Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $106.7541 (-0.85%) ($106.2029 - $107.0494) on Wed. Aug. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.77% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $106.7541(-0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(71%)    IVW(70%)    IWF(70%)    XLK(70%)    VUG(69%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-17%)    IPO(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    SHY(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.885% (StdDev 1.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $107.73(-0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $106.7(0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.53(3.11%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   18.8%
Market Cap   $44.664b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 4.6% (three month std-dev: 1.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.94%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.84%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 3.74%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -2.92%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 7.8%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.99%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2016	97.05	103.53	106.7	107.73	107.63	107.09	106.75(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-40	-29	69	0.41	63%	0.13	67.2	1.77%	0	0.7	67	0
2	Aug_2_2016	96.92	102.89	106.67	107.95	108.03	107.8	107.67(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10	-9	103	0.36	63%	0.13	65.9	1.79%	0	0.9	74	0
3	Aug_1_2016	96.79	102.22	106.31	107.83	108.04	108.16	107.98(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	39	10	10	125	0.42	63%	0.13	69.1	1.79%	0	1.2	75	0
4	Jul_29_2016	96.66	101.66	105.69	107.2	107.66	108.27	107.91(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	59	50	33	135	1.4	63%	0.16	70.8	1.8%	0	1.3	77	0
5	Jul_28_2016	96.51	101.13	104.93	106.41	106.73	107.93	108.36(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	74	90	51	144	0.53	63%	0.18	67	1.81%	0	1.5	82	0

6	Jul_27_2016	96.34	100.43	104.22	105.51	105.66	107.05	107.85(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	85	100	60	159	0.88	65%	0.18	61.5	1.82%	0	1.6	84	0
7	Jul_26_2016	96.17	99.68	103.39	105.23	104.72	105.53	107.07(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	73	40	42	167	0.93	65%	0.15	57.6	1.85%	0	1.6	82	0
8	Jul_25_2016	96.03	98.87	102.61	104.61	104.64	104.27	104.81(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	60	-20	23	170	0.5	64%	0.13	49.7	1.84%	0	1.3	78	0
9	Jul_22_2016	95.91	98.3	101.96	103.95	104.22	103.91	103.98(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	30	-10	-11	152	0.4	64%	0.13	47.3	1.84%	0	1.3	65	0
10	Jul_21_2016	95.79	98.05	101.17	103.16	103.57	105	103.83(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	64	110	34	153	2.2	64%	0.14	51.2	1.84%	0	1.4	62	0

11	Jul_20_2016	95.66	97.68	100.14	102.67	102.57	104.53	106.47(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	118	130	100	172	1.64	63%	0.16	56.2	1.81%	0	2.2	73	0
12	Jul_19_2016	95.51	97.16	98.82	101.28	101.46	102.14	103.98(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	83	50	65	135	3.33	62%	0.17	59.8	1.84%	0	2	74	0
13	Jul_18_2016	95.35	96.7	97.79	100.35	100.63	100.61	101.52(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	10	11	108	0.8	60%	0.14	60.2	1.82%	0	1.6	74	0
14	Jul_15_2016	95.22	96.27	97.29	99.68	100.13	100.79	100.02(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	60	22	113	0.54	60%	0.14	52.7	1.81%	0	1.3	64	0
15	Jul_14_2016	95.09	95.96	97.01	98.82	99.63	100.65	101.36(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	88	100	79	115	1.02	60%	0.16	38	1.8%	0	2	51	0

16	Jul_13_2016	94.94	95.51	96.3	97.17	97.99	99.48	99.53(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	67	130	66	70	0.55	59%	0.14	11	1.8%	0	1.6	53	0
17	Jul_12_2016	94.81	95.18	95.63	95.95	96.34	98.61	99.3(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	86	180	99	48	1.28	59%	0.15	-14.7	1.81%	0	1.7	53	0
18	Jul_11_2016	94.67	94.93	94.81	94.86	94.65	96.51	98.2(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	66	130	85	7	0.49	59%	0.14	-37.2	1.8%	0	1.5	55	0
19	Jul_8_2016	94.54	94.79	94.31	94.6	93.81	94.08	95.7(2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	13	-0	24	-22	0.59	57%	0.13	-50.9	1.78%	0	0.4	55	0
20	Jul_7_2016	94.42	94.93	94.65	94.99	94.24	92.79	93.13(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-130	-41	-23	0.83	55%	0.11	-41.8	1.74%	0	-0.8	50	0

21	Jul_6_2016	94.32	95.24	95.05	95.28	95.15	93.55	93.41(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-55	-120	-69	-14	1.26	55%	0.12	-33.9	1.75%	0	-0.8	53	0
22	Jul_5_2016	94.21	95.53	95.41	95.19	95.64	95.69	93.85(-3.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	20	-15	19	1.01	55%	0.16	-31.5	1.76%	0	-0.7	53	0
23	Jul_1_2016	94.06	95.76	95.58	94.63	95.12	96.75	96.9(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	63	140	69	43	0.96	58%	0.18	-36.2	1.72%	0	0.4	54	0
24	Jun_30_2016	93.89	95.86	95.21	93.95	93.6	95.59	97.66(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	58	140	70	21	0.67	58%	0.2	-40.6	1.71%	0	0.7	53	0
25	Jun_29_2016	93.7	95.88	94.84	94.38	92.8	93.49	94.61(1.81%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.1	21	0	29	-3	0.56	57%		-34.6	1.67%	0	-0.5	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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