Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $83.0421 (6.15%) ($78.8637 - $84.0258) on Wed. Jan. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.92% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $83.0421(6.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML declines -4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(71%)    IVW(70%)    IWF(70%)    XLK(70%)    VT(69%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-18%)    TLT(-7%)    IPO(-5%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.96% (StdDev 1.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $69.86(-15.87%)
Resistance Level   $83.42
5 Day Moving Average   $79.08(5.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.68(4.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.42(-0.45%)
To recent high   -11.5%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $34.744b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 5.36% (three month std-dev: 1.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2016	87.36	83.42	79.68	79.08	78.94	79.67	83.04(6.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	35	60	82	-105	4.54	48%	-0.05	-38.8	1.92%	0	-0.1	39	INF
2	Jan_19_2016	87.4	83.53	79.7	78.57	78.43	77.07	78.23(3.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-88	-130	-50	-203	1.49	41%	-0.15	-40.8	1.75%	0	-1.1	30	INF
3	Jan_15_2016	87.53	83.92	80.35	78.96	79.12	78.22	75.45(-6.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-114	-70	-75	-230	1.55	37%	-0.17	-42.2	1.67%	0	-1.9	23	INF
4	Jan_14_2016	87.68	84.53	81.45	79.51	80.18	79.8	80.74(3.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-56	-10	0	-225	1.44	43%	-0.06	-44.9	1.48%	0	-1	29	INF
5	Jan_13_2016	87.73	84.84	82.21	79.43	79.85	80.03	77.93(-3.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-95	30	-42	-255	0.95	34%	-0.08	-48.7	1.4%	0	-1.8	22	INF

6	Jan_12_2016	87.8	85.19	83.36	80.32	80.19	80.57	80.5(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-43	30	11	-203	0.88	38%	-0.03	-53.3	1.39%	0	-1.4	32	INF
7	Jan_11_2016	87.83	85.45	84.21	81.06	80.55	79.68	80.17(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-79	-90	-42	-190	1.12	38%	-0.05	-57.1	1.39%	0	-1.6	39	INF
8	Jan_8_2016	87.87	85.81	85.1	82.03	81.48	79.82	78.19(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-137	-160	-120	-187	0.9	33%	-0.08	-56.3	1.35%	0	-2.5	30	INF
9	Jan_7_2016	87.94	86.31	86.23	83.68	82.91	81.42	80.34(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-133	-150	-131	-139	0.81	36%	-0.09	-56.8	1.33%	0	-2.5	31	INF
10	Jan_6_2016	88.02	86.73	87.06	85.41	84.52	83.13	82.41(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-108	-150	-117	-80	2.32	39%	-0.1	-52.2	1.29%	0	-2.2	38	INF

11	Jan_5_2016	88.11	87.07	87.57	86.83	86.32	84.4	84.17(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-87	-170	-109	-21	0.81	42%	-0.07	-41.3	1.27%	0	-1.7	54	INF
12	Jan_4_2016	88.17	87.34	87.73	87.83	87.64	85.91	85.03(-1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-98	-140	-131	1	2.28	42%	-0.11	-28.6	1.27%	0	-1.4	53	INF
13	Dec_31_2015	88.27	87.53	87.85	88.64	88.73	88.23	86.46(-2.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-36	-40	-63	47	0.43	47%	-0.09	-15.3	1.31%	0	-0.7	50	INF
14	Dec_30_2015	88.35	87.69	87.93	89.14	89.18	89.38	88.96(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	20	12	92	0.28	57%	-0.09	-1.1	1.29%	0	0.8	54	INF
15	Dec_29_2015	88.43	87.76	87.68	88.95	89.05	89.23	89.53(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	20	27	83	0.63	60%	-0.08	3	1.35%	0	1	53	INF

16	Dec_28_2015	88.5	87.78	87.16	88.43	88.63	88.99	89.19(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	40	29	48	0.35	56%	-0.12	-1.9	1.38%	0	0.8	49	INF
17	Dec_24_2015	88.61	87.8	86.74	87.62	88.09	88.87	89.06(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	80	52	14	0.09	56%	-0.08	-15.5	1.42%	0	0.7	46	INF
18	Dec_23_2015	88.68	87.77	86.48	86.94	87.15	88.27	88.94(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	36	100	52	-13	0.42	51%	-0.07	-31.3	1.42%	0	0.6	50	INF
19	Dec_22_2015	88.74	87.77	86.3	86.56	86.57	87.32	88.05(1.31%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	33	60	54	-31	1.69	47%	-0.08	-41.4	1.48%	0	0.2	42	INF
20	Dec_21_2015	88.81	87.71	86.27	86.25	86.27	86.04	86.91(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-20	18	-63	1.05	47%	-0.11	-51	1.52%	0	-0.4	36	INF

21	Dec_18_2015	88.91	87.81	86.44	85.71	86.15	85.83	85.15(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-10	-19	-100	0.5	41%	-0.12	-59.2	1.5%	0	-1.4	31	INF
22	Dec_17_2015	89.02	88.1	86.87	85.69	85.98	86.51	85.64(-1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-20	50	4	-92	0.66	41%	-0.12	-59.3	1.54%	0	-1.3	34	INF
23	Dec_16_2015	89.13	88.35	87.17	85.92	85.69	86.46	87.04(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	50	28	-79	0.63	43%	-0.11	-59.2	1.53%	0	-0.7	45	INF
24	Dec_15_2015	89.23	88.48	87.43	86.02	85.86	85.45	86.53(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	-40	6	-80	0.51	46%	-0.11	-62	1.53%	0	-1.1	46	INF
25	Dec_14_2015	89.33	88.66	87.84	86.35	86.18	84.92	84.21(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-81	-110	-76	-94	0.67	43%		-67	1.53%	0	-2.5	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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