Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $98.9862 (1.05%) ($98.9132 - $99.9310) on Mon. Apr. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.13% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $98.9862(1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(71%)    IVW(70%)    IWF(70%)    XLK(70%)    VT(69%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -1.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-18%)    TLT(-6%)    IPO(-5%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.065% (StdDev 2.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $98.13(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.7(2.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95.38(3.78%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   31.2%
Market Cap   $41.414b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 2.11% (three month std-dev: 2.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 41 Average positive next day return: 0.6%(37%) Average negative next day return: -0.77%(63%) Sample size 41 Average positive next three day return: 1.66%(41%) Average negative next three day return: -0.99%(59%) Sample size 41 Average positive next weekly return: 1.65%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.76%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2016	88.23	95.38	96.7	98.13	98.42	98.35	98.99(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	0	28	63	0.86	54%	0.11	88.2	2.13%	0	1.8	73	0
2	Apr_1_2016	88.13	95.06	96.33	97.32	97.73	97.89	97.95(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	20	2	41	0.37	54%	0.09	93.9	2.14%	0	1.5	64	0
3	Mar_31_2016	88.05	94.77	96.04	96.61	97.08	98.48	97.78(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	120	41	50	0.64	52%	0.08	97.9	2.16%	0	1.6	70	0
4	Mar_30_2016	87.98	94.43	95.73	96.09	95.98	97.58	98.52(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	59	110	59	57	0.46	52%	0.09	99	2.19%	0	2.2	79	0
5	Mar_29_2016	87.9	94.06	95.27	95.52	95.24	95.68	97.43(2.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	41	20	39	48	0.41	52%	0.05	113.7	2.19%	0	2	78	0

6	Mar_28_2016	87.86	93.63	94.95	95.09	94.88	94.38	94.93(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-40	-12	24	0.18	50%	-0.05	105.5	2.17%	0	0.7	57	0
7	Mar_24_2016	87.9	93.33	94.98	95.19	94.96	94.8	94.41(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-20	-20	29	0.29	50%	0.01	89.6	2.16%	0	0.4	58	0
8	Mar_23_2016	87.89	93.01	94.9	95.36	95.33	95.38	95.17(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	0	10	48	0.89	50%	0.03	89.3	2.16%	0	0.8	64	0
9	Mar_22_2016	87.86	92.61	94.58	95.27	95.11	95.12	95.68(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-0	3	47	0.76	50%	0.05	86.6	2.16%	0	1	71	0
10	Mar_21_2016	87.82	92.16	94.16	94.95	94.84	95.27	95.28(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	30	9	45	0.57	51%	0.06	85.7	2.17%	0	1	67	0

11	Mar_18_2016	87.77	91.69	93.98	94.79	94.59	95.1	95.43(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	30	19	61	0.31	51%	0.07	90	2.18%	0	1.1	75	0
12	Mar_17_2016	87.71	91.21	93.72	94.74	94.4	94.41	95.22(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10	11	70	0.3	50%	0.06	93	2.18%	0	1.1	75	0
13	Mar_16_2016	87.66	90.65	93.41	94.39	94.43	94.08	94.75(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	19	-20	-0	74	0.52	50%	0.07	94	2.19%	0	1.1	76	0
14	Mar_15_2016	87.6	90.12	93.04	93.77	94.37	94.39	94.08(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	20	4	78	0.3	52%	0.05	85.4	2.19%	0	1	76	0
15	Mar_14_2016	87.56	89.53	92.77	93.23	93.77	94.79	94.47(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	90	21	91	0.38	52%	0.03	80.4	2.22%	0	1.3	79	0

16	Mar_11_2016	87.53	88.82	92.21	93.04	93.05	94.35	95.21(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	63	100	48	109	0.66	51%	0.07	66.7	2.22%	0	1.5	84	0
17	Mar_10_2016	87.47	88.05	91.53	92.57	92.52	92.75	93.44(1.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	48	20	29	103	1.12	51%	0.07	51.7	2.23%	0	1.3	81	0
18	Mar_9_2016	87.41	87.37	90.96	92.33	92.22	91.75	91.66(0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-40	-10	98	0.17	51%	0.06	39.6	2.22%	0	1	83	0
19	Mar_8_2016	87.36	86.92	90.51	92.33	92.13	92.29	91.35(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	10	-4	109	0.62	51%	0.06	35.6	2.22%	0	1	80	0
20	Mar_7_2016	87.31	86.54	90.03	92.18	91.77	92.69	93.54(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	59	60	32	141	1.02	52%	0.09	30.6	2.2%	0	1.6	94	0

21	Mar_4_2016	87.23	86.13	89.24	91.2	91.31	91.97	92.87(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	72	50	46	149	1.18	52%	0.08	22.6	2.2%	0	1.7	94	0
22	Mar_3_2016	87.16	85.88	88.51	90.32	90.41	90.86	92.24(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	54	40	23	146	0.56	52%	0.08	19.4	2.2%	0	1.7	94	0
23	Mar_2_2016	87.09	85.65	87.65	89.39	89.73	90.66	90.91(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	64	80	35	149	0.46	52%	0.07	15.1	2.21%	0	1.5	94	0
24	Mar_1_2016	87.03	85.38	86.96	88.59	88.93	89.96	91.35(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	77	90	53	149	0.59	52%	0.05	7.1	2.21%	0	1.8	74	0
25	Feb_29_2016	86.99	85.24	86	87.57	87.77	88.79	88.65(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	90	38	124	0.37	50%		1.6	2.16%	0	1.1	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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