Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $99.2784 (1.08%) ($98.3434 - $99.6388) on Thu. Jul. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $99.2784(1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(70%)    XLK(70%)    SMH(68%)    VT(68%)    SPY(67%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $94.6(-4.71%)
Resistance Level   $100.12
5 Day Moving Average   $98.42(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.42(-0.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $100.12(-0.84%)
To recent high   -10.4%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $41.537b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 3.04% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.85%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.72%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.05%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.05%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.24%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150823

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_23_2015	102.95	100.12	99.42	98.42	98.52	98.36	99.28(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10	16	9	0.9	50%	-0.06	-68.4	1.65%	0	-0.3	45	INF
2	Jul_22_2015	103.01	100.48	99.22	98.11	98.26	98.11	98.22(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-10	-38	-37	1.89	61%	-0.07	-62.2	1.65%	0	-0.7	41	INF
3	Jul_21_2015	103.08	100.95	98.92	99.25	98.65	98.67	98.28(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-20	-17	-24	1.53	61%	-0.08	-47.1	2.1%	0	-0.7	45	INF
4	Jul_20_2015	103.16	101.46	98.87	99.67	100.01	98.4	98.37(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-100	-15	-28	1.11	61%	-0.06	-37.5	2.11%	0	-0.8	44	INF
5	Jul_17_2015	103.22	101.84	98.96	100.12	100.41	98.62	97.93(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-80	-120	-85	-66	2.78	61%	-0.07	-33.4	2.12%	0	-1	37	INF

6	Jul_16_2015	103.29	102.25	99.34	100.54	101.13	101.62	97.75(-5.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	50	-16	-47	4.12	61%	-0.08	-32.3	2.12%	0	-1.1	34	INF
7	Jul_15_2015	103.37	102.63	99.83	100.39	101.4	102.19	103.9(3.5%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	55	80	81	-25	2.3	64%	-0.03	-36	1.98%	0	0.3	42	INF
8	Jul_14_2015	103.4	102.72	99.52	98.53	99.94	100.63	100.39(-0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	90	26	-95	1.24	61%	-0.01	-47.3	2%	0	-0.6	32	INF
9	Jul_13_2015	103.41	102.98	99.63	97.97	98.59	100.61	100.61(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	160	52	-113	0.86	61%	-0.01	-51	2%	0	-0.6	31	INF
10	Jul_10_2015	103.42	103.21	100.1	97.7	97.59	99.24	100.03(3.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	23	110	68	-114	2.27	61%	-0.02	-54.8	2%	0	-0.8	39	INF

11	Jul_9_2015	103.44	103.57	100.76	98.07	97.26	96.58	97.03(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-70	-11	-141	1.68	58%	-0.03	-53.8	1.96%	0	-1.7	32	INF
12	Jul_8_2015	103.47	104.05	101.76	99.24	98.25	95.93	94.61(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-114	-200	-100	-156	0.78	55%	-0.05	-53.1	1.94%	0	-2.6	29	INF
13	Jul_7_2015	103.52	104.64	103.14	100.61	100.44	97.94	97.55(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-107	-180	-99	-132	1.29	60%	-0.06	-57.1	1.9%	0	-2.4	30	INF
14	Jul_6_2015	103.58	105.05	104.3	101.46	101.75	100.57	99.27(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-94	-70	-90	-107	0.72	60%	0.01	-67	1.89%	0	-2.4	36	INF
15	Jul_2_2015	103.57	105.43	105.02	102.8	102.59	102.94	101.88(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	20	-31	-61	0.94	65%	0.01	-69.8	1.86%	0	-1.8	43	INF

16	Jul_1_2015	103.56	105.73	105.47	103.9	103.8	102.93	102.9(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-60	-6	-36	1.31	65%	0.05	-64.7	1.86%	0	-1.5	39	INF
17	Jun_30_2015	103.51	106.03	105.72	104.74	104.75	102.25	101.42(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-92	-170	-101	-64	0.75	61%	0.06	-58.6	1.86%	0	-2.5	39	INF
18	Jun_29_2015	103.45	106.34	106.26	106.08	106.11	104.67	101.84(-3.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-92	-90	-108	-42	1.04	61%	0.04	-42.7	1.86%	0	-2.8	43	INF
19	Jun_26_2015	103.41	106.7	106.69	107.51	107.64	107.24	105.95(-1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-8	-20	-18	21	0.87	62%	0.06	-18.9	1.82%	0	-0.6	55	INF
20	Jun_25_2015	103.35	106.86	106.63	107.52	108.21	107.55	107.39(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-20	-4	22	0.4	54%	0.09	-14.2	1.94%	0	0.3	54	INF

21	Jun_24_2015	103.26	107.01	106.59	107.26	107.8	108.03	107.11(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	30	-10	14	0.4	54%	0.07	-12.8	2.05%	0	0.1	47	INF
22	Jun_23_2015	103.19	107.12	106.49	106.84	107.32	108.87	108.12(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	110	48	24	0.48	54%	0.08	-15.9	2.04%	0	0.6	46	INF
23	Jun_22_2015	103.11	107.02	106.21	106.49	106.43	107.56	109(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	52	70	62	20	0.71	54%	0.09	-26.9	2.04%	0	1.2	54	INF
24	Jun_19_2015	103.02	106.96	105.79	105.8	105.62	105.77	105.98(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	9	0	18	-18	0.48	54%	0.03	-39.7	2.04%	0	-0.6	40	INF
25	Jun_18_2015	102.99	107.09	105.81	105.63	105.27	105.3	106.1(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-10	-4	-37	1.39	54%		-40.1	2.04%	0	-0.6	39	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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