Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ASML: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jul. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $104.8149 (0.8%) ($104.2735 - $104.9035) on Mon. Jul. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.84% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $104.8149(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(71%)    IVW(70%)    IWF(70%)    XLK(70%)    VUG(69%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-17%)    IPO(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.92% (StdDev 1.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $104.61(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.61(2.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98.87(6.01%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   16.6%
Market Cap   $43.853b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 4.53% (three month std-dev: 1.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 1.87%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.61%(33%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 2.02%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.34%(33%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 4.12%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.95%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2016	96.03	98.87	102.61	104.61	104.64	104.27	104.81(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	60	-20	23	170	0.5	64%	0.13	49.7	1.84%	0	1.3	78	0
2	Jul_22_2016	95.91	98.3	101.96	103.95	104.22	103.91	103.98(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	30	-10	-11	152	0.4	64%	0.13	47.3	1.84%	0	1.3	65	0
3	Jul_21_2016	95.79	98.05	101.17	103.16	103.57	105	103.83(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	64	110	34	153	2.2	64%	0.14	51.2	1.84%	0	1.4	62	0
4	Jul_20_2016	95.66	97.68	100.14	102.67	102.57	104.53	106.47(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	118	130	100	172	1.64	63%	0.16	56.2	1.81%	0	2.2	73	0
5	Jul_19_2016	95.51	97.16	98.82	101.28	101.46	102.14	103.98(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	83	50	65	135	3.33	62%	0.17	59.8	1.84%	0	2	74	0

6	Jul_18_2016	95.35	96.7	97.79	100.35	100.63	100.61	101.52(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	10	11	108	0.8	60%	0.14	60.2	1.82%	0	1.6	74	0
7	Jul_15_2016	95.22	96.27	97.29	99.68	100.13	100.79	100.02(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	60	22	113	0.54	60%	0.14	52.7	1.81%	0	1.3	64	0
8	Jul_14_2016	95.09	95.96	97.01	98.82	99.63	100.65	101.36(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	88	100	79	115	1.02	60%	0.16	38	1.8%	0	2	51	0
9	Jul_13_2016	94.94	95.51	96.3	97.17	97.99	99.48	99.53(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	67	130	66	70	0.55	59%	0.14	11	1.8%	0	1.6	53	0
10	Jul_12_2016	94.81	95.18	95.63	95.95	96.34	98.61	99.3(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	86	180	99	48	1.28	59%	0.15	-14.7	1.81%	0	1.7	53	0

11	Jul_11_2016	94.67	94.93	94.81	94.86	94.65	96.51	98.2(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	66	130	85	7	0.49	59%	0.14	-37.2	1.8%	0	1.5	55	0
12	Jul_8_2016	94.54	94.79	94.31	94.6	93.81	94.08	95.7(2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	13	-0	24	-22	0.59	57%	0.13	-50.9	1.78%	0	0.4	55	0
13	Jul_7_2016	94.42	94.93	94.65	94.99	94.24	92.79	93.13(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-130	-41	-23	0.83	55%	0.11	-41.8	1.74%	0	-0.8	50	0
14	Jul_6_2016	94.32	95.24	95.05	95.28	95.15	93.55	93.41(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-55	-120	-69	-14	1.26	55%	0.12	-33.9	1.75%	0	-0.8	53	0
15	Jul_5_2016	94.21	95.53	95.41	95.19	95.64	95.69	93.85(-3.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	20	-15	19	1.01	55%	0.16	-31.5	1.76%	0	-0.7	53	0

16	Jul_1_2016	94.06	95.76	95.58	94.63	95.12	96.75	96.9(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	63	140	69	43	0.96	58%	0.18	-36.2	1.72%	0	0.4	54	0
17	Jun_30_2016	93.89	95.86	95.21	93.95	93.6	95.59	97.66(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	58	140	70	21	0.67	58%	0.2	-40.6	1.71%	0	0.7	53	0
18	Jun_29_2016	93.7	95.88	94.84	94.38	92.8	93.49	94.61(1.81%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.1	21	0	29	-3	0.56	57%	0.13	-34.6	1.67%	0	-0.5	41	0
19	Jun_28_2016	93.58	96.06	94.67	94.9	93.94	91.62	92.92(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-47	-200	-47	-46	0.71	56%	0.1	-25.7	1.68%	0	-1.2	37	0
20	Jun_27_2016	93.49	96.34	94.73	95.71	95.2	92.11	91.05(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-146	-240	-162	-97	2.29	54%	0.05	-11.1	1.67%	0	-2	33	0

21	Jun_24_2016	93.44	96.73	95.15	96.56	96.7	96.26	93.52(-6.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-67	-30	-71	-56	2.06	57%	0.04	5.6	1.65%	0	-1.3	40	0
22	Jun_23_2016	93.4	96.96	95.39	96.49	97.25	98.29	99.8(2.67%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	63	100	88	-12	0.89	67%	0.13	16.8	1.45%	0	1.2	49	0
23	Jun_22_2016	93.28	96.82	95.22	95.35	95.7	97.14	97.21(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	40	120	70	-49	0.5	64%	0.12	12.2	1.41%	0	0.2	45	0
24	Jun_21_2016	93.17	96.77	95.38	94.45	94.59	96.2	96.95(1.69%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	62	120	101	-54	0.69	64%	0.08	7.4	1.41%	0	0.1	45	0
25	Jun_20_2016	93.1	96.64	95.59	93.68	93.66	94.25	95.34(2.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	26	40	63	-86	0.95	63%		-2.5	1.4%	0	-0.6	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.