22	Nov_17_2016	103.47	101.47	100.32	98.97	98.59	99.38	100.96(1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	34	40	64	-58	1.35	37%	0.07	-30.3	1.26%	0	-0.3	40	0
23	Nov_16_2016	103.4	101.53	100.24	98.75	98.05	98.19	99.13(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	-10	-6	-103	1.04	31%	0.06	-26.5	1.27%	0	-1.3	40	0
24	Nov_15_2016	103.34	101.7	100.56	99.33	98.58	97.8	98.46(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-80	-39	-100	0.49	31%	0.07	-15.2	1.3%	0	-1.8	39	0
25	Nov_14_2016	103.27	101.84	100.95	100.27	99.44	97.92	97.65(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-102	-130	-101	-105	0.69	31%		-1.8	1.3%	0	-2.4	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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