Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $101.3598 (1.84%) ($100.9956 - $102.2260) on Thu. Jul. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $101.3598(1.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(71%)    IVW(70%)    IWF(70%)    XLK(70%)    VT(69%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-17%)    IPO(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    IBUY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $98.82(2.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $97.01(4.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95.96(5.63%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $42.408b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 2.87% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 31 Average positive next day return: 0.91%(58%) Average negative next day return: -0.97%(42%) Sample size 31 Average positive next three day return: 1.59%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -1.45%(48%) Sample size 31 Average positive next weekly return: 2.07%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.91%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2016	95.09	95.96	97.01	98.82	99.63	100.65	101.36(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	88	100	79	115	1.02	60%	0.16	38	1.8%	0	2	51	INF
2	Jul_13_2016	94.94	95.51	96.3	97.17	97.99	99.48	99.53(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	67	130	66	70	0.55	59%	0.14	11	1.8%	0	1.6	53	INF
3	Jul_12_2016	94.81	95.18	95.63	95.95	96.34	98.61	99.3(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	86	180	99	48	1.28	59%	0.15	-14.7	1.81%	0	1.7	53	INF
4	Jul_11_2016	94.67	94.93	94.81	94.86	94.65	96.51	98.2(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	66	130	85	7	0.49	59%	0.14	-37.2	1.8%	0	1.5	55	INF
5	Jul_8_2016	94.54	94.79	94.31	94.6	93.81	94.08	95.7(2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	13	-0	24	-22	0.59	57%	0.13	-50.9	1.78%	0	0.4	55	INF

6	Jul_7_2016	94.42	94.93	94.65	94.99	94.24	92.79	93.13(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-130	-41	-23	0.83	55%	0.11	-41.8	1.74%	0	-0.8	50	INF
7	Jul_6_2016	94.32	95.24	95.05	95.28	95.15	93.55	93.41(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-55	-120	-69	-14	1.26	55%	0.12	-33.9	1.75%	0	-0.8	53	INF
8	Jul_5_2016	94.21	95.53	95.41	95.19	95.64	95.69	93.85(-3.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	20	-15	19	1.01	55%	0.16	-31.5	1.76%	0	-0.7	53	INF
9	Jul_1_2016	94.06	95.76	95.58	94.63	95.12	96.75	96.9(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	63	140	69	43	0.96	58%	0.18	-36.2	1.72%	0	0.4	54	INF
10	Jun_30_2016	93.89	95.86	95.21	93.95	93.6	95.59	97.66(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	58	140	70	21	0.67	58%	0.2	-40.6	1.71%	0	0.7	53	INF

11	Jun_29_2016	93.7	95.88	94.84	94.38	92.8	93.49	94.61(1.81%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.1	21	0	29	-3	0.56	57%	0.13	-34.6	1.67%	0	-0.5	41	INF
12	Jun_28_2016	93.58	96.06	94.67	94.9	93.94	91.62	92.92(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-47	-200	-47	-46	0.71	56%	0.1	-25.7	1.68%	0	-1.2	37	INF
13	Jun_27_2016	93.49	96.34	94.73	95.71	95.2	92.11	91.05(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-146	-240	-162	-97	2.29	54%	0.05	-11.1	1.67%	0	-2	33	INF
14	Jun_24_2016	93.44	96.73	95.15	96.56	96.7	96.26	93.52(-6.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-67	-30	-71	-56	2.06	57%	0.04	5.6	1.65%	0	-1.3	40	INF
15	Jun_23_2016	93.4	96.96	95.39	96.49	97.25	98.29	99.8(2.67%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	63	100	88	-12	0.89	67%	0.13	16.8	1.45%	0	1.2	49	INF

16	Jun_22_2016	93.28	96.82	95.22	95.35	95.7	97.14	97.21(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	40	120	70	-49	0.5	64%	0.12	12.2	1.41%	0	0.2	45	INF
17	Jun_21_2016	93.17	96.77	95.38	94.45	94.59	96.2	96.95(1.69%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	62	120	101	-54	0.69	64%	0.08	7.4	1.41%	0	0.1	45	INF
18	Jun_20_2016	93.1	96.64	95.59	93.68	93.66	94.25	95.34(2.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	26	40	63	-86	0.95	63%	0.06	-2.5	1.4%	0	-0.6	39	INF
19	Jun_17_2016	93.04	96.6	95.88	93.58	92.9	92.98	93.17(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-20	-22	-127	0.7	60%	0.06	4.5	1.37%	0	-1.4	29	INF
20	Jun_16_2016	92.98	96.58	96.5	94.12	93.35	93.08	94.08(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-44	-40	-22	-111	0.5	60%	0.08	13.6	1.36%	0	-1	36	INF

21	Jun_15_2016	92.91	96.56	96.96	95.1	94.08	92.82	92.71(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-88	-130	-81	-108	0.74	58%	0.05	27.8	1.35%	0	-1.5	32	INF
22	Jun_14_2016	92.86	96.6	97.56	96.46	95.42	93.63	93.12(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-110	-160	-120	-81	1.62	58%	0.06	45	1.35%	0	-1.4	43	INF
23	Jun_13_2016	92.8	96.7	98.13	97.76	97.1	95.34	94.82(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-88	-150	-108	-27	1.06	61%	0.08	67.7	1.34%	0	-0.8	58	INF
24	Jun_10_2016	92.73	96.49	98.54	98.49	98.31	97.21	95.86(-3.15%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-62	-80	-89	19	1.51	61%	0.12	64.7	1.35%	0	-0.2	64	INF
25	Jun_9_2016	92.62	96.24	98.78	99.18	99.07	98.87	98.98(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-20	-24	92	0.62	70%		63.6	1.31%	0	0.9	87	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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